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Happy Birthday Brandon Morrow

Today is Brandon Morrow's 26 27th birthday. He gets the start today too. Years ago Bill James did a little study on how players did on their birthdays, I don't remember too much about it, other than one line: 'if you are a gambler, keep an eye on pitcher's birthdays'. I think I'd put $5 on the Jays tonight.

Brandon is my favorite Jay starter to watch. I've always liked the strikeout pitchers. I know the strikeout may not be democratic, but I always figure if you strikeout a guy, nothing bad can happen, it isn't going to bounce through the infield somehow. Anyway, Brandon goes into his birthday start on a bit of a roll. In his last 5 starts he has limited batters to a .189/.270/.262 slash line, with 9.6 k/9, averaging just less than 7 innings a start. The Jays have won his last 7 starts. He is 4-0 with a 2.85 ERA in that time 

Up to age 26 27, he is 25-23, with 16 saves, in 58 starts and 116 relief appearances. Not to shabby and I'm sure there is better to come. On Baseball Reference's list of 'similar pitchers through age 25', Carlos Villanueva is number 3. I really don't consider them similar at all.

Happy Birthday Brandon! How about a no-hitter for a present?

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Good luck Morrow! Here is your supporting cast for the B-Day game:

1. Yunel Escobar® SS
2. Eric Thames (L) RF
3. Jose Bautista® 3B
4. Adam Lind (L) 1B
5. Edwin Encarnacion® DH
6. Travis Snider (L) CF
7. Aaron Hill® 2B
8. Corey Patterson (L) LF
9. Jose Molina® C

by McBluejays on Jul 26, 2011 4:17 PM EDT reply actions  

A lineup with Lawrie and Snider in CF

man that would be nice to see… i dont think it will happen unfortunately.

Onions Baby Onions

by ohmybosh on Jul 26, 2011 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hey! Here's a great idea.

Why don’t we trade him for Wily Mo Pena? We need a DH. LOL

Actually in my OOTP league (online) the Twins asked about the availability of Morrow and I shut him down quick. The best part about my league is that McGowan has completely recovered from his injury and is back in the starting rotation. Ah, to dream!

The worst is that Romero is not modelled correctly, in my humble opinion.

Happy Birthday, Morrow. Good luck tonight, I’ll be watching/cheering for you.

by Jason Witte on Jul 26, 2011 4:43 PM EDT reply actions  

In Blue Jays franchise history, 15 pitchers have started on their birthday (including Morrow last year)

Their “average” line is 5.0 IP, 6.2 H, 3.7 R, 3.4 ER, 2.9 BB, 3.8 K, 0.7 HR, 41.7 GSc*, -0.035 WPA. (*Bill James’ Game Score). The Jays have won 7 times out of 15. So there definitely doesn’t seem to be any birthday bonuses! But we are talking about really small sample sizes, spanning 3 decades. It’s interesting to see that no Jay started a game on their birthday in the 1980s, but they had three last season.

Morrow’s line on July 26, 2010: 6.0 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 4 BB, 6 K, 1 HR. Result TOR 9, BAL 5 (Morrow with the W).

So here are the 15 who have started on their birthday (click for detailed results):
1. Bill Singer
2. Dave Lemanczyk
3. Don Kirkwood
4. David Wells
5. Todd Stottlemyre
6. Woody Williams
7. Kelvim Escobar
8. David Wells
9. Brandon Lyon
10. Justin Miller
11. Roy Halladay
12. David Purcey
13. Brett Cecil
14. Brandon Morrow
15. Marc Rzepczynski

@BBBMinorLeaguer

by Minor Leaguer on Jul 26, 2011 5:27 PM EDT reply actions  

I suspect that...

…the most recent four had GSs above their career averages.

Hugo thinks I'm a lazy academic

by bluejaysstatsgeek on Jul 26, 2011 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Shhhhh....

"If you are not sure, ask yourself, "What would Ted do?" Then do the opposite."
- Barney Stinson
I do occasionally go on Youtube...

by Joseph Kirby on Jul 26, 2011 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

you know I can’t help myself when I see a typo that needs fixing. :P

by leaflover4ever on Jul 26, 2011 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jays' pitching

Calling Morrow a good pitcher, or an avg pitcher, is symptomatic of Jays fans – he is at BEST a mediocre pitcher!
Orioles have WORST pitching staff in majors, but Jays are not far ahead.
They have 3rd worst ERA and WHIPs in AL, due in no small part to giving up MORE walks than any other team.
Then Morrow comes in and gives up SEVEN runs in THREE innings to 2nd worst team in AL! And don’t give me that garbage that only 5 were earned – the other two were due to HIS error!

by Abe Paul on Jul 26, 2011 8:48 PM EDT reply actions  

We have VERY low expectations of our pitchers if Morrow is deemed an avg pitcher

by Abe Paul on Jul 26, 2011 8:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like when people CAPITALIZE words for emphasis when there is a toolbar to easily add italics or bold-iness

The holy crusader of internal logical consistency

by Gerse on Jul 26, 2011 9:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

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