Make Your Predictions: Kelly Johnson

Johnson catches the and is about to tag Gardner out. (Photo by Abelimages/Getty Images)

Kelly Johnson is a guy that we had long talked about how nice it would be if the Jays could pick him up. He has a down year and we were able to make a trade of our disappointing 2B (plus Johnny Mac) for him.

The trouble with buying low is that sometimes low is the new level of ability of a player. In this case, after hitting .209/.287/.412 in 114 games with the Diamondbacks he hit .270/.364/.417 in 33 games with us. Shouldn't read much into such a small sample though. Aaron Hill hit great in his 33 games with Arizona too.

The last 2 seasons Kelly has had UZRs of 7.7 and 3.1, which matches up nicely with what my eyes saw, I thought the was a pretty good defensive player, maybe not Gold Glove level but pretty good. I thought he turned the DP well too.

Here are Kelly's career numbers.

Year Age Tm G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
2005 23 ATL 87 334 290 46 70 12 3 9 40 2 1 40 75 .241 .334 .397 .731
2007 25 ATL 147 608 521 91 144 26 10 16 68 9 5 79 117 .276 .375 .457 .831
2008 26 ATL 150 614 547 86 157 39 6 12 69 11 6 52 113 .287 .349 .446 .795
2009 27 ATL 106 346 303 47 68 20 3 8 29 7 2 32 54 .224 .303 .389 .692
2010 28 ARI 154 671 585 93 166 36 5 26 71 13 7 79 148 .284 .370 .496 .865
2011 29 TOT 147 613 545 75 121 27 7 21 58 16 6 60 163 .222 .304 .413 .717
2011 29 ARI 114 481 430 59 90 23 5 18 49 13 3 44 132 .209 .287 .412 .699
2011 29 TOR 33 132 115 16 31 4 2 3 9 3 3 16 31 .270 .364 .417 .781
6 Seasons 791 3186 2791 438 726 160 34 92 335 58 27 342 670 .260 .343 .441 .784
162 Game Avg. 162 653 572 90 149 33 7 19 69 12 6 70 137 .260 .343 .441 .784
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/15/2012.

The question here is what will he do in 2012. Bill James figures him to hit .251/.334/.496, with 19 home runs and 62 RBI (I think Bill figures the Jays will be smart enough to bat Kelly in the 2 spot) in 148 games. Those numbers look pretty good to me.

I'll guess .265/.355/.520, with 22 homers and 70 RBI in 145 games. Tell us what you think.

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