Make your prediction: Juan Rivera

by Tom Dakers on Feb 1, 2011 12:59 PM EST in Fun

I have no idea what to expect out of Juan Rivera this year. I doubt the Jays do either. I am sure he wasn't a player that Alex particularly wanted, just someone he had to take to make the Vernon Wells trade.

Juan didn't have a good year last year:

	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
2010 - Juan Rivera	124	416	53	105	20	0	15	52	33	58	2	2	.252	.312	.409

Nor did he have good defensive numbers. Fangraphs had him at a -6.4 UZR/150. He doesn't have a lot of range, has an ok arm, makes the odd error.

There are a few good signs though. He had a .261 BABIP, down from a career .283 mark. He also hit much better on the road (.283/.336/.483) than at home (.223/.289/.336). Right handed power hitters did very well at Rogers Centre last year, maybe it will help him out too. He hit better in the second half of last season (.272/.333/.407) than he did in the first half (.240/.299/.409).

His career numbers at Rogers Centre aren't good (.190/.188/.349) but that is only in 63 at bats so means little.

He is in the last year of his contract so maybe there will be a kick to get another one.

Bill James figured him to hit .270/.324/.444 with 15 homers in 409 at bats. That would have been before the trade.

Me? No idea. Let's say .275/.335/.450 with 20 home runs in 500 at bats.

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Comments

i just wonder how much he is going 2 play??? we got travis rajai and jose

by Jason3000 on Feb 1, 2011 1:04 PM EST reply actions

Kinda going on the assumption that Jose will man third ATM.

by Parallex on Feb 1, 2011 1:35 PM EST up reply actions

He'll benefit from hitting in AL East parks, and will be motivated...

600 PA
.270/.330/.480/.810
25 HR

by Andy Mc on Feb 1, 2011 1:05 PM EST reply actions

I actually think he’ll do pretty good here. He’s moving to a more power friendly park and his D doesn’t sound much different then what Bautista provided (good arm, weak range). Hopefully he’ll go a ways towards replacing Wells bat.

by Parallex on Feb 1, 2011 1:35 PM EST reply actions

.285/.340/.500 - 20hr - 80rbi - 450PA

by Baseball North on Feb 1, 2011 3:04 PM EST reply actions

I hope we trade him so I won't predict his stats

If you can't pay em' trade em' and pay for someone else

by jaysfan100 on Feb 1, 2011 3:30 PM EST reply actions

I predict he will be traded before the season starts

HEADING STRAIGHT FOR THEM, I PRESS DOWN MAH GUNS!

by BenjiDoc on Feb 1, 2011 3:49 PM EST up reply actions

Fair, I will change the word hope to predict, there we go now I made a prediction

If you can't pay em' trade em' and pay for someone else

by jaysfan100 on Feb 1, 2011 3:54 PM EST up reply actions

i think hes here to stay this year

every guy on the roster this year might hit 20 bombs

into the mashed potateos

by aquibtalib on Feb 1, 2011 4:07 PM EST reply actions

even J-mac

If you can't pay em' trade em' and pay for someone else

by jaysfan100 on Feb 1, 2011 4:08 PM EST up reply actions

At the recent Jays State of the Franchise event

AA said he thought Rivera could put up a similar season to Wells this season. Given that VW’s career averages are 289/329/475, if Rivera matches Tom’s predictions, that will probably be accurate.

by SuckaMD on Feb 1, 2011 4:51 PM EST reply actions

Let me introduce you to this year´s Bautista...

I think he´ll be a everyday outfielder who will perform great in 2011!

.279 – 31 HR – 92 RBIs

"Touch ´em all, Joe!"

by jaysfanfromeurope on Feb 1, 2011 5:23 PM EST reply actions

So where do folk think he’s going to mostly play RF or LF?

by Parallex on Feb 1, 2011 5:26 PM EST reply actions

I’d like to see Snider in right, so I’m going with left for Rivera

As a Toronto sports fan I proudly follow the lessons of lachrymology.

by Redonred on Feb 1, 2011 7:20 PM EST up reply actions

same here, Snider’s been decent enough in the outfield that I’d rather have Rivera in left to limit his damage

by benk on Feb 1, 2011 8:14 PM EST up reply actions

Rivera was pretty close to league average (by UZR) was he not?

by Parallex on Feb 1, 2011 9:40 PM EST up reply actions

actually

you are correct, I don’t know why I thought he was terrible. career +5 UZR/150 or so in LF, +2 in RF

by benk on Feb 1, 2011 11:25 PM EST up reply actions

I predict that he’ll be traded before Opening Day

by t_jays_fan on Feb 1, 2011 6:49 PM EST reply actions

I predict an All-Star Team selection for Juan this year.

BOOK IT!

Even a mistake may turn out to be the one thing necessary to a worthwhile achievement

by TonyFernandezSavedMyLife on Feb 1, 2011 7:20 PM EST reply actions

ya juan!!

into the mashed potateos

by aquibtalib on Feb 1, 2011 7:38 PM EST up reply actions

He will steal Jeter's gold glove.

by neilrqm on Feb 2, 2011 1:22 PM EST up reply actions

Hopefully traded by the deadline!

That’s my prediction

by Mess76 on Feb 1, 2011 7:34 PM EST reply actions

I predict he will have a better season than Wells.

by Joey P on Feb 1, 2011 9:11 PM EST reply actions

Love the picture Rivera has.

by ddbumpus on Feb 1, 2011 10:55 PM EST reply actions

way too optimistic

With your predictions for everyone, I think they represent the best case scenario for all of them.

by daman316 on Feb 2, 2011 1:14 AM EST via mobile reply actions

Jose at third

I was listening to MLB radio. they had Buck Martinez and he made a very good point about having Jose play at third base. he said Jose’s leadership doesn’t help much if he is playing outfield but if he is at 3rd base. He can help the pitcher if they run into trouble by calming them down. He can help the catcher with pitch selection. He can help Yunel if he gets too cocky. He can help Lind at first because of his arm.
It made a lot of sense. He may rather play the outfield but I think him playing 3rd would help the team more.

by oggyswain on Feb 2, 2011 8:29 AM EST reply actions