Make your predictions: Jose Bautista

by Tom Dakers on Feb 15, 2010 1:20 PM EST in Fun

Happy Family Day, if your part of the world has that holiday. In Alberta we get today off because a former Premier's son was caught with cocaine so he gave us all a day off in February. A day off in February is sort of a mixed blessing, but we get to sit around and watch the Olympics today.

With pitchers and catchers heading to Florida, there isn't all that much for news. So let's give our guesses for what we think Jose Bautista will do this season. We took a look at his 2009 season here. He had big left/right splits, as always, he hit lefties great (.293/.382/.537) but righties not at all (.202/.320/.388). He also didn't hit much with RISP (.172/.315/.217) but then that might be a small sample size thing. His complete hitting line:

	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009 - Jose Bautista	113	336	54	79	13	3	13	40	56	85	4	0	.235	.349	.408

We all know what an amazing arm he has. 11 assists in 84 games is terrific and he looked to have decent range in the outfield. I don't really think he has the bat for a corner outfield spot but Cito disagrees and likes him in the lead off spot. He did finish the season well last year.

Bill James sees him hitting 241/.335/.409, 13 homers and 48 RBI in 417 PA.

CHONE has him .230/.326/.393, 15 HR and 51 RBI in 476 PA.

I don't know, I think the tough part is to guess how many plate appearances he's going to get. I think, with a career .681 OPS vs. RHP, he shouldn't bat against them. But my vote doesn't count.

So give us your predictions, the usual slash line, PA, homers, RBI and whatever else you would like to share.

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Comments

Funny how much

A person’s handedness makes the difference between a bench player and Curtis Granderson.

Expect a slight increase of performance against RH, so add .03 OPS to 2009.

by Opisgod on Feb 15, 2010 2:13 PM EST reply actions

In a lefty only world...

…Jose would be King. Unfortunately, sigh.

I don’t want him in RF – I want Snider. I don’t want him in LF – I want Lind, I don’t want him at 3rd – I want Encarnacion, I don’t want him at DH – I want Ruiz and I don’t want him at 1st – I want Dopriak. SO – I don’t want him to get off the bench – if he makes the team.

I ALSO KNOW – I seldom get what I want – OK – I more or less NEVER get what I want!

Having said that, to give the devil his due – this guy has a cannon for an arm, and at one time was a fairly well thought of prospect. Mind you, at one time my 96 year old grandma Jean had a kick ass body – unless those old black and white pictures were lying.

by Mylegacy on Feb 15, 2010 3:06 PM EST reply actions

you can't make a comment like that

unless you’re going to post a picture!

"Look at me! I'm Tomokazu Ohka of the Montreal Expos!"

by jessef on Feb 15, 2010 3:20 PM EST up reply actions

Jamie Campbell quote of the olympics:

“Whooaaaaaaa this sport is totally rad”

In reference to snowboarder cross.

"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.

by craig in calgary on Feb 15, 2010 5:30 PM EST reply actions

Those guys going down four at a time

are almost as much fun as watching the short track speed skating.

by Tom Dakers on Feb 15, 2010 5:49 PM EST up reply actions

great for spectators, but I wonder if it really sorts out the best boarder versus running down one at a time. Still, perhaps fighting off three other racers is a skill unto itself.

by aagoodfella on Feb 15, 2010 10:42 PM EST up reply actions

i guess you don't snowboard. racing like that seperates the best from the pack for sure,

by Andy Mc on Feb 15, 2010 10:58 PM EST up reply actions

I do snowboard. I am saying that if those four guys raced down the track individually the average finish time would be faster than when they go down together. Going down together does not enable them to take the best lines for maximum speed because they have to jostle for position. Moreover, many of those race outcomes are determined by random events such as incidental contact etc. So, IMHO, it is a contest that more measures ability to battle fellow racers than pure snowboarding talent. I think it would be interesting if they had events comprised of individually run races along those same courses.

by aagoodfella on Feb 16, 2010 8:34 AM EST up reply actions

cuban first base man

has anyone heard anything abouth the jays trying to sign

by dmb on Feb 15, 2010 7:53 PM EST reply actions

Yeah we talked about it

here. We’ll see, he wants a team that he can get to the majors ‘quick’.

by Tom Dakers on Feb 15, 2010 8:07 PM EST up reply actions

I really think JoBau will post a HUGE walk rate...

.255/.355/.455/.810, 18 HR, 29 2B, 22 SB, +9 RF defence, 600 PA

by Andy Mc on Feb 15, 2010 8:46 PM EST reply actions

He does that and AA is a genious for bringing him back

Hard to predict how many PA’s he’ll get.

I’ll guess 300 PA. .265/.340/.440

10 HR, 31 RBI

by REMO on Feb 15, 2010 9:13 PM EST up reply actions

i also think he'll see significant time @ CF

by Andy Mc on Feb 15, 2010 10:59 PM EST up reply actions

if he gets 600 plate appearances

I think he faces way too many righties to put up rate stats anywhere near those

"Look at me! I'm Tomokazu Ohka of the Montreal Expos!"

by jessef on Feb 16, 2010 8:33 AM EST up reply actions

Yep. JOBA is a 227 lifetimer vs. righties and the recent trend is not good. Versus righties, Joba hit 2007 avg of 253, 2008 avg of 233 and 2009 avg of 202.

by aagoodfella on Feb 16, 2010 8:37 AM EST up reply actions

you may be surprised if his main plan is to draw walks

he has a great eye

by Andy Mc on Feb 17, 2010 8:01 PM EST up reply actions

i think my key objection to that plan would be that if I know Joba only hits 220ish versus me as a rightie, it is just the better option to chuck a risky strike in there. I do not think he can pull off the walk thing.