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Around SBN: FSU To Big 12 'Inevitable,' According To Report

Blue Jays Trade for Sergio Santos

Our new closer. (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)

The Blue Jays traded pitching prospect Nestor Molina to the White Sox for Sergio Santos. Santos will fill the open closer spot for the Jays. Here his numbers:

Year Age Tm W L W-L% ERA G SV IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP ERA+ WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2010 26 CHW 2 2 .500 2.96 56 1 51.2 53 18 17 2 26 3 56 3 145 1.529 9.2 0.3 4.5 9.8 2.15
2011 27 CHW 4 5 .444 3.55 63 30 63.1 41 25 25 6 29 5 92 3 119 1.105 5.8 0.9 4.1 13.1 3.17
2 Seasons 6 7 .462 3.29 119 31 115.0 94 43 42 8 55 8 148 6 130 1.296 7.4 0.6 4.3 11.6 2.69
162 Game Avg. 3 4 .462 3.29 68 18 66 54 25 24 5 31 5 85 3 130 1.296 7.4 0.6 4.3 11.6 2.69
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/6/2011.

I liked Nestor a lot but this looks like a good deal to me. Santos is signed for the next 3 years, at $1 million, $2.75 million and $3.75 million and there are three team option years at $6 million, $8 million and $8.75 million. He is just 28, making him younger (and cheaper) than the free agent options out there. We owned him once before, when he was a minor league infielder.

Molina is a very good prospect, but I figured he was going to end up in the bullpen anyway, so I'm not to upset that we traded him for a reliever. I think he'll be good, but I'm happy to trade someone that might be a good reliever in the future for someone that is a good closer now.

This falls into the 99% of AA moves that come out of no where. Just when I was thinking it was going to be a boring week.

What do you think of the deal?

Poll
This is a good trade for the Jays?
Yes
975 votes
No
161 votes

1136 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 207 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I think I like.

Great contract, stuff should play well in the AL East. We have 5-6 guys in the system all of whom are around the same level.

Basically instead of Molina being a potential closer, we got more of a proven thing at a great contract.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 1:11 PM EST reply actions  

more i think about it I like it – command specialist who dominated the minors for a power closer already having success and not a lot of miles on his arm…seems fair.

With the amount of pitching depth and the comments Farrell made about Molina being a potential future closer anyways why not get a ‘cheap’ and controlled closer now rather then one maybe 2-3 years from now…

Alex did well to keep this one quiet…

by bunner on Dec 6, 2011 1:13 PM EST reply actions  

I don't know

One thing that makes a big difference for pitchers in the majors is control, and Molina had it. Sergio is a wild man.

by Marcos Montenegro on Dec 6, 2011 1:14 PM EST reply actions  

Sure,

but he also strikes out 70284 batters per 9

Check yoself before you rec yoself.

by Gerse on Dec 6, 2011 1:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Which is alot

Da'Sean Butler - A Mountaineer Legend

by McCutchenIsTheTruth on Dec 6, 2011 1:47 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Despite his control issues, Santos is already an elite reliever. If he can add even the slightest bit of control to his repertoire (remembering of course he has been pitching for a grand total of THREE YEARS) he could be one of the best in the game.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 1:29 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't mind this deal

But I’m guessing the blogs that have been starving for a blue jay move won’t like that AA gave up Molina.

by brett w on Dec 6, 2011 1:15 PM EST reply actions  

I think its a solid deal for the Jays. A bit surprised it didnt take something more considering Santos contract.

by Sniderlover on Dec 6, 2011 1:16 PM EST reply actions  

Good deal

I hate to lose Molina because he has so much upside but this guy is under control for 6 years, already has one good year of closing and still some upside. Molina is 2 years away.

I like it

by gbam on Dec 6, 2011 1:17 PM EST reply actions  

Santos

They must know about his personality given that he played 3 years with New Hampshire and Syracuse as a short stop. Hopefully he’s a convert as successful as Dave Stieb!!

by northernjay on Dec 6, 2011 1:17 PM EST reply actions  

Santos

was in Jays org 2006-2008

by northernjay on Dec 6, 2011 1:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Needs a poll

If you’re going to ask the question….

But, while I was initially disappointed because I wanted to see what the Jays had in Molina, I’m coming around to this trade.

by siggian on Dec 6, 2011 1:19 PM EST reply actions  

Molina was loved but...

If everyone is happy with Santos’ last couple of years and think he’s well suited to closing in the AL East, then great!

by LimeyJaysFan on Dec 6, 2011 1:19 PM EST reply actions  

So as I understand it is Santos potentially under control for 6 yrs?

If so I like it considering we dont have to worry about that spot for 6 yrs and can develop our other prospects with an eye towards starting

by icedbecker2007 on Dec 6, 2011 1:20 PM EST reply actions  

According to people in the previous thread

that’s correct. They’re individually exercisable.

The weird structure of Hills options are the exception, not the norm.

Check yoself before you rec yoself.

by Gerse on Dec 6, 2011 1:28 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s what it looks like

I don't always like to tweet, but when I do it's @HouseOfTheBB
And when more than 140 characters are needed, I write at HouseOfTheBluebird.com

by Bluebirdz on Dec 6, 2011 1:29 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

I don't understand a disconnect

That Molina was seen as one of our top propsects by some and yet others are saying he doesn’t have the stuff of a starter. Just taking those opinions through the masher sort of implies we don’t have a potential starter in our system?

by Steve02 on Dec 6, 2011 1:20 PM EST reply actions  

uhh no, it’s just Molina had a violent delivery that may not transfer well as a starter, only has I think 2 good pitches?

We have tons of potential starters in our system

by edliuen on Dec 6, 2011 1:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Scouts

Check the comments In Sickels’ top 20 list, IIRC

Check yoself before you rec yoself.

by Gerse on Dec 6, 2011 1:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Well not that they're scouts

but they’re in the know, and were passing on info they read from scouts/prospectors

Check yoself before you rec yoself.

by Gerse on Dec 6, 2011 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

see it below, thanks.

by ayjackson on Dec 6, 2011 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Molina’s delivery is repeatable, but it features some recoil and a very stiff landing that could lead to injuries. It’s a wonder he’s able to have such good command despite the landing. As a relatively small pitcher (6’1″ 180) who only has one year as a starter under his belt, durability is something to keep an eye on.

http://seedlingstostars.com/2011/11/24/the-seedlings-to-stars-2012-top-100-prospects-44-nestor-molina/

here too

by edliuen on Dec 6, 2011 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

don’t see how stiff landing would lead to injuries, except maybe the knee….in which case, who cares.

by ayjackson on Dec 6, 2011 1:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I think it’s the recoil, something about his elbow I remember reading somewhere.

by edliuen on Dec 6, 2011 1:37 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah, i just don’t buy it. recoil is so natural and of minimal effort.

by ayjackson on Dec 6, 2011 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah combo of those, smoother landing with a better follow-through limits the stress on the elbow and shoulder – it doesn’t mean it IS an issue, it just COULD be

by Dr_Furious on Dec 6, 2011 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Either way – not a lot of scouts have seen him from what I gather – the Jays know best what he is and could be.

by Dr_Furious on Dec 6, 2011 1:40 PM EST up reply actions  

knee, back, and arm

stiff landing means his body is stopping earlier then his full body motion. That means he is using a lot more of his arm then he should to pitch.

by junkball on Dec 6, 2011 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

FYI BJ Ryan had a violent herky jerky delivery

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 6, 2011 1:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Is that a statement for or against potential injury?

by brockbirds on Dec 6, 2011 11:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Just saying that a less than smooth delivery

is a potential injury waiting to happen.

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 7, 2011 12:09 AM EST up reply actions  

This is exactly why throwing crazy dollars at a Paplebon / Madson / Bell is ridiculous

Cost controlled not-old closer with experience available via a trade and signed to a deal that looks a lot like the kind AA would sign.

by Steve02 on Dec 6, 2011 1:23 PM EST reply actions  

At the end of the day, starting rotations only need 5 arms

This deal makes sense on paper, but I never liked the idea of trading a SP prospect with high upside for a reliever. Should have went after Chris Sale.

0:1:4331933 29:28 35 0

by BenjiDoc on Dec 6, 2011 1:26 PM EST reply actions  

I'm of a similar mind as most people here

Molina was one of my favourite prospects. I didn’t think he was the best, it was more a sentimental value. That said Santos has already proven he can pitch in the majors so in a straight up trade like this I think it’ll work out just fine for the Jays.

by brigstew on Dec 6, 2011 1:26 PM EST reply actions  

Ew...

I hate this trade. A lot. There is no way any reliever should be valued at the cost of a top prospect, period.

by Spitballer on Dec 6, 2011 1:28 PM EST reply actions  

wow.

cost controlled reliever who proved it in the majors is definitely a better bet than a pitcher who’s pitched 5 AA games.

the minors are riddled with guys with sub 3 ERA in AA ball – it doesn’t mean much til you prove it in the show.

Molina will likely be a good pitcher, but his potential is to one day be as good as…. Sergio Santos…

by drebans on Dec 6, 2011 2:22 PM EST up reply actions  

His potential is that of a very good starting pitcher if the talent evaluators who are high on him are to be believed.

And conversely, while Molina has pitched a mere 5 games in the high minors which obviously clouds his future value, Santos has 60 innings of elite relief peripherals under his belt. That’s hardly a sure thing either, especially considering the attrition rate of reliever in general.

by Spitballer on Dec 6, 2011 3:03 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed

but i believe its a bit far to say you HATE this trade?
we need better relief (#1 in blown saves last year)
we dont need minor league pitching depth/young potential rotation pitching (drabek, alvarez, macGuire, ect)

by drebans on Dec 6, 2011 5:41 PM EST up reply actions  

I tend to agree with drebans here. young, proven talent is always better then young and unproven talent-unless the unproven talent is absurdly valued (eg. strasburg).

by Justin Azevedo on Dec 7, 2011 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Top prospects become relievers like Santos.

by scrambles the death dealer on Dec 6, 2011 2:51 PM EST up reply actions  

but you also have to consider downside

there’s still a very significant chance Molina doesn’t even make the Majors

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 3:02 PM EST up reply actions  

probably not

but it’s way more fun to talk about his upside when he’s on your team. Molina could end up being a very nice pitcher. it’s just not a given

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 3:05 PM EST up reply actions  

I really just hope people acknowledge that side of things.

The jays have potentially traded a future rotation cog here, one that isn’t terribly far from the majors at that. If you like the trade anyways, that’s one thing, but to say the jays didnt give up a potentially valuable rotation piece for one reliever seems disingenuous to me, and that’s what a lot of people are doing.

Evaluating the trade using nothing but the opinions of talent evaluators like Law who aren’t very high on Molina, while ignoring those who are like Sickels kind of bothers me. Although I suppose we aren’t called fans due to our objectivity. :p

by Spitballer on Dec 6, 2011 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

oh definitely

this trade could end up being a win for the White Sox for sure. I think it’s a pretty fair deal for both teams

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree, it could go both ways.

That said, the fact remains that we have 5-6 other pitching prospects all around the same level, so losing one and gaining an elite reliever makes it alot easier to cope with the loss.

Would the consternation be as great if it was Syndergaard? Gose? Marisnick? Hutchison?

Honestly curious about that last bit.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 3:18 PM EST up reply actions  

I wouldn't be happy giving up Gose or Marisnick

I’d be okay trading Hutchison though. mancrush on Syndergaard, so I can’t be objective. top positional prospects tend to have far more surplus value than equivalent pitching prospects

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

I would wager that...

If we had given up Deck McGuire or Hutchison or Norris or Nicolino the reaction wouldn’t have been as negative.

Molina being ranked number 2 by Sickels last week probably subconsciously influences people. I know it did a bit for me.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 3:24 PM EST up reply actions  

not even subconciously

it was great to see a respected prospect expert like him so much. validates him a bit.

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, I don't see an issue with allowing respected prospect gurus like sickels influence my opinion on players.

We basically rely on them to know anything the stat sheet doesn’t tell us about prospects, after all.

by Spitballer on Dec 6, 2011 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

If it had been

Hutchison,Norris or Nicolino I’d be upset. All have shots at being good starters, the futther away ones have higher ceilings, balancing the risk. Deck McGuire I wouldn’t be happy either, he’s close and projects as middle of the rotation, which is more valuable than Santos.

by MjwW on Dec 6, 2011 3:36 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm personally not happy with the idea of giving up any good prospect for relief help, honestly.

Even when you consider the glut of starting pitching in the jays system, it just seems like too high a price to pay. I think it gets lost in the uncertainty of prospects that players like Santos are not guaranteed tickets for production either, although of course the likelihood of flaming out and variation of possible career outcomes are smaller.

I understand the other side of the argument, I just don’t agree with it.

by Spitballer on Dec 6, 2011 3:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Welcome Santos!

I look forward to not having panic attacks when taking a 4 run lead into the ninth!

"I want to set the record straight: I thought the cop was a prostitute."

by McBluejays on Dec 6, 2011 1:29 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

I really really really like his contract.

To the point where it tips my opinion of the deal from “meh” to really liking it

Check yoself before you rec yoself.

by Gerse on Dec 6, 2011 1:32 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Couldn't agree more

We’re loaded with team friendly contracts.

"I want to set the record straight: I thought the cop was a prostitute."

by McBluejays on Dec 6, 2011 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

As long as those belong to "Team-Friendly Players"

CAUGHillenbrandCAUGH

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Pujols is bound to be friendlier than his contract...

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 1:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Step 1: Sign Pujols

Step 2: File for Bankruptcy

"I want to set the record straight: I thought the cop was a prostitute."

by McBluejays on Dec 6, 2011 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't know about YOUR rogers' bill

But mine alone can finace the Pujols deal…

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 2:03 PM EST up reply actions  

*finance

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 2:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Don't worry

my 1st 3 month are free. I’m pretty sure it only gets better after that!

"I want to set the record straight: I thought the cop was a prostitute."

by McBluejays on Dec 6, 2011 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I heard that Pujols' first 3 minutes are free as well. but then it switches back to rogers-like rates...

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 2:26 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I like it

Molina had a lot of promise and an utterly sick year at A+ and AA last year. But this was a guy they were profiling as a possible closer already. You have to think that the organization did not see him being able to dominate as a starter with just one plus pitch. Considering the likely development timelines and the usually rookie hitches, maybe we’re two-three years away from him as an effective closer if his stuff translates into the MLB.

Santos has already done it, he’s relatively young, cost effective and controlled for six years. He’s a win now player for a possibly win later prospect. Especially with the class of pitching prospects around Molina in the organization, this looks like a classic value deal.

by dexfarkin on Dec 6, 2011 1:32 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Meh.

I don’t really love this trade. But I don’t hate t. Could work out, more likey that itdoes then doesn’t. But it could also blow up in our face. Complete surprise though.

Do you have a young, talented cost controlled player having a down year who's "attitude" has cased problems with an aging player or manager?

Don't worry, I Alex Anthopoulos will take him off your hands, I'll even give you some moderately useful veterans that will "help you make a playoff run".

I tweet sometimes

by jaysfan100 on Dec 6, 2011 1:33 PM EST reply actions  

Molina

Yes, he’s a nice prospect, and it seems like a tough price to pay. But very few people even knew who he was 8 months ago, much less 3 or 6 moths ago. So let’s not pretend he’s the face of the franchise.

There is a long line of prospects who have put up dominating K/9 and BB/9 numbers in AA – I would know, last week I went through the Eastern and Texas leagues, 2005-2011. There’s a lot of guys who put up excellent numbers, and did nothing. Take a look at Josh Banks (former Jays second rounder) if you don;t believe me.

You have to give value to get value.

by MjwW on Dec 6, 2011 1:34 PM EST reply actions  

But Banks threw 87 mph, Molina does not

Also, Molina gets groundballs at a decent rate, Banks did not.

Blogging about the Toronto Blue Jays at Bluebird Banter

by Woodman663 on Dec 6, 2011 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Josh Banks is one example

I just threw that one out casue he was a Jay prospect, so greater familiarity. And I agree, the list was not anything close to dispositive on what Molina could be – it was originally intended to counter the point that putting up those kind of numbers = greatness. Seriously though, the Jays have so many in the organization who would have looked at Molina and judged his future potential. Unless you have a pile of info that I don’t access to (ie, not widely available on the Internet), then I don’t see how you can say you hate it and it’s a terrible trade.

by MjwW on Dec 6, 2011 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Santos is really good. Molina is a good pitching prospect and the Jays are brimming with those at this point. No brainer.

Look at it this way- Go with Santos who’s under control for a couple more years but give up a good pitching prospect or pay $10 mill per year for an old closer. Take your pick.

by bleh on Dec 6, 2011 1:34 PM EST reply actions  

Posted in the other thread

my take on this
I view as a fair trade for both teams!
We have a lot good young arms in our system, yes Molina looked to be a great prospect based on his stats alone

Santos is a MLB closer and he is very good at it with control years just like AA likes at below value market.
I like this move because we filled a a position of need and gave up a player in we have a surplus of them in the minors.
We avoided going for FA close which at the rate they’re going its ridiculous to pay for someone who is only going to pitch 60-70 innings.
Its a good move for both…WS farm gets a great prospect and we get our closer

by elpikiman on Dec 6, 2011 1:35 PM EST reply actions  

This is a fair point

AA has made a point of mentioning several times he always tries to conduct win-win trades with the opposing GM he deals with. This certainly can be seen as a win from either organizations perspective, and therefore fits in with AA’s M.O.

I worry Molina will blossom into something special, but the points on here about Sergio being cost-controlled and already “battle-tested” in the MLB are very valid points.

I’m warming to this although i worry we lost a diamond in the rough with Molina. Either way, loos like we have our closer, on to 2B and starting pitching now, AA…

by TrueBlue4Ever! on Dec 6, 2011 2:55 PM EST up reply actions  

he always tries to conduct win-win trades

with the exception of Vernon’s Trade. No way the Angels won anything there

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 3:00 PM EST up reply actions  

nah

Vernon would’ve had to keep up his 2010 performance for 4 years. practically no chance of that happening.

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 3:11 PM EST up reply actions  

One year maybe, but you're right threre is no way he could ever keep up that pace

based on his history

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 6, 2011 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Based on Vernon's history, he should have a good 2012 and 2014

but a bad 2013.

Hic sunt fortuna dracones
There is only 1 "n" in Hutchison

by JaysfanDL on Dec 6, 2011 3:52 PM EST up reply actions  

I worry Molina will blossom into something special

I don’t get that. I’d wish him all the luck in the world and a couple Cy Youngs.

If he would have gone to the Yukkies, though… I’d wish him something else…

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 3:02 PM EST up reply actions  

It's the nature of the calculated risk that AA seems to be the master of.

No guarantees in life.

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 6, 2011 3:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Welcome back Sergio

I wish we had thought of converting you at New Hampshire in 2008. It would have been cheaper than giving up Molina. But that’s what happens when you have depth at a position, you can give up top end prospects to fill a hole you badly need to fill.

by northernjay on Dec 6, 2011 1:36 PM EST reply actions  

i think we were going to convert him

I think that’s why they waived him off the 40man roster. I remember suggestions to that effect at the time.

by ayjackson on Dec 6, 2011 1:38 PM EST up reply actions  

im one of the few (2) who voted no, i dont think its a good deal

maybe its just the way i look at trades. but i see the jays giving up a 22 year old for a 28 year old. and when you see that you have to ask, when this 22 year old progresses, what will he be at age 28. And I’m sorry, but I just see alot more potential in Molina being better then Santos at age 28.

am i excited about this deal, of course, we need a closer, jays clearly weren’t just talking when they said they needed & wanted a closer, and they found a very good one. And a deal that makes sense for both teams. And I’m happy as a jays fan to be adding to our major league squad now & gm showing that not everything is a waiting game for the future, that we will take some risk to win now.

But whenever your asking me to judge whos going to be the winner of a trade I am always going to pick who I think is going to get the best player out of it, i think the sox will end up getting the better player out of it. We’ll have to wait until molina is age 26-30 to determine that though lol

by TheMainEvent on Dec 6, 2011 1:39 PM EST reply actions  

Except when Molina is 28, he could be a FA

6 years of possible control of either player.

by Steve02 on Dec 6, 2011 3:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Great trade for both teams

Balanced trade for both teams, meets each teams needs.

Jays gave up their 2nd best prospect – has TONNES of upside. They saw him as a closer, but was probably .5 – 1 season away from the MLB. His upside is probably Santos. Chicago gets a top flight prospect that helps them rebuild their system.

Jays get the closer they need, someone they are familiar with (was in their system as a SS prior). Farrell has said he wanted a K-heavy closer and was OK if command was not stunning. Santos is a strong closer, also had a great season in setup duty. Is cost controlled for up to six years. Gives the Jays a closer they need (basically what Molina would be in a year or two) while still cost controlled for 6 years.

Great trade for both teams.

by Jonathan Reimer on Dec 6, 2011 1:39 PM EST reply actions  

Undecided on this trade right now. I was excited about Molina, and hoping to see him have another outstanding year in the jays system. On the bright side Santos is proven and cost controlled, and hopefully can develop a bit more command. I guess these are they types of moves you can make when you have as much organizational depth as we do. AA is a million times smarter than me, so I shouldn’t even be doubting this deal to be honest. In AA I trust!

by BrodyBats on Dec 6, 2011 1:43 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Can there be a 3rd option added to the poll?

I’m undecided at this point. When I saw “Blue Jays Trade for Sergio Santos”, I got excited… Then when I saw that Nestor Molina was the player going the other way, I felt a bit deflated.

I think the thing that comforts me is that we all know how deep the pitching is in the Jays system and, at some point, AA has to utilize those assets to improve the big club as they won’t all fit in the rotation/bullpen (granted, they won’t all develop as we hope either). Santos being under team control at a reasonable price for 6 years… that’s the difference maker for me. It isn’t like he’s here for a year or two.

by allcanadian34 on Dec 6, 2011 1:44 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

You basically said what I wanted to say word for word.

by PaulverizeAll! on Dec 6, 2011 1:56 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't mind the trade

I’ll miss Molina, but Santos is a good return.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Dec 6, 2011 1:45 PM EST reply actions  

You have to give in order to get, but I think we may have given too much.

Here's my attempt at a witty sig. Didn't really go so well, methinks.

Wise men wonder, while strong men die.

If you ate this Thanksgiving, thank your local turkey farmer.

by Cam Oegema on Dec 6, 2011 1:48 PM EST reply actions  

his salary is just 1M next year so they’re saving up tons of money with this move considering some of the prices out there for closers.

lets see if they allocate that somewhere else now

by Sniderlover on Dec 6, 2011 1:51 PM EST up reply actions  

i'm on the fence a bit

Molina might have netted us more in another trade – you have to consider opportunity cost. We did trade a prospect for a reliever, which I’m normally loathe to agree with.

However, there is value in that contract. IF we spend that value on other parts of the team, it will be a good trade.

by ayjackson on Dec 6, 2011 1:52 PM EST reply actions  

Totally agree

Saved a bit on a “need for a closer”. So I would like to see a few extra bucks go elsewhere: 2nd base, SP, DH/1b etc.

by Rhinos on Dec 6, 2011 1:53 PM EST up reply actions  

*hands woodman683 a box of tissues*

Would have liked to see us keep Molina, but oh well, its not terrible

Rent this for cheap!!

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 6, 2011 1:53 PM EST reply actions  

you just added 20 years to Ole' Woodman's age...

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 2:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I bet this trade caused it.....

Font is too tiny down there

Rent this for cheap!!

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 6, 2011 2:06 PM EST up reply actions  

maybe somebody should check in on Woodman, see if he's ok

Hic sunt fortuna dracones
There is only 1 "n" in Hutchison

by JaysfanDL on Dec 6, 2011 2:17 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t think anyone liked Molina as much as Sickels. I think the whole “number 2 prospect in the organization” thing was a bit overblown. I would have been far more upset had they given up Marisnick or Gose, for example.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Kevin Gray liked him as much
Memo to Blue Jays: Do you want to save money or win games? Don’t tell me the Nestor Molina trade is good because of Sergio’s contract

http://twitter.com/EthanDR

by EthanDR on Dec 6, 2011 2:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Kevin Gray isn’t a prospect evaluator in the way Sickels is though, and furthermore, saving money helps win games assuming the money is reinvested in the team. If we were paying market value for Bautista it would be harder to win games too.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 2:03 PM EST up reply actions  

I completely agree

Just pointing out Gray’s love for Molina is pretty extraordinary.

http://twitter.com/EthanDR

by EthanDR on Dec 6, 2011 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Or paying "market" rate for Madson

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 6, 2011 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

KG

needs to stop pretending to be an evaluator, and stop suggesting that he is connected in any way to the “particulars” in the inner circles of our Blue Jay world.

by Summer02 on Dec 6, 2011 7:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Last time I looked at rauch, If he would have closed my garage door that would have caused serious damage to the garage…

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I would if I needed him to smash it down.

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 6, 2011 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

You have to give up quality to get quality

Blue Jays are dealing from a position of strength here, lots of promising young pitchers. I think people tend to overvalue our young pitchers, pitching is hard to develop, there are no guarantees (look at Drabek for example). So much of it is mental, you never know when one of your prospects might flame out.

So giving up a young prospect for a controllable MLB ready closer is not a bad deal. It’s a calculated risk. Not every deal is going to be as one-sided as Rasmus and Wells deals.

by voislav on Dec 6, 2011 1:56 PM EST reply actions  

its not much of a risk

the only way i think we lose this trade is if Molina turns out to be the next Mariano Rivera.
It just stings a bit because the hype around Molina has grown quite a bit. Im sure if this was done last year, everyone would be more then happy

Rent this for cheap!!

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 6, 2011 2:02 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Exactly.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 2:03 PM EST up reply actions  

there is always risk

Santos is far from proven, he could flame out. Molina could go to be a quality starter sooner rather than later. Hindsight is such a wonderful thing :)

by voislav on Dec 6, 2011 2:10 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't know much about santos

but i think hes pretty proven, he might have a bad year, but from the comments i’ve read on a few blogs and stuff say hes pretty darn good.

something about having the #1 out pitch in baseball, his slider

Rent this for cheap!!

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 6, 2011 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

AA, the master of the Calculated Risk and the Win/Win

In this case, instead of trading for a troubled player, he’s trading with a troubled franchise.

1) WS have a mandate to cut future payroll.
2) Their farm system is almost as barren as Milwaukee’s.
3) Took a bath in red ink this year as they were expected to contend but failed horribly.

Also… remember the Mike Sirotka deal? Yeah, I do. Damn you, Gord Ash.

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 6, 2011 2:05 PM EST reply actions  

Now let’s get Beckham.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 2:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess I can nuke the Molina Fanpost I was working on

Was going to try and compare him to all other AA pitchers who put up really dominating single season numbers (min 4.5 K/BB, under 25, first stop at AA) from 2005-11, to see how much we can read into his dominating stint at AA from a numbers only perspective

Guess that debate doesn’t exactly have the same salience now.

by MjwW on Dec 6, 2011 2:05 PM EST reply actions  

Someone did that here and I don't know who

But it wasn’t good. Most of them ended up as MLB replacement level with ugly career numbers

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 6, 2011 2:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I put together the list

But the analysis was quite limited, so I wnted to go way more in depth

by MjwW on Dec 6, 2011 3:21 PM EST up reply actions  

most of them

if they didn’t have good fastballs

Blogging about the Toronto Blue Jays at Bluebird Banter

by Woodman663 on Dec 6, 2011 3:24 PM EST up reply actions  

You can "sell" it to the White Sox blog...

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 2:08 PM EST up reply actions  

I like how

A week ago people were saying we don’t need a “proven” closer, now everyone is excited that we acquired… a “proven” closer (not sure how Santos is even proven considering he’s closed for one season and pitched in the big leagues for only two).

My inital reaction to this trade was a little knee-jerk and I think it could benefit the Jays. I just think its funny how quickly opinions change.

by Aidin on Dec 6, 2011 2:09 PM EST reply actions  

Our inner "JaysTalkers" got the better of us today

Hic sunt fortuna dracones
There is only 1 "n" in Hutchison

by JaysfanDL on Dec 6, 2011 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I see a lot more "i don't know"

“ok i guess” then
“OMG SWEET WHAT A DEAL< WOOHOOO A CLOSER YEEEEEEEEEAHHHH”

Try not to take shots at people please

Rent this for cheap!!

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 6, 2011 2:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Didn't take "shots" at anyone...

I’m not trying to shit on anyone’s opinion, which is why I didn’t name names.

Can you deny the fact that the overwhelming majority of the board was high on Molina just a week ago and suddenly we all see these “flaws in him?” Again, I’m not insulting anyone… its just interesting.

by Aidin on Dec 6, 2011 2:18 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't know what kind of reaction you wanted to your comment then

if you didn’t want people to feel a little jabbed at for being a “hypocrite”.
Nobodys saying we lost a bad prospect… nobody is really saying bad stuff about him.

The scouting reports on him are hit and miss, some think hes our 2nd best prospect, others not. Thats all it is.

Rent this for cheap!!

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 6, 2011 2:20 PM EST up reply actions  

no, we don't "need" a closer

but he’s still an excellent relief pitcher. it’s not a good idea to trade, say, a good position player for a good reliever, but we’re trading a good prospect (no consensus on how good) for an established elite reliever

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I think it was more like

We don’t need a “proven” closer that will cost us $50 mil + when that money could go elsewhere for the better.

I’m not sure if it was discussed we could get an excellent reliever for a (quality) prospect

by Steve02 on Dec 6, 2011 2:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't know about you

But mainly, most of thenames I recognize as being high on Molina aren;t as happy, and most of the people who were lower on Molina seem to like it more.

There’s no homogenous opinion, he was a quite polarizing prospect…check out the discussion on our prospect ranking.

by MjwW on Dec 6, 2011 3:23 PM EST up reply actions  

AA traded from a position of strength

I’ve been in the we need a closer camp since Day 1. So I’m very happy this got done.

What’s Molina’s likely case scenario? A proven closer with say Santos’ ceiling, although they are different pitchers.

by Siver on Dec 6, 2011 2:15 PM EST reply actions  

Evolution of the Jays

This looks to be the first action that AA has done that points more to win-now than win-later. It’s possible that Molina will become a much better player than Santos is right now, but we are years away from making that determination.

Santos is that dominant type of reliever that we have been wanting. He’s young and he throws hard. Like Moliina, he’s a converted position player. Just a quick glance at his IP and they are not very high. It’s also entirely possible that he’s not done developing and improving.

by siggian on Dec 6, 2011 2:19 PM EST reply actions  

That was a surprise

and it strikes me a bit like the Lawrie-Marcum trade in reverse.. except that we have a wealth of pitching prospects in the system and we didn’t have much in the way of infield prospects before Lawrie came along. And plus.. Lawrie is Lawrie – that was brilliant. Chicago has made a couple smart trades with us from their perspective. I wish Stewart and Molina all the best and would warrant a guess that at least one of them has a very long and successful major league career. But we just got better too

by khaleeji on Dec 6, 2011 2:19 PM EST reply actions  

Sounds like a decent trade, though it sucks to have to give up Molina

Anyone else find it funny how Jays fans suddenly understand all the prospects’ faults the minute they get traded away.

One minute Molina is a future top of the rotation starter and anyone who disagrees is an idiot who can’t understand his numbers, now he’s suddenly a reliever at best. Same thing happened when the Jays traded Stewart.

by doc alex on Dec 6, 2011 2:20 PM EST reply actions  

yeah...

I’m not getting all this “one minute hes super elite and now he’s not!” comments
I must be having trouble reading today… i really don’t see evidence of that

Rent this for cheap!!

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 6, 2011 2:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Nature of the beast as a sports fan. Logic and consistency plays not much of a role.

I didn’t think Molina was the greatest pitcher alive. I would have been happy if the Jays kept him. Also, I would have been upset if AA signed Madson to a payroll zapping contract. I think the Jays do need a shut down reliever (or three) and considering the years and $, I think it was a pretty good deal.

I’m sure the most upset guy in the room is Boras because he can’t use the Blue Jays to pump up the price of Madson.

In honor of the Jays 2nd Baseman who played with fire in more ways than one.

by Damaso's Burnt Shirt on Dec 6, 2011 2:25 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Yeah, Boras must really hate AA at this point.

He’s providing the whole league a playbook on how to build a team without dealing with agents like him. That has to sting a little.

by transmogrifier on Dec 6, 2011 10:21 PM EST up reply actions  

It makes me...

GRIN.

Hugo thinks I'm a lazy academic

by bluejaysstatsgeek on Dec 7, 2011 12:06 AM EST up reply actions  

No...

…make that ROTFLSHMSH

However, you can’t help but admire the way Boras manipulates the minds and judgment of the feeble.

Hugo thinks I'm a lazy academic

by bluejaysstatsgeek on Dec 7, 2011 12:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Which young pitcher will AA trade next?

We need to start hyping some of the lower-upside prospects to build their trade value.

"Captain Picard Day is for the children." : Captain Picard
"Wu-Tang is for the children." : ODB

by neilrqm on Dec 6, 2011 2:27 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

CHAD JENKINS FOR GORDON BECKHAM FTW.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 2:28 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Sean Nolin, what a stud!

I mean look at what he did in Lansing after losing some weight this past offseason. There, that should get us a 2B.

Hic sunt fortuna dracones
There is only 1 "n" in Hutchison

by JaysfanDL on Dec 6, 2011 2:29 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Chad Beck!

but seriously I think Beck has some value in the pen

by Chris McC on Dec 6, 2011 2:36 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

well, after we sent the original Scrabble to St. Luis...

We can package his two successors for someone with a short name (Yu?) and save on the cost of Jerseys…

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 2:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Do I even have to tell you what I voted?

I hate this trade.

1) I loved Molina as a future starter.

2) I hate closers.

3) I think Molina would’ve been just as good or better RIGHT FRIGGIN NOW.

Gutted.

Blogging about the Toronto Blue Jays at Bluebird Banter

by Woodman663 on Dec 6, 2011 2:36 PM EST reply actions  

you think Molina would've struck out 14 guys per 9

with a K:BB ratio of 3.5 in the Majors right now? I don’t.

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 2:37 PM EST up reply actions  

works the other way too though

he was ridiculously dominant in those 22 Ip

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 2:58 PM EST up reply actions  

True enough, I guess.

But it’s pretty darn tough to immediately think that he could then put up those sort of elite number in the MLB with the lack of experience he has.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 3:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Obviously he'd be a different type of closer

But yes, I believe his ERA could’ve been lower than Santos’ career 3.29. And he could beat 3.5 K:BB.

For chrissakes, people, we just traded for a 28 year old who hasn’t had a WAR higher than 1.6 yet. Although, what if AA were to convert him to a starter?

Blogging about the Toronto Blue Jays at Bluebird Banter

by Woodman663 on Dec 6, 2011 2:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Santos has been pitching for 3 years and just put up back to back elite reliever seasons. Is it hard to think he could even get better?

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 2:44 PM EST up reply actions  

1.6 WAR as an reliever is elite

and Santos’ DIPS in 2011: ~2.8 FIP, ~2.6 xFIP, ~2.25 SIERA. this is a guy who can get even better.

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 2:44 PM EST up reply actions  

and while I liked Molina

the chances he’s a quality starting pitcher are not all that high.

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 2:45 PM EST up reply actions  

can i get one of your crystal balls please

because that is the only way you can justify this statement. We have no idea what is going to happen with Molina. I for one think he had a very high upside and this could end up being the equivalent to the Michael Young for Loaiza deal that Ash turned over a decade ago.

by TrueBlue4Ever! on Dec 6, 2011 3:04 PM EST up reply actions  

because TINSTAAPP

even good pitchers, especially Minors pitchers, have crazily high attrition rates. if Molina pans out he could be really solid, but the chances of him doing that aren’t all that high

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 3:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't mean to poke with a stick here

Or insult. But frankly, have you ever seen Molina pitch, other than a couple videos on the Internet? I mean, it’s easy to say we like guys, but our information is so limited compared to what teams, and particularly the prospect’s team have. If the Jays don’t see him as a starter, I think you have to defer to their judgment. At least, this is my personal view – I had a strong opinion of Molina, but it was based on so little information that I could have easily changed it had I had a lot more.

by MjwW on Dec 6, 2011 3:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Timing

Everybody is talking about how good Molina will be, with varying evaluations. But my question is: when? If it’s in, say, 4 years, how good will Bautista be then? I don’t think that all the Jays’ moves should be made with Bautista’s abilities in mind. But it should be part of the equation. And the Jays’ opening is in the next couple of years, not 5 years down the line. Good trade.

by DavidLondon on Dec 6, 2011 2:43 PM EST reply actions  

I think

Molina’s pretty close to or already ready to pitch in the MLB.

Blogging about the Toronto Blue Jays at Bluebird Banter

by Woodman663 on Dec 6, 2011 3:02 PM EST up reply actions  

also, the back end of our bullpen right now?

Santos —> Janssen/Litsch/Perez —> Villanueva/Carpenter/Uviedo/Farquhar.

and maybe FF too. filthy

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 2:46 PM EST reply actions  

Just wondering, is Carreno still being considered for a bullpen slot next year?

by Rather Bengt on Dec 6, 2011 2:51 PM EST up reply actions  

He should be.

I am assuming benk just forgot about him for a moment there.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 2:52 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah I did forget about Carreno

even better! I actually wonder if we trade someone (Perez? Janssen?) since I think at least one or two of Carpenter/Uviedo/Farquhar could be fairly effective

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 2:54 PM EST up reply actions  

i would think so

that bullpen really makes me want to sign fielder and Johnson and win this now.

Rent this for cheap!!

by Bowling_Guy25 on Dec 6, 2011 2:52 PM EST up reply actions  

fielder Pujols and Johnson Darvish and win this now

Fixed

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 2:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Absolutely

He’s the real sleeper in the mix. He may have the stuff to eventually close.

by royshowell on Dec 6, 2011 2:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Meh

Dont trade for established closers. I would absolutely hate this deal if it weren’t for his contract, and the fact that I’m not as high on Molina as some.

Derp

by Pikachu on Dec 6, 2011 3:19 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Gods! How low can you go?

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on Dec 6, 2011 3:41 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I don’t think this deal gets done without the contract in any event. AA all but said so himself.

It is a relief to me that we didn’t have to experience BJ Ryan 2.0.

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose.

by Jevant on Dec 6, 2011 3:26 PM EST up reply actions  

AA said almost exactly that

from Chisholm (I think) AA said he wouldn’t give up a top prospect for a player with fewer years of team control

by benk on Dec 6, 2011 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

He also said this:

“I’d love to have everything done here, but realistically they’ll probably get done after we leave.”

Translation: he’s going to make 58 trades and sign Fielder before Friday.

by TonyFernandezSavedMyLife on Dec 6, 2011 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Sign Fielder, trade for Rickie Weeks, and convince Pujols he's only worth $75 million over 5 years

Here's my attempt at a witty sig. Didn't really go so well, methinks.

Wise men wonder, while strong men die.

by Cam Oegema on Dec 7, 2011 1:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Son of an expletive.

Here's my attempt at a witty sig. Didn't really go so well, methinks.

Wise men wonder, while strong men die.

by Cam Oegema on Dec 7, 2011 1:37 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

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