More on the Greinke Trade
Like everyone else, Richard Griffin talked about the Zack Greinke trade this morning. What got me is that Griffin admitted that the trade, at least with Drabek, Snider, Arencibia and Hechavarri as the ones going to the Royals, would be a mistake for the Jays, but then he says this:
Anthopoulos, forever brimming with youthful confidence, is still learning his craft and in this case was schooled by veteran Brewers GM Doug Melvin, a fellow Canadian. Anthopoulos is the Texas hold 'em player who always wants to see the flop, calling every hand, even with 9-7 unsuited, just in case things fall his way. Whenever the sophomore GM finds out a young talent is available and would be under club control for at least a couple of seasons, he makes the call to find out what it would take to get it done. In this case, Royals GM Dayton Moore was likely asking too much, especially if the Jays, as they insist, are still in a rebuilding mode.
Now I don't understand how Alex was 'schooled' by Melvin? Does anyone think that we should have made the trade with the players that Griffin mentions? Or is he saying Alex shouldn't have looked into what it would have taken to get Greinke? I'm glad we have a GM that takes an interest in any good player that might be available in trade. I'm all for seeing if a trade could be made, for terms we like, on any good player. It only makes sense.
In no way was Alex schooled. The Brewers felt they were in a spot where making that trade was a good idea. They are in a division where they are very competitive. The players they gave up are good, but I don't see any of them being very special. If we could have traded 4 guys that weren't likely to become special, I'd be all for the trade.
Is Griffin saying there is something Alex should have done differently? If so, he should tell us what it is, because I really don't see it.
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It's amazing how staggeringly illogical Griffin can be at times.
Stating that the package necessary to get it done would have been a mistake on the jays end, and then going on to talk about how AA is a fool… for not offering that package? uh
I think...
Griffin was pushing a theory in the last week or so that the Jays made the Marcum/Lawrie trade, in part, to take Milwaukee out of the Greinke hunt, by taking away much of their need for pitching, as well as their top prospect. The idea was that with Milwaukee out of the picture, the price would fall for Greinke and Anthopoulos would be able to pick him up for less than the Snider/Drabek+ package.
So I guess what Griffin is referring too is that, if Anthopoulos really went through all that trouble just to increase the likelihood he could acquire Greinke, that Melvin wasn’t going to stop at just having one extra good starter in the rotation.
Probably
If anyone was schooled, my money is on the Royals GM. I don’t see why he needed to do this deal this week. He could have waited to see what other teams (such as the Yankees) would offer. I doubt the offers would have gotten any worse.
The only reason I can see for the deal happening now and to the Brewers is that Greinke restricted where he would go because of his no-trade/trade restriction clause and the Brewers pulled a take it or leave it. Moore, painted into a corner, did the take it.
Your first mistake is obvious – reading Griffin.
by TamRa on Dec 20, 2010 3:56 PM EST reply actions 8 recs
rec'd
I used to dismantle his articles here but for the past year or so I’ve just taken to totally ignoring him. He isn’t a bad writer at all, but his opinions are too often presented in a way lacking logic or factual basis and he has a staggering gift for self-contradiction (which is embodied quite well in this particular article)
"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman
Nothing constructive
I read that article this morning, and was surprised to see Griffin provide no additional information, to support his claim of getting “schooled”. If Doron is right, which his theory does in fact seem quite plausible, then Griffin should come out and say it, instead of beating around bush giving vauge sporting analogies, that don’t seem to fit.
I have a feeling he was waiting for the perfect time to throw out the “9-7 unsuited” in an article, as he has most likely lost a lot of money doing the exact same thing.
Proud member of the AL North
Its a horrible analogy.
It costs money to see every flop in poker. Making a call to inquire on every player or situation isn’t a parallel to that
Never Explain. Your friends do not need it and your enemies will not believe it anyway - Elbert Hubbard
Twitter is the thing with all the tweets...
by JohnnyG on Dec 20, 2010 4:12 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
In that case, maybe we shoul get Griffin to write columns on poker too...
He can imagine stuff there too…
Festina Lente
My interpretation
What I think he meant by “schooled” was that Melvin landed the fish using not a lot of bait. When you read Posnaski’s breakdown of the prospects – it seems like either Snider or Drabek (but certainly not both) – packaged with some other lower tiered players would have been better than the Brewer’s package. However, when it comes to prospects, I only know what I read.
Plus, does anyone really know what AA offerred? For all we know, the Jays may not have offered any of the prized chips, and that’s why they lost out.
Practicing
Richard Griffin is never wrong about baseball rumours.
by siggian on Dec 20, 2010 4:12 PM EST reply actions 4 recs
Melvin schooled AA cuz he got the trade done without giving up as much as griffin reported the jays had to pay (Snider and Drabek) So in regards to that Melvin did school AA. But im not so sure Drabek and Snider were offered together in the 1st place.
Avi: Should I call you Bullet? Tooth?
Bullet Tooth Tony: You can call me Susan if it makes you happy.
I think Griffin is just trying to justify the Greinke rumors that he himself propagated and advocated in his articles and when he went on the Fan talking to McCowan. The idea that AA was in on Greinke as much as Griffin tries to indicate even in this response presupposes that AA wanted Greinke as much as Melvin did and that both the circumstances for each GM were equal. But all along, as Wilner said and AA himself said was that the Jays were not one piece away from contending unlike the Brewers who have one last year of Prince and an offense which ranked in the top 5 in the NL. Also that Greinke would have waived his ntc to Toronto like he did for the Brewers because (as Griffin would like us to believe) the Jays are one piece away from being contenders.
Griffin is just a hack and this piece of trash response to the Greinke trade is just him trying to prove that somehow he is still a relevent baseball writer and that he can still justify being paid to publish his opinions on baseball.
Griffin's conspiracy theory was kinda fun but...
I don’t think it was anything more than that. It would’ve made more sense if there weren’t several other clubs seriously after Greinke.
Too bad cuz “hot shot young GM gets schooled by wiser counterpart” is so captivating… Oh well. Still looking forward to the day when the Jays are the ones acquiring aces from also-ran teams for packages of prospects.
by Mike Friesen on Dec 20, 2010 6:49 PM EST up reply actions
If a comparable package of, say, Marisnick, Scrabble, Roenicke, and Pierra would have got the trade done for the Jays, yes, AA got schooled. If the deal was Snider or Drabek plus a couple of top guys like Hech or D’Arnaud to make it work, no, he didn’t. To belabour the awful poker analogy, Moore bluffed hard after the flop and AA folded because the odds were too low for the money. And on the next hand, Melvin took the same bluff and cashed out.
I agree with the gist of your article, Tom
This article is more of a “Get off my lawn” article by a grumpy old man.
I think AA did the right thing. Greinke wasn’t going to make the Jays a WS contender this year and the loss of both Snider and Drabeck would hurt chances in 2012-2014.
As I said earlier, I suspect that the price for Greinke would be higher for an AL team.
In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.
by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 20, 2010 4:54 PM EST reply actions
best trade of the offseason..
Would be Dick, and Damion Cox to Cleveland for Jordan Bastion.
by ABsteve on Dec 20, 2010 4:55 PM EST reply actions 14 recs
Griffin
I agree with your article as well. It was way too much to give up for somebody who could be gone after two years. AA played this right.
Griffin can be awesome. If I recall, he was GREAT last Spring Training.
Problem is sometimes he writes articles like this. He probably thinks he had a big hand in the firing of JP Ricciardi.
Griffin always nails Spring Training and the Winter Meetings, and every so often, he shows real talent in his writing. At his best, he’s easily as good as Elliot. The problem is that he’s got a tendency to try and play up his insider cred with stuff like this, or he runs out the stock column:
1. Rambling reminescent intro vaguely conntected to his topic
2. Re-iterating the connection to his topic.
3. Mention working for the Expos.
4. Main thrust of piece, usually with some kind of personal angle no one cares about
5. Mention working for the Expos again.
6. Swipe at the Ricciardi years.
7. Mention Anthopoulos worked for the Expos.
8. Obligatory comparison of person/situation/team with HoF reference that he’s met
9. Conclude, sort of.
10. Ramble for one more paragraph past where the 30 should have been
11. Mention working for the Expos.
by dexfarkin on Dec 20, 2010 8:44 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
I Throw Up In My Mouth
Every time the old sot waxes poetic about Les Expos and Montreal. I’ve got a sawbuck for the kitty to cover Griffin’s move back there. Who’s in with me?
by Infield Pete on Dec 20, 2010 9:34 PM EST up reply actions
If anything, I think AA schooled Melvin. Melvin mortgaged his team’s future at the same time when the Phillies just picked up the big 4. Not the greatest time to do that.
From what I've been reading
the four players don’t represent an inordinate amount of hope for any team’s future.
by Mike Friesen on Dec 20, 2010 6:52 PM EST up reply actions
Maybe he'll like the heat the ban hammer generates more
by Minor Leaguer on Dec 20, 2010 7:19 PM EST up reply actions
AA got scholled?
AA got the brewers best prospects and gave up less. does anyone in the media think before they write?
into the mashed potateos
does anyone really think drabek and snider for grienke would be a fair deal?
into the mashed potateos
I can see both sides on this one.
On one hand it looks like AA was sitting on his hands waiting for another team to poach Greinke. On the hand, its not a deal AA could afford to make by emptying out his AAA and parts of the big league team. WIth the names being thrown around in the deal, the Jays couldn’t afford to make that deal, they have too many holes now and would have even more holes if they did the deal.
I tend to think it’s all a matter of personality.
Step 1: Bob Elliot SPECULATES it might take Snider & Drabek
Step 2: Toronto Baseball media, who revere Elliot as a god, sloppily take Elliot’s speculation as an actual proposal by one of the teams and run with it.
Step 3: National media notes that Toronto media seems convinced an S/D package was discussed, and ru with it.
Step 4: when another, lesser, package actually completes the deal, self-refferential Toronto media compares actual deal to NEVER ACTUALLY PROPOSED S/D deal in order to generate even more copy about a thing that never actually happened.
S.O.P.
AA smokes clowns like Griffin on the b-ball court.
Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.
Melvin Schooled Griffin
This whole deal was Griffin writing about what trade was to be made, in essence telling Double Eh how to do his job. When the Jays ignored Griffin’s idiotic advice, like even consider moving a passel of blue chippers for a guy who has had ONE outstanding year, he had a hissy fit and backhanded the young GM.
You know that Double Eh told nobody what he was offering, or even if he made an offer. And there is no way he left any offer dangling out there, even though Griffin dropped the same Jays names every day. Alex never leaves an offer on the table, lest it be used as leverage on someone else, thus shutting him out. He has said that in interviews several times.
Griffin has slyly alluded to some mystery source in the know, I’m guessing from the Bucks, an old NL source. Or he made that part up. AA would fire any Jay employee leaking. Jeez, he shut down Bautista tweeting when he passed an understandable opinion about not trading current team mates Drabek and Snider. NOTHING gets out of this organization that may impact on what they do in the near or long term future. I agree with Alex 100% on that.
So Griffin makes stuff up to bang off 500 words in 10 minutes, instead of actually chasing a story down, maybe putting some effort into it. It’s called burned out. It’s called lazy.
It could have been worse. The old sot hasn’t gone off on the “Golden Age of the Expos” in awhile. I am gnashing my teeth just thinking about it.
by Infield Pete on Dec 20, 2010 9:27 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
After mlbtr.com the Royals liked our offer...
but Greinke didn´t want to pitch for Toronto
"Touch ´em all, Joe!"
by jaysfanfromeurope on Dec 20, 2010 11:02 PM EST reply actions
mlbtr actually misquoted Rosenthal’s article, he said the Royals liked our prospects, but since we were on Greinke’s no-trade-list we “never had a shot”. Still nothing definitive out there that says an offer was even made.
It’s the right move to inquire about Greinke at least, maybe the Royals would have accepted a package of lesser prospects and you could flip Greinke at the trade deadline for better prospects, like Seattle did with Cliff Lee last season. But if he doesn’t want to play in Toronto, it’s kind of a non-starter. If I was a betting man, I’d say this whole hullabaloo was nothing more than unfounded speculation.
collaboration not one-upmanship
Here’s a conspiracy theory for you, Griffin: AA asked Moore about what it would take to land Greinke. When he realised that KC’s trying to land “up-the-middle” prospects just like we are, he pointed him in Melvin’s direction. Melvin and AA have been chatting for a few weeks, worked out a couple deals themselves and AA is fully aware of what the Brewers could offer as he was probably offered some of those players himself earlier this month instead of Lawrie. AA realised that if Greinke’s not heading to Toronto, it would be best to help KC trade him to Milwaukee rather than to New York.
GM’s may actually collaborate once in a while, rather than simply trying to one-up each other. But the newspaper industry probably doesn’t work that way so maybe that would be hard to grasp.
by spud77 on Dec 20, 2010 11:13 PM EST reply actions 2 recs
I wonder if he meant the Doc Trade
and how he sees the royals getting more for greinke then what we got in return for Roy, and that’s the “schooling” he was referring too
wht he meant was:
Expos. Expos. Expos. I worked for the Expos. Hence, I know what’s going on in the back rooms of the front office (or was it the front room of the back office?). Of the Expos. Expos? Yes, Expos.
Hey, what do you mean “The are no Expos”? What Jays? Blue Jays? Never heard of them. I work for the Expos. Truly. Been there this morning.
What? Oh. Sorry, nurse O’Malley… Yes… I promise to take my meds… I just don’t like the blue pills,,,
Festina Lente
I think he was dead on
Melvin gave up MUCH less that what we allegedly offered to get Greinke and of course took Betancourt off their hands too( we were never going to do that). Cain and Escobar are solid players but hardly elite and the other two are a mid-level prospect and a reliever. So I think in that respect the Brewers did school A.A. In the respect of catering to what a team really needs to get a deal done. My guess is the Royals (needing a CF) wanted Gose and not Snider.

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