Bluebird Banter: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Around SBN: Headlines: BC Beats BU 4-3 in 58th Beanpot Championship

Think of It This Way / You Could Either Be Successful or Be Us: Next Series Pitchers Preview

Matt Harrison is hoping he can get his fastball back up to speed for Thursday's game. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

More photos » Tony Gutierrez - AP

Matt Harrison is hoping he can get his fastball back up to speed for Thursday's game. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

On Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday the Blue Jays take on the Texas Rangers at the Rogers Centre.  As we all know, the Rangers were a very offence-heavy team last year, scoring 901 runs and allowing 967 (in contrast, our Jays scored 714 and yielded 610).  These should be three very winnable (yes, that is a real word) games for the Jays, as we are fortunate to miss their top two second starters, Kevin Millwood, who was a hard-luck loser on Saturday night, and Vicente Padilla, who also pitched against the Royals over the weekend.

Star-divide

Game 1, Tuesday 21 April

Brandon McCarthy

McCarthy (1-0, 4.91, 1.455 WHIP) is a tall (6'7") 25 year-old righty with a career 4.56 ERA and a 1.369 WHIP who managed to get by at the major league level despite not putting up solid peripherals in his one semi-full season as a starter in 2007.  He struck out 59 and walked 48 over 101 2/3 innings (5 K/9; 4 BB/9) but did an excellent job limiting the long ball, allowing just 9 HR (0.76 HR/9).  He was shut down partway through the year and spent most of 2008 on the DL.  In two starts this season, he's struck out 12 and walked 7 over 11 IP (9.6 K/9 and 5.6 BB/9).

Over his career, he has been about equally effective against lefties (.246 / .326 / .454; 1.62 K/BB) and righties (.246 / .326 / .429; 1.90 K/BB).

McCarthy features a 90 mph fastball that he's thrown about 70% of the time this year along with a curve that is really more of a slurve due to its lack of vertical movement, which he's thrown 19% of the time and a 77 mph straight change that he's thrown about 11% of the time. 


Game 2, Wednesday 22 April

Kris Benson

Benson (1-1, 9.00, 1.909 WHIP), the first pick overall of the 1996 draft, has made his living as a League-Average pitch-to-contact type, although he did manage 184 K in 217 2/3 IP (7.6 K/9) back in Pittsburgh in 2000.  Benson, who (prior to this season) had not pitched in the Majors since 2006 is possibly best remembered for when his wife, Anna, claimed that if she caught Kris cheating on her, she would sleep with his entire team "all the way down to the groundskeepers."  In his two starts this year, Benson has pitched 11 innings and stuck out and walked five.

Benson's career platoon splits are pretty normal for a righty.  Lefties have hit him well (.288 / .363 / .470; 1.22 K/BB) but he has been pretty dominant over righties (.249 / .302 / .382; 2.81 K/BB).

Benson, who has lost four or five mph from his fastball (from 92-93 at the beginning of his career down to 88 mph this season), has upped his usage of his cutter and curveball in his first two starts this year.  He also throws an 80 mph changeup.



Matt Harrison

Harrison (0-2, 8.44, 2.438 WHIP) is a 6'4" lefty in his first full season with the Rangers at just 23 years old.  He was somewhat effective last year, starting 15 games and pitching 83 2/3 innings with a 5.49 ERA.  His strikeout rate (4.3 K/9) was less encouraging, particularly K-rates usually don't go up much.  This season there has not been much to like in Harrison, who has walked nine and yielded two homeruns while striking out just five in 10 2/3 innings over two starts.

He has handled righthanded batters (.313 / .372 / .514; 1.07 K/BB) slightly better than lefties (.300 / .377 / .560; 1.38 K/BB) over his career, which is consistent with his minor league performance.

Harrison's fastball (about 90 mph) and changeup (82 mph) account for about 75% of his pitches.  He also throws a curve and slider.  He's lost about 2 mph from his fastball this year, which does not bode particularly well for the youngster.

Game 3, Thursday 23 April

Benson is not starting, they've moved Harrison up the day, as Tom said, and have slotted Millwood in for Thursday's game.

This is unfortunate, as Millwood is a far superior pitcher to Benson and is coming off an excellent start against Kansas City.

In three starts this season, the veteran righty Millwood (23 IP, 1-1, 1.17, 0.783 WHIP) has pitched a complete game and struck out 14, while surrending just four walks and 14 hits.  If his K-rate (5.5 / 9IP) stays low, some of these batted balls should start dropping in for hits.  Obviously, his career 2.7 BB/9 IP shows that he isn't going to do the Jays many favours in terms of putting men on base.

Over his career, Millwood has had pretty strong platoon splits.  While he has limited righties to an anemic line (.249 / .293 / .382, 3.49 K/BB), lefties have managed to hit him pretty well (.270 / .340 / .419, 2.09 K/BB).

Millwood has always been a groundball pitcher with a 92-mph four-seam fastball and an 89 mph two-seamer, using the four-seamer more on lefties and the two-seamer more on righties.  He also throws a slider and curve with regularity and mixes in an occasional change.

By the way, the post title comes from Belle and Sebastian's "Get Me Away from Here, I'm Dying" and hopefully describes how the Rangers pitchers will be feeling as our bats heat back up.

 

0 recs  |  Comment 14 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

More from Bluebird Banter

Comments

Display:

Apparently Benson is being 'held back'

According to Lonestar Ball Harrison will likely move up a day.

by Tom Dakers on Apr 21, 2009 12:44 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i think they actually worked it out

perhaps they had a pre-nup that Anna didn’t know about

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Apr 21, 2009 1:27 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Isn't that article from 2006?

I don't want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to go chase it. ~Rogers Hornsby

by wroth91 on Apr 21, 2009 2:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yep

and the lovebirds worked it out

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Apr 21, 2009 8:21 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

hopefully

we don’t have to see Holland

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Apr 21, 2009 1:28 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

updated post

to reflect facing Harrison wednesday and Millwood thursday instead of Benson wednesday and Harrison thursday.

Thanks for catching my error, Tom.

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Apr 21, 2009 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

not an error.....

Just Texas changed their plans. I just came upon it because I go to Lone Star Ball occasionally.

by Tom Dakers on Apr 21, 2009 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That link to Lonestar Ball had something interesting in there

On their main page there was a quote from Joe Posnanski about something someone on Bluebird Banter mentioned a few weeks back (I honestly don’t remember who it was)

I remember Bill James wrote that it really would make sense for every big league manager to spend time simulating hundreds and hundreds of baseball games on a computer. People took that wrong; Bill was not saying that managers could LEARN about their teams from playing these simulations. What he was saying by playing these games again and again, some parts of the game would become second nature — he was saying they should simulate baseball games for the same reason that astronauts simulate and race car drivers and pilots and so on.

Does that sound like something someone might suggest to Cito? He’s done well enough so far, but it seems like the old-timers here are of the opinion that Cito inevitably mis-manages his bullpen throughout a season. I wish someone put that quote under Cito’s door or someone above his head.

I don't want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to go chase it. ~Rogers Hornsby

by wroth91 on Apr 21, 2009 3:09 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Oh you could suggest it to Cito......

and I’m sure he’d laugh. He’s not going to do it.

I also think that Cito should read The Book and learn about Lineup Optimization. But it isn’t going to happen, Cito would say he ‘knows all he needs to know’ and if the team is winning, that’s true. All a manager really has to do is win.

by Tom Dakers on Apr 21, 2009 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not so sure about that

I wouldn’t assume that Cito is intellectually uncurious. If it were suggested by someone he knew and respected, he might very well take a look at the Book – it just wouldn’t likely change his mind in any way – particularly once he read about how the optimized lineup doesn’t even increase run production very significantly.

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Apr 21, 2009 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You think reading about the bunt would get him to stop bunting....

I’ve seen a couple little interviews where something is suggested and he gives that little laugh and politely says he’s been in the game awhile.

I wouldn’t expect him to change things either really. Like I said winning is all that really matters for a manager. Well, not quite all the matter, I wouldn’t want him winning in the Billy Martin or Dusty Baker way that leaves behind a bunch of wrecked arms in his wake.

by Tom Dakers on Apr 21, 2009 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

I wasn’t suggesting he would take a look if it came up in an interview question, would have to be a baseball person he knew and respected. I’ve been interviewed and I don’t mind saying I pretty much assume the person asking me questions is full of it. Of course, you can’t communicate that when the interview is televised!

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Apr 21, 2009 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about our heroic azure-tinged corvidae, the Toronto Blue Jays.
Start posting about the Blue Jays »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
A Mariners Fan Looks at Brandon Morrow
Shuck_small
BBB Superbowl picks
39135485-59af19dbb26654095f910f34176af094_4ae8a81e-scaled_small
Predictions Group
Small
The Lovable Losers: Maintaining A Tradition
Bashergoalkn6_small
Dirk Hayhurst tweets regarding his impending Surgery.
Zunokx_small
Gregg to the jays is official
Clipboard01_small
For Frick's Sake...
Small
2010 Payroll
Small
Rumor: Jays Talking to Damon
Small
Joe Inglett on the move?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Bluejayperched_small hugo

Rincewind-1_small Tom Dakers

Authors

Hiro_small jessef