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What is the Blue Jays Biggest Surprise of the New Season?

I'm sorry that I've been MIA lately, my dad had pretty major surgery a couple of weeks ago. So I've been up to see him a fair bit of the last 2 weeks. The good news is that we took him home Monday and he, once again, looks far healthier than a man his age should look. All is good.

Anyway, I thought I'd ask you all what you think is the biggest surprise out of our Jays, so far this year? I'll chime in with a few possibilities after the jump:

Star-divide

 

  • Jose Bautista. When Alex signed Jose to the big contract, I seemed to get drawn into arguments with anyone that didn't watch the Jays very much, all telling me what a terrible contract it was going to turn out to be. And they had a point, if you were just looking at his stats, it seemed like a bad contract. But, for us that got to watch him last year, he really did seem like a different player than he had been before. So far this year, he is even better than last year, with a .357/.530/.762 line. 
  • Our running game. We all heard the hype during spring training. I figured, yeah we have Rajia Davis, he'd steal a bunch, but the rest of the guys would play like the usually do. But no. Jose Bautista already has 4 steals (and has caused roughly the same number of errors in rundowns). Juan Rivera has a steal (and 2 times caught, stop sending him John) and he can be timed, running from first to second, with a sundial. Aaron Hill has 6 steals, Snider has 5 (before he was cast out), Davis has 6. In the "please stop trying" category, John McDonald stole 1 and has been caught twice and Adam Lind is 1 and 1. All in we have 33 steals, trailing only the Royals, with 35, in the American League.
  • Adam Lind's fielding. He is doing pretty good with the bat, but he has looked great at first base. I didn't expect him to be bad but he's even surprised me at how well he has done. 
  • Carlos Villanueva. A guy we picked up basically for free and he has been lights out from the pen. I think he's had one bad outing (he gave up 2 runs against the Rays a week or so ago), other than that, he's gone 3 innings twice, 2 or more 4 times in his 9 appearances. Pretty good for a guy that had ERAs of 4.07, 5.34 and 4.61 in the last 3 seasons, playing in the NL Central. 
  • Juan Rivera's awful start. The guy was hitting around .400 this spring, then the season starts and he couldn't hit a thing. He did get it going and I'm hoping that the last two games without a hit means nothing.
  • Brett Cecil's poor start. He won 15 games last year, starts this year with a 6.86 ERA in 4 starts and off to the minors he goes.
  • Travis Snider's poor start. A .184/.276/.264 line bought him a ticket to Vegas too. 
  • The organization's impatience. This is likely the biggest surprise to me. Snider has 87 not great at bats: Ok we've seen all we need to, let's send him to Triple-A. Huh? Don't we have the organization's best batting coach in Toronto? Brett Cecil? 21 innings, gone. I like Bruce Walton and Pat Hentgen a lot, why would you send a guy away from these two? Add in that Juan Rivera has a slow start, so we bench him so we can play Jayson Nix? What is there in this guy's history that suggests to you that he should get starts? I'm sure he is a nice guy, but his career FA at third is .901 and his career batting line is .217/.293/.383. It seems like an throw back to the Brad Wilkerson/Kevin Mench days. 
  • Jo-Jo Reyes. The team that seems so impatient with other players, has a lot of patience for Reyes. And I guess his 4.66 ERA looks ok, but he has given up 8 unearned runs. So his unearned run average would be 7.13. He did have his best start of the season yesterday, but 10 fly outs to 2 ground outs, for a pitcher that has to live at the bottom of the strike zone, makes it seem like he was getting a lot of luck on balls finding gloves. He has been keeping the fly balls in the park, only 1 home run allowed, I can't see that continuing. Sooner or later some of those fly ball are going to start finding the seats. I know he is out of options and the team would love him to show some value so they could trade him. I don't see it happening and I don't see him being a part of the team next year.
  • J.P. Arencibia's defense. We were kind of lead to believe that JP's defense would be lacking. If it is, he's managed to hide it well for the first month of the season. Then there were whispers (or shouts) that his game calling skills weren't up to major league standards. It is one of those things people say that I never believe. Teams put together game plans before the game, catchers generally follow the plan. Earl Weaver always said that his pitchers called their own games. I mostly believe that, if the catcher puts down a sign the pitcher doesn't like, shake it off. It is best if the pitcher isn't shaking off a lot of signs, but if there is a problem, the pitcher and catcher can discuss it between innings. 

Anyway those are my thoughts for the biggest surprises of the Jays season so far. As alway, leave your thoughts, but I'll put up a poll. 

Poll
What is the Blue Jays Biggest Surprise of the new season?
Jose Bautista.
53 votes
Our running game.
38 votes
Juan Rivera's bad start.
3 votes
Adam Lind's defense.
44 votes
Carlos Villanueva.
30 votes
Brett Cecil.
53 votes
Travis Snider.
35 votes
The organization's impatience with some players.
67 votes
That Jo-Jo is still in the rotation.
24 votes
J.P. Arencibia's defense.
5 votes
Something else? Let us know what.
8 votes

360 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 28 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Great post Tom...

It’s good to hear your pa is on the mend as well : )

How long do you think they’ll keep Reyes? I think that game last night has probably earned him another 2 starts at least….

by GBJay on May 4, 2011 2:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Other

How many ticky-tack injuries the Jays have suffered to start the season.

They haven’t had any big ones, but so far Morrow, Hill, Nix, Francisco, and Davis have been on the short DL. EE, Jedi, Escobar have had multiple days off due to ouchies.

And I’m not counting Moonraker and Cecil, who have been banished from the club for CHS and CPS. Hopefully both will recover soon. Dotel’s CPS is chronic and permanent and the only treatment is to avoid it.

by siggian on May 4, 2011 2:36 PM EDT reply actions  

That should read “Dotel’s CPS{AL} is chronic…” but the parenthesis disappeared.

by siggian on May 4, 2011 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cecil surprised me the most. Not to say I thought he was going to be an all-star but he seem epically bad and that was a little bit of a shock to me.

I think you'll find I'm universally recognised as a mature and responsible adult.
Twitter is the thing with all the tweets...

by JohnnyG on May 4, 2011 2:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Biggest surprise so far for me is the Jays record thus far vs Boston and TB….er wait….sorry, I was thinking of something else….I’m going to have to go with the impatience of the club with certain players. Cecil was doing awful, yes, but Reyes was doing just as awful and like you said they have seemed a lot more willing to keep Reyes around. I’m assuming Reyes had no more options left while Cecil does? Also, I’m surprised about E5, not so much that he’s made so many errors already at 3B, but rather that they’ve continued to put him out there despite it.

by Icedragon on May 4, 2011 2:42 PM EDT reply actions  

we really

don’t have a better option for third

by benk on May 4, 2011 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lawrie?

Why I'm a optimistic Bills fan:
The road that is built in hope is more pleasant to the traveler than the road built in despair, even though they both lead to the same destination.
- Marion Zimmer Bradley

by mavadjdj on May 4, 2011 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you are basing off errors, Not so much

I think you'll find I'm universally recognised as a mature and responsible adult.
Twitter is the thing with all the tweets...

by JohnnyG on May 4, 2011 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

According to Lott's twitter.

He hasn’t had an error since april 19.

by Nadia on May 4, 2011 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Glad your dad is doing ok

I got to go with Jose. Never did I imagine he would produce like this.

As for the guys who got sent down…I kind of did see that coming. Not specifically Cecil and Snider just that with so many young players, someone was bound to have a rough season and get sent down.

by IanJ on May 4, 2011 4:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Cecil

I don’t expect Cy Young worthy performances out of him but I did expect him to be a solid arm in the rotation and he just wasn’t. Fingers crossed that he finds the lost velocity and the location to go along with it in Vegas.

by Parallex on May 4, 2011 4:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Cecil surprised me.

That he was ineffective and completely out of sorts to start the season really surprised me, it appeared that he had completely lost his focus. He seemed primed to make a jump this season and become a steady front line starter after winning 15 games last season. His minor league numbers were solid and he already had a good amount of valuable MLB experience with the Jays. He pitched very effectively against tough AL East teams in particular. I expected a good season from him but perhaps other things in life are affecting him. Never seen him look so visibly frustrated but he is still very young, plenty of time to sort it out.

Snider was a bit of a shock too, not that he struggled but that the team lost patience so quickly. He did look bad though, his swing was not at all like it was last season. As I’ve mentioned before, he was flying way open and not seeing the ball well, especially on breaking stuff. When he’s on he stays down through the ball and drives it, just wasn’t happening this year so maybe some time in the minors makes sense.

I know Farrell needs time to get to know his players but I’m surprised at how quickly he reacts when someone struggles a bit. Hope he gets more patient as time goes by, young players have enough pressure already without expecting a trap door to open under their feet as soon as they falter.

by transmogrifier on May 4, 2011 4:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Why is Murphy our best hitting coach?

His expertise seems to be pull hitting. which is great for Bautista. But guys who hit best to all fields, like Lind, Overbay and Snider all regressed under him. Even Hill, who pulled most of his HR’s when working with Tenace regressed. What makes Murphy so good?

by JayTeam on May 4, 2011 5:09 PM EDT reply actions  

That was why I formed it as a question...

if we don’t have the best hitting coach in Toronto we are doing things wrong.

by Tom Dakers on May 4, 2011 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

I remember when Charlie Lau theories were the standard

and IIRC, they were geared for driving the ball up the middle. Have his theories fallen by the wayside, or are they still accepted?

by JayTeam on May 4, 2011 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

More important

If Murphy is so good, why do we continue to suck with RISP, and especially with the bases loaded?

They're not just hitting home runs. They're doing the little things, like hitting doubles.

by Torgen on May 4, 2011 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

He was hitting coach for a team that won the world series.

If that even means anything. And Lind loves him, apparently.

He also helped fund and produce MC Hammer’s first album.

by Nadia on May 4, 2011 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

First two might be reasons to keep him

The last one is criminal enough to get him fired.

by IanJ on May 4, 2011 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

numbers with RISP really aren't predictive

just because we’ve sucked with RISP until now, doesn’t mean we will continue to suck with RISP

Choose me, Ash!

by Pikachu on May 4, 2011 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Travis subpar start combined with his demotion

I really thought he’d unleash his inner beast this season. And I still believe he will do fine and take off. And that’s why I was even more surprised by the decision to send him down after just a month.

The issues of Cecil, though, are a close second.

by hansdampf on May 4, 2011 6:34 PM EDT reply actions  

our record

not so much surprised as disappointed, that we are doing as poorly as we are against the yanks, sox and rays. would have liked to us do better.
also disappointed with our vaunted bullpen, and what has become a pretty thin starting staff.
so, overall, surprised at our record, would have hoped for a few games over .500 by now.

by Gerry71 on May 4, 2011 7:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Dissapointed with our bullpen? how?

Apart of that meltdown in Seattle, that BP was very very good.

And as for our record – considering our April schedule (most see it as the most brutal in MLB), I’m not that dissapointed.

While I agree that some of our starters could have fared better, Drabek held his own and Morrow was very good since coming back. Cecil and Reyes did mess things up, but to me it seems that in many games the problem was the run support.

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on May 5, 2011 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Carlos Villanueva

How can it not be this guy!
He came into spring training as a guy that was on the bubble, a lot of people were expecting him to start the year in Las Vegas.
Right now he’s the relief pitcher that I’m most comertable with in the game (or scrabble they’ve both done a good job).

by Chris McCullough on May 4, 2011 10:24 PM EDT reply actions  

^^ what they said!

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on May 5, 2011 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Adam Lind's defense

Heard Buck Martinez talking about a conversation he had about this with John Farrell, to the effect that a pleasant surprise this season so far has been what a non-issue Adam Lind’s defense is at 1B. Farrell basically said that it’s not something that even enters his mind anymore.

I thought Lind would be fine, but I think it’s fair to say that it’s a bit of a surprise how seamless his transition into the position has been and more so how good he’s looked at the position – he’s not just handling, he’s arguably exceling at it.

by jabalong on May 5, 2011 8:22 AM EDT reply actions  

add to that the fact that he had to deal with quite a few errant throws from 3B....

"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assaults of thought on the unthinking." (J.M Keynes)

by HESS2479 on May 5, 2011 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

Look out in row 2!

I think you'll find I'm universally recognised as a mature and responsible adult.
Twitter is the thing with all the tweets...

by JohnnyG on May 5, 2011 10:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

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