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You shall judge a man by his enemies: The Boston Red Sox

The first of our looks at our AL East opponents.

The Red Sox, after 80 years of being poorly run, having some good players but their bad management cost them any hope of being the equal of the Yankees.  Finally, just before the turn of the millennium, they finally got the management they needed to catch up to the Yankees. Good for the Red Sox, not so good for the Jays. Having the two richest teams in our division, both being run well, competing hard against each other, makes it tough.

Last year the Sox had a number of players suddenly turn old, had some injuries, were poor defensively and yet still won 95 games, easily taking the AL Wild Card spot.  This off-season, like most since Theo Epstein took over as GM, has seen a lot of turnover on Red Sox roster. Gone are Jason Bay, Billy Wagner, Takashi Saito, Casey Kotchman, Nick Green, Alex Gonzalez, George Kottaras, Javier Lopez and a handful of others.

Picked up were free agents John Lackey, Mike Cameron, Marco Scutaro and Adrian Beltre.  They made a couple of trades, getting Jeremy Hermida for prospects, Bill Hall for Casey Kotchman and Boof Bonser for a prospect.

How the Red Sox line up, after the jump.

Star-divide

Catcher:

Last year the Sox started the year with Jason Varitek as starter and George Kottaras as Tim Wakefield's caddy. Varitek hit like a 37 year old catcher and Kottaras did about as well, so they traded for Victor Martinez, likely the second best catcher in the AL. Martinez will be the starter this year with Varitek as the backup. Martinez isn't great defensively and doesn't have much of an arm behind the plate, but he can hit. He played a lot of first last year, this year they Sox plan to have him behind the plate mostly, which might cost him a bit of defense.  But then the choice other choice is Jason Varitek.

Infield:

Kevin Youkillis started 56 games at third, 78 games at first and was great defensively at both. This year, the plan is to play him just at first. He's also terrific offensively. Power, gets on base, good average and doesn't run that badly.  The flip side of that is he is a jerk, never seen a strike call he didn't argue. He's a wee bit intense. He's 31 this year, I do get the feeling that he's the type of player that won't age well but I don't think they have to worry about that this year.

Dustin Pedroia lost points of batting average but still hit about .300. He's a great player and will just be 26 this year, so he could still improve.  He even was sort of humanized, this past year, with some troubles with his wife's pregnancy and some,far too often shown, commercials.

At short the Sox traded up from Jed Lowrie, Nick Green, Alex Gonzalez and a cast of thousands last year to Marco Scutaro this year. Scutaro is much much better than what they had, but then I don't have to tell anyone here that.

Mike Lowell played third the last three years and until last year was a one the best defensive players at the position, but last year his defense was terrible. He lost all his range after hip surgery. So the Sox went out and signed Adrian Beltre as part of their plan to improve team defense. Beltre is as good as anyone with the glove but he hit just .265/.304/.379 last year with Seattle. His numbers should be better in the more offensively friendly Fenway Park.

Outfield:

The Red Sox have made changes in the outfield. Worrying about his defense, his knees and the contract he was looking for, they let Jason Bay leave. And not being thrilled with the defense Jacoby Ellsbury provided in CF (his UZR was roughly equal to Vernon's) they signed a terrific defensive CFer Mike Camerson moving Ellsbury to LF. At least I think that's the plan, Theo Epstein has said in interviews that the team's own defensive metrics have Ellsbury at least average in center, so he might still see time there.

Ellsbury had quite a good offensive season last year, hitting .301/.355/.415. He also stole 70 bases. He's 26 this year so he could improve a bit still. Cameron is a low average hitter who walks quite a lot, strikes out a lot and has good power. He's 37 this year, so his numbers may decline some. J.D. Drew has a terrific bat and is a good fielder, his weakness, of course, is that he misses time through injuries every year. And 34 this year so I don't think that is likely to change. The Sox also traded for Jeremy Hermida to take Rocco Baldelli's 4th outfielder spot. As a 4th outfielder, he's a good one, some power, good defense, some speed and gets on base ok. He'll see a lot of work this year.

DH:

David Ortiz started very very slowly last year, he didn't hit his first home run until May 20th (against the Jays). He did finish strong hitting .258/.350/.516, with 16 home runs in the second half. At 33 he seems to have gotten old very suddenly.  He also didn't hit lefties at all, so he might end up in a platoon with Mike Lowell, who has lost his job at third and but still can hit the ball.

Starting pitching:

Josh Bechett, Jon Lester and free agent pickup John Lackey make for as good a top of the rotation any team has. All three could win 15 to 20 games this year. Beckett is a potential free agent after the season. Lester started game 1 of the ALCS, he seems to have taken over the number one spot in the rotation.

The back of the rotation might not be much worse than the front. Clay Buchholtz came into his own at the end of last year; he was 6-1 over his last 10 starts and the Sox used him as their 3rd starter in the ALCS.  Daisuke Matsuzaka has been wildly inconsistent since the Sox spent all that money to bring him over from Japan. Last year wasn't good, he had a 5.76 ERA but he did have 4 good September/October starts to finish the season. It might mean good things for this year.  But then who knows.

Tim Wakefield has been with the team for 15 years, but it looks like he will start this season on the DL. I don't know when or if he'll pitch in the majors this year. The Red Sox also have Michael Bowden and Boof Bonser waiting for an injury to get a shot at getting a few starts.

Bullpen:

Jonathon Papelbon, even with his blowup in the ALCS (couldn't happen to a nicer guy) will continue to be the closer and there is no reason to expect he won't be the same as he's always been. Hard thrower Daniel Bard is next in line for the closer role. Hidecki Okajima, Manny Delcarmen and Ramon Ramirez will also be in the pen.

Overall:

The Red Sox have made a number of moves to fix up a terrible team defense from last year, at some offensive cost. They look to be changing into a pitching and defense team. There are positions where they are aging, but they should have enough to be in the playoff race again this year and I'd be surprised if they don't make it into the post season.

For the future, they have a number decent minor league prospects and, of course, they have money to buy free agents to fill in any holes they might have. And they are well run, have a good manager, general manager and good ownership so they won't be going away anytime soon. 

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After the hit on Lind last year...

That Papelbon blowup in the ALDS left me with a smile for days and days.

Ball.

by Casusby on Mar 9, 2010 4:03 PM EST reply actions  

they have a bunch of good prospects

I keep hearing about Casey Kelly being their future, yet I don’t believe he’s cracked hi-a yet.

by NHfishercatsfan on Mar 9, 2010 4:17 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

i really like

Westmoreland he’s going to be great IMO, if he can stay healthy..

by FenixL on Mar 9, 2010 4:35 PM EST up reply actions  

i agree

The only one of their top prospects I see as a dud is Lars Anderson.

by NHfishercatsfan on Mar 9, 2010 4:48 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Yeah he went through the hype machine and really dropped off.

Life as a Toronto Sports Fan?... *sigh*... It is what it is...

by JohnnyG on Mar 9, 2010 7:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Westmoreland

is projected to be the .300, 30/30, especially in Fenway. Kelly is now a full-time pitcher. Daniel Bard can definitely make an impact in the pen, possible future closer. Overall, the Sox have a damn good farm full of talent.

HEADING STRAIGHT FOR THEM, I PRESS DOWN MAH GUNS!

by BenjiDoc on Mar 9, 2010 6:51 PM EST up reply actions  

A solid solid lineup

As a Jays fan, it’s kind of depressing that they can so quickly overhaul an aging lineup.

They still have a number of older veterans but they are no longer playing key roles. :(

by siggian on Mar 9, 2010 4:20 PM EST reply actions  

If I had a chance to punch one player in the face

I’m not sure who I’d pick Kevin Youkillis or Jonathan Papelbon. I can honestly say neither of them have a single endearing quality.

"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.

by craig in calgary on Mar 9, 2010 4:28 PM EST reply actions  

Papelbon

As much as Youk annoys me on the field, apparently he’s a pretty stand up guy outside and does a ton of charity work for kids. According to some of Boston news, Papelbon is supposed to be as arrogent off the field as on it. Mind you, that could all just be media bias at work…

by dexfarkin on Mar 9, 2010 4:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Dammit

I don’t want to hear that Youk is a good guy. It’s hard to hate a guy who does work in the community and with charities. That being said the bloggerverse tries as hard as they can to vilify Tebow for some reason

"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.

by craig in calgary on Mar 9, 2010 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

What I've read

is that Youkillis is so intense on and around the field that his teammates try to stay away from him. A little growing up wouldn’t be a bad thing.

by Tom Dakers on Mar 9, 2010 5:01 PM EST up reply actions  

That dust up with Porcello was an embaressment on so many levels last year. I always used to respect his hard nosed approach, but that was just a temper tantrum in my opinion.

by dexfarkin on Mar 9, 2010 5:02 PM EST up reply actions  

There is really no wrong answer.

"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.

by craig in calgary on Mar 9, 2010 5:04 PM EST up reply actions  

He is all temper tantrum....

he’s just one unending temper tantrum. “how dare the world be against me”.

by Tom Dakers on Mar 9, 2010 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I think the reason for the Tebow thing is fairly obvious

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Mar 9, 2010 5:52 PM EST up reply actions  

I obviously missed this? What’s the deal with Tebow? Google just shows some college football player.

by dexfarkin on Mar 9, 2010 5:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Obvious how?

One of the best college players of all time, great teammate and motivator, philanthopic and all around good guy. Why not build guys like this up instead of trying to knock him down?

"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.

by craig in calgary on Mar 9, 2010 6:09 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm not saying I agree with it, far from it

I just think the reason for what’s happening is clear enough

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Mar 9, 2010 7:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Hard to say, and before last year I would have said Pedrioa as well…. but after the stories that came out last year including the story where he was quoted as cheering for Hill….. it was hard to hate him.

But Youk and Papelbon? Pow! Zoom! Right to the moon

Life as a Toronto Sports Fan?... *sigh*... It is what it is...

by JohnnyG on Mar 9, 2010 7:49 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s what a $140mil payroll buys you; flexibility.

The Red Sox are going to be a queer team this year; formidable, but also really fragile. They’ll have all but two of their starting lineup under thirty, which means they’ll have some injury risks there. They’ll also have one of the best rotations in baseball with a little bit of depth. They don’t have a lot of speed on the bench, but they’ll have some power there, and it’s a nice, deep bullpen capped by one of the best closers in the game.

Basically, if their rotation stays healthy, they’re in the hunt and have even odds taking the Yankees. If one of the trioka of Lester/Beckett/Lackey goes down and they start losing guys here and there with little 15 day DL injuries you see in aging players, I think they’ll get rolled over hard.

by dexfarkin on Mar 9, 2010 4:33 PM EST reply actions  

The Red Sox are going to be a queer team this year

Interesting choice of words. Not that I disagree :)

"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.

by craig in calgary on Mar 9, 2010 4:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Pedoria, Queen of the Diamond

I think I’d like them better if they were a group of fierce gay men striving for the pennent. Beating the Yankees becomes not just beating the most entitled and highest spending team in the game, but you could totally cast them as the conservative, homophobic forces of discrimination.

After all, look at what they did to the fabulousness of Johnny Damon once he got there?

by dexfarkin on Mar 9, 2010 4:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe they should sign Eri Yoshida

1) She’d fit right in with the Queen’s and Princesses
2) Wake can tudor her daily
3) Perhaps Dennis Eckersley will make an inappropriate pass on her, and he’ll be fired
4) She’d made Heidi Watney feel more at home in the lockeroom.

It’s really a win-win-win-win scenario. That being said having Vernon strike out on a 60 mpr fastball might be enough to push him over the edge.

"I've only been in love with a beer bottle and a mirror" - Sid Vicious.

by craig in calgary on Mar 9, 2010 4:57 PM EST up reply actions  

I want the Jays to sign Eri Yoshida. A sidearming knuckler? Hell, I don’t care if we lose 20-1, I just want to watch that thing fly. Every pitch that isn’t a homerun turns into a swinging strike with the guy drilling himsellf into the ground.

by dexfarkin on Mar 9, 2010 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I fully support this idea

Now that will be some entertaining baseball

Ball.

by Casusby on Mar 9, 2010 5:00 PM EST up reply actions  

that would be so awesome

"Let us go forth awhile, and get better air in our lungs. Let us leave our closed rooms... The game of ball is glorious." - Walt Whitman

by hugo on Mar 9, 2010 5:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m a knuckler fan, and ad a sidearm to that? Yikes! Plus, I’d love to see a female pitcher crack the minor leagues. There’s Yoshida, and there’s some sinker/slider girl in South America who isn’t even sixteen yet who’d supposed to have some wicked movement. I think it would be intriguing to see Canada directly involved in integrating baseball twice.

by dexfarkin on Mar 9, 2010 6:00 PM EST up reply actions  

As much as I hate the pukes...

This Sox team has wonderful pitching, improved defense and enough hitting to pretty much ensure the Wild Card. As to first – the Spankies are going to own that going away.

by Mylegacy on Mar 9, 2010 8:09 PM EST reply actions  

Their front office has been interested in the team winning a baseball game in the last three years

The Jays have clearly had things other than the win column on their mind since they day they released Frank Thomas.

They're not just hitting home runs. They're doing the little things, like hitting doubles.

by Torgen on Mar 9, 2010 9:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Didn't really need this thread

for that, unfortunately.

"Look at me! I'm Tomokazu Ohka of the Montreal Expos!"

by jessef on Mar 9, 2010 11:57 PM EST up reply actions  

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