Vernon Against Texas this Season

by Rugged Rock on Sep 8, 2010 12:32 PM EDT

As many of our fans may have noticed, Vernon Wells has been playing very well against Texas this season. How well? Lets take a look at the Game Logs from Fan Graphs...

Date	Team	Opp	AB	WPA
04-May	TOR	@TEX	4	0.315
04-Jul	TOR	@TEX	3	0.276
04-Aug	TOR	@TEX	3	0.235
May-14	TOR	TEX	5	0.295
May-15	TOR	TEX	4	-0.067
May-16	TOR	TEX	3	-0.012
09-Jun	TOR	TEX	4	0.297
09-Jul	TOR	TEX	3	0.217

As you can see, those are some disgusting WPA numbers. Further Analysis after the jump.

His totals against Texas are pretty staggering.

AB	WPA
29	1.556

Especialliy staggering compared to his season totals.

AB	WPA
507	1.77

Vernon's stats this season, if you remove his output from against Texas, don't look so pretty.

AB	WPA
478	0.214

In fact, that WPA of 0.214 would put him below the likes of Wise and Overbay.

Looking at his percentages of his play vs Texas compared to the rest of the season...

AB	WPA
6%	88%

We see that he's accumulated almost 90% of his Win Share this season against the Rangers in about a twentieth of the at bats.

I don't really have a conclusion, other than it is kinda neat to see how a certain player can be really productive against certain teams over others.

As we approach the end of the season, I plan on making a few fan posts tracking the WPA of the Jays as they faired against certain opponents. Sort of like the Jay of the Day, only more like Jay of the Season Series. It will look at things like "How good was Cecil really againsts the Yankees?", "Who was really really bad against the Red Sox leading to our horrible record against them?", "Who did well in the Interleague games?", "Why were we so good against the Orioles?" and "What players on the other teams absolutely destroyed us this season."

Any comments or thoughts would be gretly appreciated as I begin to prepare the spreadsheets for the posts.

-Rugged

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Comments

Odd

It appears that Fangraphs did not use a consistant game date method, and my Excel’s auto format played havoc on the game dates.

Oh, and this is my first Fan Post :)

There She Gooooooes!

by Rugged Rock on Sep 8, 2010 12:34 PM EDT reply actions

And a very interesting fan post it is

Keep it up. I’d like to see some of those that you mentioned.

by siggian on Sep 8, 2010 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions

Thanks

Ironically, I’m getting hitched in 2 days, and will be honeymooning for a week and a half, so I am not going to be online for a couple weeks. When I get back, I’ll be all over it.

There She Gooooooes!

by Rugged Rock on Sep 8, 2010 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions

Congratulations!

And save that stuff for the offseason. Bring us some Blue Jay articles to enjoy over the cold fall and winter to keep us going until spring training.

by siggian on Sep 8, 2010 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions

Noooo write on the honeymoon!

Trust me, the better half will love ya for it :)

Life as a Toronto Sports Fan?... *sigh*... It is what it is...

by JohnnyG on Sep 8, 2010 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions

Actually

We are going to game on Saturday before we catch the flight to the Dominican. Yes, my honeymoon is starting with the Jays vs the Rays

There She Gooooooes!

by Rugged Rock on Sep 8, 2010 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions

At the Jays game last night

against Texas a guy proposed to his girlfriend on the Jumbotron…definitely gotta have guts to go that route.

Nice job on the Fanpost! I saw the title and almost dismissed it, but was glad to read it and see you utilizing some interesting data from fangraphs instead of rattling something off the top of your head. It really is an astonishing breakdown to have 88% of his WPA against one team!! I’d also be interested to see the breakdown of WPA performances for our slugger Bautista. I’d expect it to be much more spread out as he seems to homer in almost every series. Gotta say though, my favourite Bautista moment was probably that second homer of the game against the Yankee’s for his 40th of the year and staring down the pitcher after hitting that rocket! Best of luck going foward!

by brewerm on Sep 8, 2010 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions