How Do You Solve a Problem Like David Purcey?
EDIT: Apparently, if you were Alex Anthopoulos, you designate him for assignment. Let's see if any other club decides to pick him up.
EDIT 2: Alex Anthopoulos traded David Purcey to the A's for former Jays prospect Dan "Lord" Farquhar. Much better than the $20,000 waiver claim fee!
David Purcey is a left-handed 28-year old former first round draft pick (16th overall) by the Blue Jays in 2004. He was used exclusively as a starter in his professional career, including parts of two seasons as a Jay in 2008 and 2009. In Spring Training 2010, he was converted into a reliever and was optioned to AAA Las Vegas to start the year to work on his conversion. In 17 appearances, all in relief, Purcey had a 3.38 ERA, 23 K, and 15 BB over 18.2 IP, recording a 1.55 WHIP with the 51s.
When Dana Eveland was designated for assignment late May last year, Purcey was called up and performed effectively out of the bullpen for the balance of the season with the Jays (save for a stint on the DL and a rehab assignment in AA New Hampshire). In 33 appearances with the big club, he recorded a 3.71 ERA, striking out 32 while walking 15 over 34.0 innings pitched. He had a WHIP of 1.21, ERA+ of 113, and recorded a single save. He looked good in his first year as a left-hander out of the bullpen, and I had good hopes for him for the 2011 season.
However, something looked wrong about Purcey this Spring Training. His strikes% stayed about the same compared to last year's regular season at 62%, but his walks per inning nearly doubled, and his WHIP went from 1.21 to 1.80. A particularly bad outing came early in Spring Training, when on March 8 he faced 3 Rays batters and walked them on 12 balls. He looked good in his last spring appearance, giving up 2 hits, walking none, and striking out 2 over 2.0 innings against the Orioles. That may have helped save his spot on the roster (as did Jesse Carlson's injury).
But let's look at his regular season game log:
| DATE | OPP | ERA | G | IP | H | R | ER | HR | HB | BB | IBB | K | NP-S | AVG | WHIP | GO/AO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR 05 | OAK | 0.00 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19-13 | .000 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| APR 07 | OAK | 0.00 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9-7 | .200 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| APR 08 | @LAA | 0.00 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6-2 | .200 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| APR 10 | @LAA | 0.00 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16-6 | .143 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| APR 11 | @SEA | 11.57 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16-6 | .300 | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| YEAR | 11.57 | 5 | 2.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 66-34 | .300 | 3.00 | 1.00 |
I have bolded the walk and strikes counts from his three most recent appearances. In those three appearances, he got only 3 outs while facing 9 batters, walking 4 of them. His strike % went down to 37%. He was lucky that his bullpen pals saved him from giving up any runs in the Angel games, but they weren't able to help him after he loaded the bases with only one out last night against the Mariners. In his other two appearances, Purcey faced 5 batter, go them all out save giving one hit, and had a 71% strike percentage.
So in the last three appearances, he had completely lost the location of the strike zone, and looked horrible. The question is: is that enough for a demotion? My thoughts are no. If I were in charge, Purcey would be allowed to come out at least once more in a non-critical situation (uhh, like having a 6-run lead) to demonstrate that he can locate and throw effective strikes. If he screws up again, I'll have to look seriously at the choices available to me.
So, if I were in charge, what are my choices? How can I solve a problem like David Purcey--a 28-year old left-handed reliever out of options?
- Trade. That sends Purcey's contract (at Major League minimum) to another Major League team and possibly gets something (probably something small) in return. If a team (especially one who did well last season) really wants Purcey, they may go this route rather than risk another team picking him up through waivers (see 3, below)
- Release. That immediately removes Purcey from both the 25-man and 40-man rosters. Another MLB team can pick him up from the Jays for $1, or else he will become a free agent. I don't see the Jays choosing to do this.
- Designate for assignment. This choice immediately removes Purcey from the 40-man roster and exposes him to an irrevocable waiver and his contract can be picked up by the other 29 teams in reverse order of won-lost record. The claiming team pays the Jays $20,000 for the player. If he is not claimed, two new choices (4&5) become available.
- DFA, then option to minors. If no other club claims him within 10 days, Purcey can be optioned to the minor leagues. He will have to be placed back onto the 40-man roster to serve an optional assignment. Again, I don't see the Jays choosing to do this because of choice 5 that is available.
- DFA, then outright to minors. If no other club claims him within 10 days, Purcey can be outrighted to the minor leagues. This leaves him off of the 40-man roster. A player can only be outrighted without permission once in his career, and only if he has less than 3 years of MLB service. I don't believe that Purcey has ever been outrighted yet, and he has less than 3 years of service.
- Place on disabled list. If the Jays find that Purcey has a legitimate injury, he may be placed on the 15-day or 60-day DL. The 15-day DL removes him from the 25-man roster, and the 60-day DL removes him from the 40-man roster as well.
If Purcey does leave the active roster than the available lefties from the bullpen currently on the 25-man roster are Marc Rzepczynski and Jo-Jo Reyes (if converted to reliever). On the 40-man roster are Brad Mills and Luis Perez.
So what is your call? Do you think another MLB team will pickup Purcey on waivers? Is it worth losing him for essentially nothing? Do you think he will rebound eventually? Are there better left-handed options available?
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Trade Purcey, Encarnacion and a prospect to Texas
For Michael Young.
We get an everyday 3 bagger, we make room for a kid like cooper or somone and we get a spot in the pen for Scott Richmond or someone like him or even push Reyes back when Morrow gets back.
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Eww!
I doubt that Michael Young is that good at 3B anymore. The real problem is that he has a contract with some life left in it and I’d rather keep EE and his cheap one year contract and have room for Lawrie later this year.
I’m pretty sure that it won’t take all of what you mention to pry Young out of Texas. They’d love to move him and would probably toss in some prospects to sweeten the offer.
I'll second that Eww and raise it by an UGH...
"USA Today has come out with a new survey - apparently, three out of every four people make up 75% of the population." (D. Letterman)
"Women who seek to be equal with men lack ambition." (T. Leary)
"Cynicism is an unpleasant way of saying the truth." (L. Hellman)
gross.
To Infinity. And BEYOND!!!
by YunelTheLazyLatino on Apr 12, 2011 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions
That's just a terrible idea
I wouldn’t trade Purcey, Encarnacion, OR a prospect for Young, his salary’s ridiculous and he’s basically an average offensive player at this point in his career, with below average defense
Why this trade is a bad idea, even if EE for Young start up
Strait to the point. EE is 28 and with huge likelihood will play just as well as last year, if not better. Young is 35 and is already on the decline and realistically at best holds offensive value.
EE in half a season last year was worth 1.6 WAR (fair to assume that he would have been worth 2’5 to 3 WAR over a full season).
Young in a full season was worth 2.7 WAR (-.1 DWAR more then EE).
So a pessimistic prediction for EE and a aggressive one for Young has Young worth .2 WAR more then EE. You get this for 11M more. Who do you want???
If you can't pay em' trade em' and pay for someone else
Purcey will stew in the pen
Yes, things have gone a bit off the rails over the last few days, but the Jays can carry Purcey deep in the pen for another few weeks while they see if they can figure out how to fix him. He was so successful last year that you don’t want to give up on him that quickly.
If they don’t think they can fix him, I see a trade for a conditional PTBNL happening with an NL team.
I’d give him one more shot in a non-crucial situation before exploring the aforementioned options as proposed by Minor Leaguer. If it doesn’t work out, the trade route seems to be the best option to me (for a low end prospect perhaps). I’m inclined to think David has one more shot if he hasn’t already used up all of his lifelines. I wonder what AA has up his sleeve to deal with this situation…
we have tried everything with this guy, he just does not have what it takes to be a consistent pitcher in the bigs.
I found a delivery in my flaw
I dont like how erratic many of our pen arms are
Camp and Rauch (and maybe Villanueva) are the only guys i trust to come in and throw strikes
Onions Baby Onions
That comment applies to the vast majority of bullpens
There are very few really reliable bullpen arms. We were spoiled in having Downs here last year because he is one of them.
i am disgusted by his play of late
but trading him right now wouldn’t get us anything useful. Maybe try to DFA and hope teams don’t pick him up.
To Infinity. And BEYOND!!!
by YunelTheLazyLatino on Apr 12, 2011 4:26 PM EDT reply actions
BTW he’s been DFA’d
http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/2011/04/12/carson_mlb/
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Hope the Jays find a way to keep Purcey in AAA.
Probably not likely though, he’ll be traded or claimed. Tough break for him in the last appearance, The Safeco Monday Night Meltdown… as I mentioned in a thread after that game, Purcey gave up a walk where gameday indicated two of the balls were in the zone and not called by the ump, a hit to Ichiro which is no shocker, and the leadoff single to Saunders. The walked in runs after are not Purcey’s fault but he seems to be taking a lot of blame from some frustrated fans.
The interesting thing about that leadoff single is that Purcey didn’t pitch Saunders badly at all, he was just beat in a lucky at bat. Purcey got two quick strikes and then threw two very close pitches just off the corner low and outside, which Saunders took. Purcey then throws a pitch on the outside of the zone which Saunders hit to opposite field… but the interesting thing is that is the perfect pitch location to throw to Saunders – see the link below. Purcey did his job, he just got beat through luck, ump discretion and in Ichiro’s case skill… that’s baseball. Losing him to another team as a result of that outing, especially for nothing, will be a mistake.
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/saunders-struggles-with-outside-pitches/
It's been a day since he was DFA'd, and not claimed yet...
Like it matters… GMs are going to wait for the 10th day anyway…
"USA Today has come out with a new survey - apparently, three out of every four people make up 75% of the population." (D. Letterman)
"Women who seek to be equal with men lack ambition." (T. Leary)
"Cynicism is an unpleasant way of saying the truth." (L. Hellman)
But AA doesn't have to wait to make a trade.
Rumour has it that Arnsberg wants to have him in Houston.
Hugo thinks I'm a lazy academic
by bluejaysstatsgeek on Apr 14, 2011 8:05 PM EDT up reply actions
Jays trade Purcey in exchange for Reyes
Teams are always looking for lefty relievers so it’s hard to imagine seeing Purcey in a Blue Jays uniform in the future. Although Purcey is only 28 years old and a former 1st rounder, he has struggled against righties in the majors and averages 4.5 walks per nine innings. With a crowded rotation and bullpen, Jo Jo Reyes is the likely candidate to take over Purcey’s role. Obviously AA believes Jo Jo Reyes has a higher ceiling than Purcey does at this point. Is it worth it to lose Purcey for nothing? Yes. It’s not a 26 man roster so the question is would you rather keep Purcey, or Reyes? Obviously you’d like to get something for Purcey, but by replacing Purcey with Reyes in the bullpen and inserting Brandon Morrow in your rotation the team is significantly better. If Purcey does go to another team he’ll be fine. He holds lefties to a .226 batting average and he’s got good stuff.
Reyes hasn't thrown strikes either
he might be better than Purcey, but it’s not like he’s shown himself to be a dominant lefty
apparently - you trade him to the A's for a former Jays' pitcher...
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