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McGowan and Purcey finally fulfilling their potential?

A month into the season, although the big club has not been doing too well thus far, I can't help but feel a sense of optimism because of the performance of two of our top pitching prospects. Dustin McGowan and David Purcey have always had the stuff, but have never been able to piece it together for their talents to show up in the box score. However, they have both dominated their respective leagues this year. Here is their line thus far this year.

                                  Record    ERA    K/9    K/BB    WHIP    Opp .AVG
Dustin McGowan (AAA)    0-2    1.69    13.5    4    1.19    .220
David Purcey (AA)         3-0    0.89    10.6    12    0.44    .111

Although it is only a couple starts in, but the results are nonetheless encouraging. The stuff of either pitchers have never been questioned. Their biggest question is whether they can locate their pitches often enough to have success. Historically, both pitches have had problems with their control. Although McGowan is still giving up walks at a higher than ideal rate, his ability to generate swing and misses more than compensate for his walks. His K/BB ratio is still at a very healthy 4/1. Purcey, on the other hand, looks like a completely different pitcher this year. Throughout his minor league career, Purcey has averaged over 5BB/9, with a K/BB ratio just a tad under two. Those are ugly numbers; it is nearly impossible to have any sustained success with control (of lack thereof) like that. This season, Purcey has only issued 2 free passes in 20 1/3 innings. Purcey's improved control has clearly shown up in the box score. The big left-hander is finally becoming the pitcher J.P. Ricciardi envisioned him to be when he drafted him in the first round of the 2004 amateur draft.

McGowan and Purcey are both projected as front-end starters. If they continue to dominate the minors over the next few months, don't be surprise to see one or both of these pitchers up with Toronto mid-season. Teams that takes it to the next level usually have some young players break out during contention (think Josh Beckett '03). Toronto is long overdue for breakout rookie performances. Hopefully McGowan and Purcey can push them over the edge.

0 recs | Comment 4 comments

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Good job, Alpheus
My main concern with Purcey, despite his amazing numbers, is that he's repeating AA for the second time (2005-2007 is a long time at one level for a good prospect). I'd like to see him succeed at a higher level before being completely sold on him.

by mark w on Apr 24, 2007 4:38 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Purcey
If he keeps this up, he will be up in AAA before long. For some reason, left-handers tend to take longer to develop than right handers. I know he has been in AA for a long time, but the potential is always there. Even Johan Santana toiled around in the minors for many years before breaking through. I am not saying Purcey will be the next Santana, but the ability is still there for him to be a helpful member of the Jays staff in the near future.

by slitheringslider on Apr 24, 2007 5:15 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It will be interesting
to see if their improved control holds up over the full season, and at the higher level. McGowan looks like a lock for the big club sometime this season, and as Mark said, Purcey will be in AAA sooner than later.
"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Apr 24, 2007 6:12 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It's nice to hear
that our prospects are doing good for a change.

by achengy on Apr 24, 2007 10:10 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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