Make your prediction: Adam Lind
by Tom Dakers on Feb 11, 2010 2:53 PM EST
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PrintAfter three years of going up and down from the minors to majors, Lind finally spent a full season with the Jays. Running out of options is a good thing sometimes. He was terrific, 35 home runs, 114 RBI, 15th in MVP voting, won the Silver Slugger award.
We took a detailed look at 2009 season here. The split that caught my attention the most was that he hit better playing LF (.316/.386/.605) than he did as a DH (.299/.362/.539). To me that's enough reason to want him to play in the field, even if he isn't very good with the glove. But then he might grow more used to DHing as time goes on. His pull line:
This year he'll turn 27 in July so there is still time for growth. He should be entering his prime in the next couple of years.
Bill James figures he'll hit .305/..364/.542 in 642 PA, with 31 HR and 113 RBI.
Chone isn't as hopeful .293/.350/.502 in 642 PA with 24 homers and 90 RBI.
So give us your predictions for PA, slash line, homers, RBI and just for fun, how many games he plays in LF.
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Adam Bomb
.335/.412/.669
43 HR’s/139 RBI’s
"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.
by craig in calgary on Feb 11, 2010 3:00 PM EST reply actions
2nd in MVP voting
Wait till I give you my Lunchbox prediction.
"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.
by craig in calgary on Feb 11, 2010 3:03 PM EST up reply actions
1.081 OPS?
that’s about .008 off top-100 most productive seasons ever.
and wouldn’t it be great!
i’ll try my hand… .311/.397/.593
Yep
My first version resulted in a BarryBondsesque OPS, so I scaled his slugging % back a bit.
"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.
by craig in calgary on Feb 11, 2010 3:30 PM EST up reply actions
Just don't be the "second coming of the Vernon"...
Everybody seem to be so hyped, and I just pray he won’t give us Vernon’s last year…
I’m all for that kid. I believe in him. I think he’s great.
But I believed in Vernon as well…
So, Adam, be calm, be patient, hit hard.
And, Vernon… just try to surprise us all… will you?
Festina Lente
I'm confident in Lind going into '10
He really looked good in his approach at the plate last year. He hung in against lefties, took pitches, and seemed to have an idea of exactly what he was looking to at the plate rather than being purely reactive. It’s a recipe for success, and I think he’ll have a solid follow-up campaign this year.
"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman
I think Lind could have a CNC (craig in calgary) -predicted season, but I am going to make a more conservative prediction just to be safe (plus do not want to put too much pressure on him since I do not think he really likes that so much)
so
AVG = 295
OBP = 350
SLG = 540
HR = 30
RBI = 100
although really, if those kind of numbers are “not too much pressure” that speaks quite highly to one’s caliber as a hitter.
The House Stud
No question he’s the biggest bag of testosterone fueled kiss ass in TO.
He’ll play over half the year at age 26 – his next four years could all be killers. He should at least sniff at an MVP before he’s done.
In 2010 my crystal ball sees: 42 homers, 114 ribbies all done by a .316 BA, 375 OBP, 608 SLG giving a nifty little OPS of .983
Ding ding ding
I bet you are dead on
"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.
by craig in calgary on Feb 11, 2010 6:23 PM EST up reply actions
Why do you need to dream?
That’s essentially what he did last year?
"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.
by craig in calgary on Feb 12, 2010 3:12 PM EST up reply actions
my guess
is that they’re very excited about the prospect of Ruiz making the Jays as DH
"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman
We are Jay's fans....
we get excited about a 33 year old career minor leaguer getting the DH job. It is sort of sad when you think about it.
DH vs LF
I wonder if his poorer numbers as DH had anything to do with the fact that, while playing LF, he didn’t have to listen to Cito for prolonged periods between each at bay?
I think most players do better when they are playing in the field
Keeps them in the game better. He did seem to like Cito….they sat together a lot.
Edgar Martinez
In several interviews used to say that one of the biggest challenges as a DH was keeping yourself from going from ‘start to stop to start’ physically over the process of the game because you’re not on the field. In the field, you’re active and remain limber between at-bats, but on the bench, it’s easy to let your slow back down over a couple of innings, and it is harder and more tiring to ramp yourself back up for each at bat.
I’ve never DH’ed, so I don’t have any direct experience, but it does make sense to me.
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