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I'm Standing on a Bridge In a Town Where I Lived As a Kid: Blue Jays System Minor League Report

Hi everyone.  It's been a little while, I figured we should use the off-day to take a look at how the minor-league affiliates, and, more importantly, the young Jay-to-be hopefuls, are doing. 

Star-divide

Las Vegas: 

Travis Snider is still out of action with a shoulder injury and isn't set to start swinging a bat again until July.  David Dellucci has been quiet for the 51s, hitting just .250/.242/.344, with three doubles over 33 plate appearances.  Michael Barrett recently returned to AAA (he's only played 2 games there).  J.P. Arencibia has been ice-cold recently -- after a hot May, he is hitting only .200/.235/.262 in June.  He does have 19 doubles and 8 home runs on the season but things aren't going well at the moment at all.  Randy Ruiz has always put up big minor-league numbers and this season is no exception - he has 41 extra base hits (including 15 home runs) already this season and a .972 OPS.  

On the mound, the 51s rotation has taken a hit with Brad Mills and Brett Cecil both up at the big club.  Fabio Castro has slowed down after a hot start at AAA - he's now sporting just a 30/26 K/BB ratio over 63 2/3 innings, though he still has a nice 3.11 ERA and a winning record.  David Purcey has two successful starts in a row and his walk rate continues to recede to respectable levels.   Bryan Bullington is putting up pretty good numbers in the bullpen, with over a strikeout per inning and a 35/6 K/BB ratio. 

New Hampshire:

Scott Campbell is back from injury and working his way up the minors - In 25 plate appearances at AA, he's hitting a Campbell-esque .300/.440/.400 with as many walks (5) as strikeouts and has yet to make an error, playing 2nd and 3rd.  I imagine he'll be back with Las Vegas soon.  Brian Dopirak continues to rake -- he's hitting .307/.369/.580 on the season and is even better than that so far in June (1.020 OPS) with 39 extra-base hits (16 HRs) already.  He could be ready to move up, but Randy Ruiz and Brett Harper are entrenched at AAA at the 1st base and DH spots.  Other than those two, there's not much offense to speak of - catcher Brian Jeroloman's bat (.706 OPS) remains cold, and second baseman Brad Emaus, who looked so good for the Jays in spring training, has really fallen off, hitting just .127/.182/.197 in June. 

On the mound, Marc Rzepczynski has been good all season, but has really turned it up in June, where he's 1-0 with a 0.45 ERA over his 3 starts and, still better, a 21/7 K/BB ratio over 20 innings.  His season totals are similarly excellent (2.93 ERA, 88/36 K/BB ratio over 76 2/3 innings and an excellent groundball ratio) despite being extremely hit-unlucky.  It's been a very successful half-season for Zep.  Reidier Gonzalez and Luis Perez have also done a nice job out of New Hampshire's rotation. 

Dunedin:

Dunedin's outfield has been excellent all season, and all three:  centrefielder Darrin Mastroianni, leftfielder Eric Thames, and rightfielder Moises Sierra, were all named to the Florida State League North Division all star team.  Mastroianni has a .325/.390/.426 line, with 32 steals, while Thames and Sierra have similar overall lines - both showing good power for young hitters and hitting well recently.  The trio of early 2007 draftee infielders -- John Tolisano, Justin Jackson, and Kevin Ahrens, have done less well.  That said, Tolisano is having a nice June (.311/.328/.475) with an extra-base hit every 10 at-bats so far.  Jackson has also been better this month -- not as good as he was in May upon returning from his injury, but OPSing a respectable .726 in June and striking out much less (just 11 times in 56 plate appearances this month).  Ahrens, though, has been just as cold (.588 OPS in June v. .576 over the season).  Adam Loewen is still waiting for things to click (.584 OPS this season) and is still waiting for his first home run. 

On the pitching side - 2008 draftee Andy Liebel's 2-8 record is misleading - Liebel has a very nice 65/20 K/BB ratio over his 77 1/3 innings and a steady 1.33 WHIP.  He's been especially strong in June and is having a fine first full pro season.  Kenny Rodriguez (5-2, 1.99 ERA, 48/21 K/BB ratio over 54 1/3 IP, 1.12 Whip) is also having a fine season in the rotation, while Trystan Magnuson, Daniel Farquar, and Tim Collins are pitching very well out of the bullpen -- Collins has a ridiculous 57 Ks in 37 1/3 innings, and isn't walking many (14) to do it.  Farquar (23/11 K/BB ratio over 17 relief innings for a 0.53 ERA) and Collins joined the aforementioned trio of outfielders and infielder Raul Barron on the all-star team. 

Lansing:

Outfielder Johermyn Chavez had a bit of a May dropoff after a very hot April, but has picked things up a bit in June - with 5 home runs already this month.  On the season, he has 12 home runs, 11 doubles, and 5 triples, serious power for a 20-year old hitter in the tough-on-hitters Midwest League.  His overall line is .266/.331/.500.  He's learning how to take a walk too - he has 21 walks in 265 plate appearances this season after drawing just 25 in 427 plate appearances last season.  Shortstop Ty Pastornicky hasn't figured out Midwest League pitching yet (.261/.339/.312) but he can draw a walk and he's been all over the bases  (31/40 in steal attempts). 

On the mound, Charles Huggins was so good (1.57 ERA) he was called up to Dunedin.  Chase Lirette, who recovered from shoulder surgery about halfway through the season last year, is old for the level but off to a very good start (1.87 ERA, 24/8 K/BB ratio) so he could move up soon as well. 

Auburn:

The season has only just started for the Doubledays.  Some players on the team who have already seen action with whom you might be familiar are 2008 draftee Marcus Brisker (OF), 2007 draftee Eric Eiland (CF), and 2009 draftees Lance Durham (son of Leon, also a first baseman) and Jonathan Fernandez (son of Tony, also a shorstop)

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I know he's only in Double A

But wouldn’t you rather try Dopirak at DH over Adams or Dellucci?

by Tom Dakers on Jun 22, 2009 12:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Buck Goat?

How come Buck Coats does not get any attention? His numbers look good.

How about this young Kyle Phillips whipper-snapper? Is he good? It is only 12 games but his numbers seem nice?

Go Jays.

by aagoodfella on Jun 22, 2009 1:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Kyle Phillips

is Jason Phillips’ younger brother. He got some regular time at third base when Russ Adams, Joe Inglett, and Scott Campbell all went down to injury. He also catches, I believe.

As for Coats, he’s not too bad. He can hit a bit, runs well, and plays pretty good defense. He’s not really a much different player from Inglett or Adams, all hit lefthanded – Coats can play centerfield, but Inglett and Adams can (sort of, in Russ’ case) play the infield.

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Jun 22, 2009 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

can we assume....

that brett cecil will have a spot in the rotation next season? barring any injuries or a meltdown in spring training of course…

by Aquamelli on Jun 22, 2009 1:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Doc - Ricky - Brett

that’s a solid 1-2-3 there IMO… especially with a year of MLB experience for the 2 youngins

by Aquamelli on Jun 22, 2009 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the Jays

want Cecil to win the job next season out of the Spring. My guess is that it will look something like: Doc/Marcum/Romero/Cecil and then maybe Richmond/Purcey (or Janssen or McGowan if they are healthy, but that’s not necessarily looking likely) with the possibility that the Jays could add an arm this offseason if they find the right person for the right price.

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Jun 22, 2009 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was thinking...

Tallet could be a solid #5 for us. He’s a veteran….his arm is healthy…he’s been around and faced all the great batters of the AL. So far this season, he’s only had 2 bad starts (Florida, KC)… I say we keep him

I agree with you about Marcum – I just hope TJS does him good.

There were rumors floating around in regards to Matt Cain – not necessarily to the Jays, but he could be on the block… if thats the case, I wonder if the higher ups would fork up the money to get a second stud to pitch behind Doc.

by Aquamelli on Jun 22, 2009 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

forking up money?

I can’t see this happening (forking up money to get a legitimate #2 starter), and while I’d love to see it happen I’d be more worried that we may not come up with the money to re-sign Halladay. Seems to me that good money should be spent shoring up the O a little and hoping that the wealth of young arms turns out 1 or 2 legit big leagure starters – hopefully Marcum comes back well, McGowan looks like a long shot, but either Romero or Cecil could have a future with the club.

by jaysbrazil on Jun 23, 2009 7:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So...

If that is the rotation that you like, whom do we trade away?

by canadiancolts on Jun 22, 2009 1:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

how about Fabulous Fabio Castro

he has great numbers in Vegas, it seems like he should get a shot at one of these fill-in roles. Is there something behind the numbers that might indicate he is not so worthy of an MLB start?

by aagoodfella on Jun 22, 2009 3:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

as I wrote in the report

his peripherals are actually pretty bad. 30 Ks and 26 BBs in 63 2/3 innings is so poor it looks like his low ERA is the result of some temporary extreme hit-luck (.191 batting average against in May despite low K numbers, totally unsustainable). His last three starts have been pretty poor (17 2/3 innings, 11 ER, 6 BB/9 K) so it looks like his luck has run out.

Still, he had a great start to the season so hopefully he can start pitching better, but he’d be a very poor choice for a callup right now in my opinion.

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Jun 22, 2009 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

oops yea, thx for doubling back though

by aagoodfella on Jun 22, 2009 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

the way Rios has been brain cramping lately,in regards to baserunning,don’t be shocked if he is offered up for a SP soon.I read on another site a few days ago,that the Pirates and Padres have both had several scout types following the Jays.No idea how true that is,since I am in Calgary,but it would not bother me if it happens.

by wayne scarlett on Jun 22, 2009 5:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

He has a full no trade clause for another year or two

then a window during which he can be traded, then he gets 5/10 rights.

They're not just hitting home runs. They're doing the little things, like hitting doubles.

by Torgen on Jun 22, 2009 6:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i think

with no proof, that’s an absurd and incredibly vague comment to make – yes, it’s possible – he’s been offered for Lincecum (yeah yeah that would be great blah blah) and his hitting has been much better lately (brought up AVG 14 points and OPS 36 points in last 10 games, 868 OPS in May and 784 in June), and for the season i can remember exactly 2 baserunning mistakes. not exactly goat material… especially since his stock is so low right now.

Prehistoric Hoops - a neat little Raps blog

by boo15749 on Jun 22, 2009 8:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

wasn’t McGowan supposed to be ready THIS june or early July? Has anyone heard whether this could be a career ending injury? I pray he can recover,but it just seems like this guy can’t catch any luck at all.

by wayne scarlett on Jun 22, 2009 5:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

we just did an article on this on Friday, based on some comments by Assistant GM Alex Anthopolous. Nothing for sure, but it sounds like he is definitely out for the rest of this season and it didn’t sound very promising going forward…

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Jun 22, 2009 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

my guess for 2010 rotation

Halladay: This is a no-brainer.
Marcum: If he picks up where he left off, we’re laughing. However, I wouldn’t be totally surprised if he doesn’t and is replaced with Purcey.
Romero: Looking at his pitch repertoire, velocity and location this year, he’s solid and should be able to continue being good enough to stick.
Cecil: Similar to Romero, in my opinion
Richmond: Continues to surprise people, but with a 93 MPH fastball, a good slider and a much improved curve, is it really a surprise that he is doing so well?

Others we might see get starts:
Purcey: Could be in the rotation to start the year. I really think he’s gonna be a solid big league pitcher at some point.
McGowan: I wouldn’t be surprised if we don’t see him, but stranger things have happened.
Litsch: If we see him at all, it’ll be late in the season. With the young pitchers coming up, Litsch’s may have a hard time getting back up with the big club.
Tallett: I’m sure he could do really well as a starter, it might be difficult to find him a spot in the rotation, and he’s a fine bullpen long man. Something tells me he might be traded anyway, which might not be a bad thing if they could get something good in return while his stock is up.
Janssen: As a starter, I don’t know that he’s a better option than Purcey/Richmond. He’ll have to prove me wrong on that one. More likely a bullpen option – maybe.
Mills: He may have slid down the depth chart. He’ll probably have to put up better numbers at AAA to get a shot next year. An insurance option.
Castro: I was going on and on about Castro earlier this season, even when he was in AA. He seems to have come down to earth now though. It’s hard to say. His numbers are still pretty good, but I haven’t seen him pitch. Maybe we’ll see him this year at some point.
Rzepczynksi: Good #‘s, I hear JP likes him, so who knows.
Robert Ray: 12th to 14th on depth chart?
Burres: I kid, I kid. Although his past few starts in Vegas weren’t that bad.

Sorry bout the rant

by REMO on Jun 22, 2009 8:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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