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Hall of Fame Poll Results

Time to look at the results for our Hall of Fame polls, we'll list the 'Yes' percentage for each player

Rickey Henderson   97%
Tim Raines                81%
Bert Blyleven             64%
Andre Dawson          62%
Alan Trammell           54%
Mark McGwire           53%
Jim Rice                      52%
Jack Morris                 44%
Lee Smith                   40%
Tommy John              36%
Don Mattingly             36%
Dale Murphy               30%
David Cone                 25%
Harold Baines            25%
Matt Williams              15%
Jesse Orosco             13%
Mark Grace                   8%
Dave Parker                 5%

So as you can see, if we were the voters, the only two that got over the 75% mark needed for election into the Hall were Rickey Henderson and Tim Raines. Now I doubt the writers will see it the same way, I'm sure Rickey will get in but I doubt they will have the smarts to vote in Raines. But it would be pretty poetic if the vote turned out this way. The two greatest leadoff men of their generation and quite possibly the two greatest leadoff men ever going into the Hall together? Couldn't be better. 

Some interesting things about the vote. Like the writers, we can't have a unanimous selection....someone voted no on Henderson. I'd like the hear the reasoning. I'm pretty sure he won't be unanimous with the writers either. All the players got at least 5% so, if we were voting they would all appear on next year's ballot, well, except for Jim Rice as he has been on it for the maximum number of years.

As a personal thing, I'd vote Rice and Dawson in, Rice was the most feared slugger of his time and Dawson did almost every very well, great power and speed and defense. Blyleven quite possibly deserves to be in the Hall too.

Mark McGwire's vote interests me, 53% yes. I would vote no again this year and expect him to come clean about the steroid use before I would put him in. But he clearly has the numbers to make the Hall and when he took whatever he took, there was no explicit rule against performance enhancing drugs . Makes me wonder what will happen when Barry Bond's name appears on the ballot.

Lee Smith is interesting because it is hard to figure where the line is for closers to get into the Hall. 478 saves and 3rd on the all time list, and yet we don't think he should be in? But I agree, I wouldn't elect him.

I am tore on Alan Trammell. There are not enough shortstops in the Hall and Trammell was a good one, but maybe not quite a great one. Or not quite a great enough one. Jack Morris is interesting too, shows we have changed our view on what make a Hall of Famer, I think 20 years ago a player with his career would have gone in easy. Now? Wins are not enough. 

And even Harold Baines and Jesse Orosco got votes.

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That is an inaccurate statement about McGwire

there was no testing for anabolic steroids when Mac was playing, but in 1991 Baseball Commissioner Fay Vincent issued a 7-page memo to all MLB Teams and the Players Union stating: “The possession, sale or use of any illegal drug or controlled substance by Major League players or personnel is strictly prohibited … This prohibition applies to all illegal drugs … including steroids.” The fact that they ignored it doesn’t mean it wasn’t against the rules.

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Dec 14, 2008 12:53 PM EST reply actions  

But the story you point to says
Wilstein’s piece, “Drug OK in Baseball, Not Olympics,” ran on Friday, Aug. 21. He made it clear McGwire had broken neither the law of the land nor the rules of the game. But he also wrote that andro’s ability to raise testosterone levels “is seen outside baseball as cheating and potentially dangerous.”

And:

Selig was asked about a rumor that had baseball outlawing andro. “It’s not only premature, but very unfair,” he replied. “None of this should ever diminish from Mark McGwire’s extraordinary season.”

Androstenedione that McGwire is known to have used wasn’t considered by the league a steroid at that time. So for me if Selig was stating there wasn’t a rule against it, then I feel fine with saying baseball didn’t have a rule against it.

by Tom Dakers on Dec 14, 2008 2:51 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree about the Andro

if that was all he used, he didn’t break any rules – it was known at the time that he was using it and baseball didn’t take any action.

But I would go by what the sitting Commissioner said and did at the time, not what Selig said when he was trying to deflect blame and sweep things under the rug after the fact.

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Dec 14, 2008 5:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Is tough to say....

sounds like Vincent’s memo wasn’t shared with the all the players and since there wasn’t testing and there wasn’t a penalty is tough to say that there really was a rule as it wasn’t enforced at all. Sounds more like a cover our ass effort.

by Tom Dakers on Dec 14, 2008 6:05 PM EST reply actions  

I suppose it's possible that the player's union didn't pass it along

to the players for their own reasons. I think there actually are penalties described, it’s just that there was no testing regimen as it had to be bargained with the union under the CBA and there was no way that was happening. But I think you’re right on that it was total CYA. I don’t know if that exonerates those who broke the rule though.

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Dec 14, 2008 6:45 PM EST up reply actions  

According to that story

most of the teams didn’t pass it on to the players…….I’m not really saying the players weren’t wrong, I’m more saying the league turned a blind eye to it so can you really keep a player out of the Hall for it.

by Tom Dakers on Dec 14, 2008 6:49 PM EST up reply actions  

I think that's up to interpretation

but I would say that you should be able to keep a player out of the Hall for. The part about Andro that bothers me is how it seems to be a red herring for his steroid use. At least that was how it was described in Game of Shadows . . . McGwire showed everyone his Andro so the media and fans would focus on that instead of the fact that he was using actual steroids. This bothers me because if it is the case he knew that it was wrong and was just trying to distract people from it.

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Dec 14, 2008 6:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh heck.....

He tried to tell people it was creatine that was his wonder drug. I think everyone tried to publicly hide the steroid use at the time because the drug itself was illegal without a prescription. I mean a few years before players were hiding their cocaine use, which re: Fay’s memo was a banned substance too. That would be a reason to keep Tim Raines out of the Hall too if we use that as a guideline.

I’d wouldn’t vote McGwire into the hall at the moment, at least until he comes clean about what he did but I don’t think I’d use it as a reason to keep out all suspected juicers because….well because it would be unfair. Let’s say we keep McGwire out but we put in Player X because we think he was clean, how do we know. I’ve heard all sorts of numbers about how many players juiced but the one thing I do know is we will never know for sure. Player X could be clean or he could have just hid it better.

Of course the big problem I have with it all now is the steroid era power numbers were so huge that guys that players that were great just before that don’t look as good now. Dawson was an amazing player but when compared to the juicers his numbers don’t stand out.

by Tom Dakers on Dec 14, 2008 9:03 PM EST up reply actions  

true that cocaine was a banned substance

but there is a difference between recreational and performance-enhancing use.

unless we’re talking about the nfl, where Ricky Williams can’t play but Shawne Merriman gets a four-game suspension (yeah, that made so much sense).

finally, even though we will never know for sure who did steroids and who did not, that doesn’t mean that strong suspicion (as we have in McGwire’s case) should not inform HOF voting.

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Dec 14, 2008 10:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Well the argument was that steroids against the MLB rules

because it was in a memo from Fay Vincent that it’s unclear that players ever saw. It was stated in the memo that all illegal substances were banned by baseball. I’d leave McGwire out of the Hall until he is honest with us. Then we can decide. Is tough because he and Sosa saved baseball after the lockout….or he, Sosa and Steroids saved baseball. Hard to say we cheered so much for them and then say ‘bad bad boy’, you did something we wouldn’t have. The game and us fans turned a blind eye to it all.

by Tom Dakers on Dec 14, 2008 11:09 PM EST up reply actions  

agree with you here

the fans, the media and MLB were all at fault. and if mcgwire comes clean, depending on what he did, i think he merits admission. the deception thing bothered me moreso than just using PED, though.

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Dec 15, 2008 1:40 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't know the answer to that question, honestly

You made the argument that steroid use wasn’t against the rules and I was just pointing out that that’s not exactly true. I do agree that the rule wasn’t enforced by the league (though I have yet to hear a player make the argument that they didn’t know it was against the rules). I’m certainly not arguing that violating any rule should keep you out of the Hall, just responding to the point that it wasn’t against the rules.

I do know in my job that I am personally responsible for abiding by the ethical standards of my profession (and knowing what they are), regardless of how the public, my employer, or the profession as a whole acts. If Mac and Sosa “saved baseball” and we want to give them credit for that, how do we treat players who refused to cheat? Scold them for not enhancing their performance and turning their back on the game?

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Dec 15, 2008 6:44 AM EST up reply actions  

that's the big question at the end there.....

And the question that goes with it: How do we know which players refused to cheat? Rafael Palmiero lied right to congress and we believed him until it was proven he lied. Which ones do we believe? Do we believe Canseco and guess that just about everyone was doing it? Is Pettitte better than Clemens because he admitted using?

It is Bonds will be an interesting case because he was a great player before juicing but it seems obvious that using allowed him to continue playing into his 40’s as well as doubling the number of home runs he could hit. If you look at Roger Clemen’s career it followed the usual pattern for a power pitcher, if his career was going to keep going he was going to have to learn to change speeds and go thru the normal transformation a power pitcher goes thru in his 30’s. Or he could juice.

I think that’s why I’d push for Rice and Dawson in the Hall. They were great players whose bodies broke down in the normal way. If they had played 10 year later they could have juiced and ended up with huge numbers. But they didn’t have that option then and they ended with really good careers but not ones where their production improved into their 40’s.

I was just reading about ritalin use in university and wonder if it is a direct link to sports, kids thinking well those guys cheated, I should too.

by Tom Dakers on Dec 15, 2008 10:36 AM EST up reply actions  

all excellent points

I missed the ritalin thing when I was in HS and uni, just a little too old I guess but I don’t remember kids using. I understand it is pretty widespread now, particularly because it is so widely (some would say superfluously) prescribed.

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Dec 15, 2008 11:15 AM EST up reply actions  

re: Rice

I don’t think he belongs in. As noted here, Rice is tied for 179th on the Intentional Walks list. If he was really the most feared slugger of his time, why hasn’t he been walked more times than Geoff Jenkins?

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Dec 14, 2008 6:59 PM EST reply actions  

Well you have to get into comparing lineups then....

Tony Perez was intentionally walked a lot more but then he played on some awful Expo teams. I doubt many pitchers would rather pitch to Rice than Perez. Course I’d agree with the line in the linked article that Dwight Evans deserves in at least as much but Evans did a lot of things well but no one thing exceptionally that the voters could latch on to. I thought Perez was a terrible choice for the Hall.

by Tom Dakers on Dec 14, 2008 9:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree

that Tony Perez is a terrible choice for the Hall, but that’s not really an argument for Rice. I wouldn’t have as much of a problem with Rice if he played CF, but as a below-average LF he really has a lot of ground that he needs to make up.

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Dec 14, 2008 10:07 PM EST up reply actions  

No wasn't arguing that Perez was in,, so Rice should be....

Was arguing that number of intentional walks doesn’t prove who was more feared/better hitter.

For me Rice makes the major baselines for a Hall of Famer, check his standards on baseball reference:
Black Ink: Batting – 33 (49) (Average HOFer ≈ 27)
Gray Ink: Batting – 176 (57) (Average HOFer ≈ 144)
HOF Standards: Batting – 43.0 (114) (Average HOFer ≈ 50)
HOF Monitor: Batting – 144.5 (89) (Likely HOFer > 100)
Overall Rank in parentheses.

His ‘Black Ink’ and ‘Gray Ink’ numbers are well above the average Hall of Famer.

by Tom Dakers on Dec 14, 2008 10:54 PM EST up reply actions  

couple things

first, i was not implying that number of intentional walks should be a metric for admission to the Hall. It is, however, a pretty decent metric of how feared an hitter is, which is a big argument for Rice’s admission.

additionally, the trouble here is that Jim Rice’s fielding is basically useless. He needs to hit way better than the average hall of famer to get in because he played LF and played it poorly (and played it at Fenway, where its importance is even more drastically reduced) and DHed quite a bit. In my opinion he gets docked quite a bit for being almost useless in the field for 1543 games and completely useless for 530 games.

Black and Gray ink numbers are misleading because they are emphasizing statistics that players have little control over and do not account for park factors at all. Does twice leading the AL in RBI (at Fenway, no less) really qualify Jim Rice for the Hall? In one of those years, he tied for the league lead, by the way. Rice gray inked batting average six times, but OBP only twice.

Not to mention the fact that there are a lot of very borderline HOFers bringing some of those numbers down.

Finally, the HOF Monitor Score has nothing to do with how deserving a player is to make the Hall, just how likely he is. The Standards score is much more useful (see the difference in scores between the two for guys like Nellie Fox, Phil Rizzuto, Derek Jeter, Bill Mazeroski and also for guys like Dwight Evans, Tim Raines). Basically, the Monitor score gives you points for reaching very arbitrary landmarks and team accomplishments.

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Dec 15, 2008 1:38 AM EST up reply actions  

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