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Around SBN: All Hail David Luiz

Open Thread

I am enjoying the beautiful weather (and rum) of Jamaica. I'm away at the right time, there isn't much for Blue Jay news or rumors, unless you count some vague idea that the Jays might be after Matt Garza. With what teams have been getting for trading starting pitching, I doubt the Jays will be willing to give up enough to get him.

Baseball isn't the sport of choice here, soccer is clearly number 1, but I have had a couple of locals offer to buy my Jays' cap. It seems they are a favorite team with some here. I almost bought a shirt that said 'No Problem, Mon' above the old Jays logo in a shop here but decided against it. If it had the new logo, I'd have gone for it.

Anyway, figured I'd put up an open there for you to share what ever thoughts come to mind. Me? My only thought is to order another drink. Viking Crown has become my drink here in paradise. I'm not sure what is in it, but it is tasty. if nothing else, you can share what your drink of choice is, when you are somewhere warm. Me? I'm going to lay out by the pool.

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My thoughts? Offseason is fun!

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2011/12/red-sox-acquire-andrew-bailey.html

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Dec 28, 2011 5:07 PM EST reply actions  

solid deal for the red sox IMO

by Sniderlover on Dec 28, 2011 5:10 PM EST up reply actions  

I have no idea about those younger prospects.

by ayjackson on Dec 28, 2011 5:18 PM EST up reply actions  

This is the deal as a whole

To Boston:

CL Andrew Bailey
OF Ryan Sweeney

To Oakland:

OF: Josh Reddick
1B Miles Head (20 YO)
RHP Raul Alcantara (19 YO)

Alcantara has really good peripherals (fairly low K rate, but very low BB rate), and will possibly soon pitch in a pitcher friendly ballpark (though, a move to San Jose could change that). Head is interesting, but somewhat old for his level (last played in A+ as a 20 YO). I would probably prefer Reddick over Sweeney in the long run.

I think this trade, as a whole, is quite fair.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Dec 28, 2011 5:26 PM EST up reply actions  

IMO, yes.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Dec 28, 2011 5:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Thames + lower level prospects is even IMO which is why I don’t like the deal for the A’s

by Sniderlover on Dec 28, 2011 5:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Not sure Thames is as good as Reddick

considering the huge disparity in defense

His 2011 wRC+ is 26

by Pikachu on Dec 28, 2011 6:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Thames for Bailey wouldn't work for A's...

The Coliseum has too spacious of outfields. Thames has enough problems with a hitters park like Rogers Center. He would be lost in a huge outfield like Oakland has.

by Sean Coleman on Dec 29, 2011 3:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Boston maybe gets the nod for now

But I think the A’s will win this one long term. Curious, how is a 20 year old playing at A+ somewhat old for his level?

by Alan F. on Dec 28, 2011 5:52 PM EST up reply actions  

He was playing between A and A+ at that age. I guess he’s just right for his level.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Dec 28, 2011 6:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Looks the BoSox won, but depends on how Bailey's body holds up.

The last season he was healthy for the full season was 2009.

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 28, 2011 5:58 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree

First thought was the Red Sox won easily, but on second thought, both teams get value here. Red Sox get a Papelbon replacement who is controlled for 3 years (and probably about to get more expensive).

Oakland gets a cheap outfielder who likely wasn’t going to get much time in Boston, and a couple prospects.

by MjwW on Dec 28, 2011 6:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Ya

How did the Red Sox pull that one off?
Looks like the A’s got schooled

I am the Walrus

by yleviticus on Dec 28, 2011 5:19 PM EST up reply actions  

lol is the A's playing a all rookie team

Bailey- Gone
Cahill- Gone
Gio- Gone
Willingham- Gone
Crisp- Gone?
Anderson- Injury?
Braden- injury?

Possible 1st overall pick for 2013

Toronto Sports Fan= Waiting, waiting, waiting.............then more waiting

by noname3 on Dec 28, 2011 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

“possible 1st overall pick for 2013”

they are heavy favourites IMO.

by Sniderlover on Dec 28, 2011 5:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Yea, them or the Astro

Toronto Sports Fan= Waiting, waiting, waiting.............then more waiting

by noname3 on Dec 28, 2011 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

they’re in the same division right?

by Sniderlover on Dec 28, 2011 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

oh yea forgot about that

they are moving in 2013 right?

Toronto Sports Fan= Waiting, waiting, waiting.............then more waiting

by noname3 on Dec 28, 2011 5:36 PM EST up reply actions  

cant remember but imagine if astros are in that division for the upcoming division. Angels and Rangers are going to take advantage big time.

by Sniderlover on Dec 28, 2011 5:45 PM EST up reply actions  

JeffFletcher1 Jeff Fletcher
The #athletics have $23M committed for ’12 plus 1 arb eligible (McCarthy, $3M?). Everyone else less than $750K

lmao

His 2011 wRC+ is 26

by Pikachu on Dec 28, 2011 7:03 PM EST up reply actions  

long island ice tea is my drink in warmer climates. if they don’t have craft beer, that is.

by Justin Azevedo on Dec 28, 2011 5:17 PM EST reply actions  

anyone who thinks long island iced tea is a girl drink.

I dare you to go out and drink em all night..shot of rum, tequila, vodka, and gin in those bad boys..never again for this guy, blackout city.

by ABsteve on Dec 28, 2011 7:34 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Puerto Rico. 1999. I have no recollection of that night. They make em very strong down there.

by Psychotoad on Dec 28, 2011 10:35 PM EST up reply actions  

you know a drink is strong

when you blackout for an entire year

"Look at me! I'm Tomokazu Ohka of the Montreal Expos!"

by jessef on Dec 29, 2011 12:12 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Agree...

Woke up with a intoxication fine in my pocket, no wallet or cell phone to be found. Those things are killer

by Kipp24 on Dec 28, 2011 11:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Got to be Pimms!

If you can find it…

Or tinto de verano (summer red wine) in Spain – red wine, soda water, lemon and ice. A bit like sangria, but not as sweet.

by LimeyJaysFan on Dec 28, 2011 5:28 PM EST reply actions  

Scott Boras and Fielder's situation

I just wanted to see if you guys think Prince will get the 10 year/ 25 million Boras says his client will get, guaranteed. He stated that anything less was “delusional”.

I don’t know, but it seems to me that whenever the NYY, BOS, Angels and Phillies are out of the Fielder sweepstakes, I find it very hard to believe that Chicago, DC, Seattle or Baltimore, let alone the Blue Jays, will offer him what Boras is asking him as there’s not a single team driving up the price.

My prediction is he will get 6-7 guaranteed years; maybe with some options added to the end although Boras is not a fan of them. Wouldn’t surprise me if he added an opt-out clause to the contract after 3-5 years.

What do you guys think??

by Marcos Montenegro on Dec 28, 2011 5:37 PM EST reply actions  

Even Boras won´t be able to pull 10 years of big money for Fielder...

But he´s still Boras so Fielder could end up with 7 years / 176 million

"Touch ´em all, Joe!"

by jaysfanfromeurope on Dec 28, 2011 5:50 PM EST up reply actions  

listened to Mike Rizzo on XM this morning

sounded like the Nats were good with Laroche..I can see Baltimore offering what Boras wants, but I doubt that will matter..hmm.

I’m going to guess M’s or Rangers cave and give him 8 years/ 200.

by ABsteve on Dec 28, 2011 6:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Orioles still seemed burned by that Albert Belle deal years ago

Then snubbed by Teixeira couple years back. The guys they have given big money to last few years all seemed to not live up to expectations.

by Psychotoad on Dec 28, 2011 10:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Bowden tweeted

that Jays and Cubs are still talking Garza. I’d be nervous if it wasn’t Bowden.

by ayjackson on Dec 28, 2011 5:43 PM EST reply actions  

I don´t believe we´re in on Garza… what would you give up for 2 years of Garza knowing that we maybe will only compete in the second years…

"Touch ´em all, Joe!"

by jaysfanfromeurope on Dec 28, 2011 5:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Dunedin Brewery

Discovered this craft brewery during Blue Jay’s Spring Training 2010 less than a mile north of the stadium. See www.dunedinbrewery.com. They claim to be the oldest craft brewery in Florida. Favourite thirst quencher is the Apricot Peach Ale (5.6%) but lots more on tap and available in some locations in the Tampa Bay area.

by TonyWalsh on Dec 28, 2011 5:52 PM EST reply actions  

Finland beat the States

what an upset, helluva game

+1 is only good if you actually rec the post

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 28, 2011 6:00 PM EST reply actions  

indeed. finland’s goalie had a once-in-a-lifetime performance.

by Justin Azevedo on Dec 28, 2011 6:02 PM EST up reply actions  

even if he was decent and not amazing

the states looked stale and could not sustain pressure. They might be screwed

+1 is only good if you actually rec the post

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 28, 2011 6:03 PM EST up reply actions  

it’s possible they lose in the quarters-they’ll either be playing sweden or russia if they lose on NYE

by Justin Azevedo on Dec 28, 2011 6:07 PM EST up reply actions  

oh wait nevermind

i thought only top 2 from each advance, but that doesn’t work

+1 is only good if you actually rec the post

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 28, 2011 6:09 PM EST up reply actions  

the czechs would have to beat them

either way looks like an easy bye to the semi’s for us!

+1 is only good if you actually rec the post

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 28, 2011 6:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Baseball isn’t the sport of choice here, soccer is clearly number 1, but I have had a couple of locals offer to buy my Jays’ cap. It seems they are a favorite team with some here.

I guess it’s because Toronto is where Devon White played his best seasons (and won two championships). The other Jamaican player is Chili Davis… he was with the Angels the longest but got his rings in Minnesota, and New York

Follow me @Minor_Leaguer

by Minor Leaguer on Dec 28, 2011 6:21 PM EST reply actions  

AA's been quiet

too quiet…something’s up.

Blogging about the Toronto Blue Jays at Bluebird Banter

by Woodman663 on Dec 28, 2011 6:30 PM EST reply actions  

How bad is it that I only get 1.5 of these references?

by MjwW on Dec 28, 2011 6:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Well

Let’s just say old enough to have been alive when the Jays last won the World Series, but not old enough that it meant anything (though if I was a baseball fan, I would have old understand to understand what it meant)

by MjwW on Dec 28, 2011 6:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Let's do a little fixing

“though if I was a baseball fan at the time, I would have been old understandenough to understand what it meant”

by MjwW on Dec 28, 2011 6:56 PM EST up reply actions  

This sounds very much so like myself

Let me guess, a little too much Super Mario 3 in your younger days?

@VagabondBansal

by Vagabond13 on Dec 29, 2011 9:57 AM EST up reply actions  

It's probably not as bad

as me getting every one of these references.

by Playoffs!!!!1 on Dec 29, 2011 11:41 AM EST up reply actions  

lol

Maybe, he’s not into that show, he hates New Kids, and he was trying to sell, not buy.

Maybe I should have used blackberry, I-pad, or I phone..

by Alan F. on Dec 28, 2011 6:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Rumour has it that AA is planning to trade his old cell phone for an iPhone. More at 11!

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Dec 28, 2011 6:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Rumour has it that AA is planing to trd his old cell phone for a Matt Garza. More at 11!

"Touch ´em all, Joe!"

by jaysfanfromeurope on Dec 28, 2011 6:56 PM EST up reply actions  

cubs1611 Chicago Cubs Rumors
According to Bruce Levine: #bluejays package for Matt Garza : Kyle Drabek, Anthony Gose,Jake Marisnick and Deck McGwire. #cubs

I loled

His 2011 wRC+ is 26

by Pikachu on Dec 28, 2011 7:58 PM EST reply actions  

ah, never mind

that was the proposed package by Bruce Levine, a cubs blogger

His 2011 wRC+ is 26

by Pikachu on Dec 28, 2011 8:02 PM EST up reply actions  

It's a nice dream, anyway

More realistic would be to pick one of the position players, one of the pitchers

by MjwW on Dec 28, 2011 8:04 PM EST up reply actions  

probably

but I would not be happy with Marisnick + Drabek for Garza

His 2011 wRC+ is 26

by Pikachu on Dec 28, 2011 8:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Well

We’re talking a OF (maybe CF, possibly/probably RF) who finished low-A ball and a former top pitching prospect who had an absolute failure of a rookie season.

I’d say it’s the right neighbourhood, maybe a little light, but I could definitely live with it if that’s what it looked like.

by MjwW on Dec 28, 2011 8:18 PM EST up reply actions  

people are seriously overrating him because of his 2011. Not sure if he’ll keep up the same performance if he returns to the AL

His 2011 wRC+ is 26

by Pikachu on Dec 28, 2011 11:36 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree completely

Morrow has higher fWAR in his 2 years in the AL East than Garza does in his 3 year stint in the AL East.

2011 I take with a grain of salt, not even considering it. All I care about are those AL East numbers.

I think its better we sit out. I actually just added that guy on twitter just to message him and let him know the Jays would never offer that. 2 2011 top 100 prospects and probably 2 2012 top 100 prospects.

by Mike Andrew on Dec 28, 2011 11:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Good joke.

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 28, 2011 8:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Having read the fellow SBN BleedCubbiesBlue site

Even they realize that getting one of (let alone two of) D’Arnaud, Lawrie, Gose and Nicolino/Syndergaard is going to be tough if not impossible.

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 28, 2011 8:30 PM EST up reply actions  

In fairness to Levine

I think he implied those 4 guys would be guys the cubs would look at, and not require all 4 to get the deal done.

by brett w on Dec 30, 2011 9:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Couple scouting reports from Jay’s Journal:
http://jaysjournal.com/2011/12/27/jays-journal-top-50-blue-jays-prospects-no-50-david-rollins/
http://jaysjournal.com/2011/12/28/jays-journal-top-50-jays-prospects-no-49-jesus-gonzalez/

As a Toronto sports fan I proudly follow the lessons of lachrymology.
"He drives that new car around town and feels really good about it." - Ron Wilson
"Vancouver, BC: A massive inferiority complex with a city." - TheOtherAndrew
"HOPE is more than a postponed disappointment" - Epica

by Redonred on Dec 28, 2011 10:27 PM EST reply actions  

I enjoy this series from Jays Journal

But, with respect, these are not scouting reports. They are nice, comprehensive summaries of information about the players, but scouting reports are focussed on pitching/swing mechanics, detailed pitch offerings or tools analysis, etc

by MjwW on Dec 28, 2011 10:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Yea that’s what I meant. Kills time during the offseason. A lot of work put into them.

As a Toronto sports fan I proudly follow the lessons of lachrymology.
"He drives that new car around town and feels really good about it." - Ron Wilson
"Vancouver, BC: A massive inferiority complex with a city." - TheOtherAndrew
"HOPE is more than a postponed disappointment" - Epica

by Redonred on Dec 28, 2011 11:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Go Jays Go!

I can’t wait for spring.

by Chris McC on Dec 29, 2011 11:32 AM EST via iPhone app reply actions  

I will miss his glorious twitter account. As he will not be able to comment on other clubs ans I assume he will have to tone it down.

As a Toronto sports fan I proudly follow the lessons of lachrymology.
"He drives that new car around town and feels really good about it." - Ron Wilson
"Vancouver, BC: A massive inferiority complex with a city." - TheOtherAndrew
"HOPE is more than a postponed disappointment" - Epica

by Redonred on Dec 29, 2011 12:42 PM EST via Android app up reply actions  

And this is why I love sports.

http://mlb.sbnation.com/2011/12/29/2666855/clutch-relievers-wild-card-2011

As a Toronto sports fan I proudly follow the lessons of lachrymology.
"He drives that new car around town and feels really good about it." - Ron Wilson
"Vancouver, BC: A massive inferiority complex with a city." - TheOtherAndrew
"HOPE is more than a postponed disappointment" - Epica

by Redonred on Dec 29, 2011 1:23 PM EST via Android app reply actions  

Anyone have a Baseball Prospectus account?

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=15736

I don’t but it’s a breakdown of Lind’s batting ability.
The unlocked part of the article shows that he is significantly better against left handed starters than relievers.

As a Toronto sports fan I proudly follow the lessons of lachrymology.
"He drives that new car around town and feels really good about it." - Ron Wilson
"Vancouver, BC: A massive inferiority complex with a city." - TheOtherAndrew
"HOPE is more than a postponed disappointment" - Epica

by Redonred on Dec 29, 2011 4:25 PM EST via Android app reply actions  

Interesting, even just the partial article

Thanks for the link.

That split between the starters and relievers is interesting. I dont know if this is available, but I want to look into his splits and see it we can get batted ball data, because it seems like the difference is BABIP driven – 110 points of BABIP, 93 points of BA, 81 points of OBP and 109 points of SLG. So it is because hes getting a lot less line drives or something? Because if not, then it would seem to be some a function of unluckiness.

That said, the 686 OPS against lefty starters is still very poor for a 1B, and so my solution would remain platooning him and just not have him face lefties at all.

by MjwW on Dec 29, 2011 5:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Anybody else think the Jays need to get a different AAA affiliate?

Las Vegas is too far from Toronto and it’s good to have your AAA near by in case you need to call somebody up on short notice. Think how nice it would be if we had an arrangement like Seattle/Tacoma? I’m sure Mike McCoy agrees with me here.

Also, just listening to WIlner/Blair on the FAN and they were talking about how it would be good to get Gose to AAA to see how he can hit, but then they said it wouldn’t really do any good because “anybody can hit in Las Vegas”. So by that logic the team/stadium are useless to the Jays when it comes to evaluating bats.

by shuswapslugger on Dec 29, 2011 5:22 PM EST reply actions  

Yes

The player development contract is up after 2012 and the Jays will undoubtedly looking to switch back to the International League. Buffalo (Mets affiliate) is up too and the rumour has been theyll try to join them. If not, then you could always look to try and move a team back to Ottawa and have them be the Triple AAA affiliate.

by MjwW on Dec 29, 2011 5:26 PM EST up reply actions  

plus, when the crowds start to increase, you can maybe get some extra revenue from people wanting to see the next generation of jays

by Justin Azevedo on Dec 29, 2011 8:18 PM EST up reply actions  

If the Jays had a different AAA affiliate

then the Mike McCoy map would’ve been much less interesting

Follow me @Minor_Leaguer

by Minor Leaguer on Dec 29, 2011 6:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Vegas is too far away, but not Seattle/Tacoma?

Lost me with that one. Plus Vegas is building a new state of the art sports complex where the 51’s would play.

by Alan F. on Dec 30, 2011 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Not suggestions for Toronto's affiliate

Seattle (MLB club) is very close to Tacoma (AAA affiliate)

by MjwW on Dec 30, 2011 2:11 PM EST up reply actions  

If they made a AAA affiliate in Toronto

I’d buy season tickets. I bet a lot of people would, they might have more fans than their Major League counterpart due to lower cost etc.

I wonder why they made it so complex and made the affiliates hundreds of miles away from their respective clubs.

by Mike Andrew on Dec 30, 2011 10:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Mostly it’s because the teams in the leagues are clustered geographically to keep transportation costs down (buses, not flying).

The Leafs have their highest affiliate in Toronto, and they don’t do very well, from what I understand. Ot at least struggled in the past. Same reason the Argos don’t do well – it’s not the hot ticket, it’s why minor league baseball does better in smaller cities. Remember, you go to a baseball game for the baseball, for a lot of casual fans, it’s more the experience. Same with the minor leagues

by MjwW on Dec 30, 2011 11:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Buffalo would have been ideal.

But those people (being nice here) chose not to have our AAA team.

by Alan F. on Dec 31, 2011 12:16 PM EST up reply actions  

According to Heyman, the Jays are in on Jair Jurrgens

Please no… again.

When he’s healthy he’s pretty good, but when is he healthy?

Also, Syndergaard was the centerpiece that the A’s wanted for Gio. I suspect that pretty much ended the conversation right there.

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 29, 2011 9:23 PM EST reply actions  

Meh

As long as Atlanta is overvaluing Jerrjens (wanting a Greinke-like return) nothing’s going to happen.

by MjwW on Dec 29, 2011 9:35 PM EST up reply actions  

The one thing I know about Atlanta pitchers (MLB or prospect)

Is generally if the Braves want to trade one, they usually aren’t any good outside of Jason Schmidt and a couple of others I don’t remember

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 29, 2011 9:46 PM EST up reply actions  

A lot of their pitchers seem nice

I think we check up on what some of the price tags are :)

by Mike Andrew on Dec 29, 2011 10:33 PM EST up reply actions  

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