Make Your Predictions: Brandon Morrow

Brandon Morrow had a pretty up and down 2011, he struck out 10.19/9 and only gave up 3.46 walks/9 but still had an ERA of of 4.72, but his FIP, at 3.64 and xFIP, at 3.53, were much better than his ERA. He did a lot of things right, brought down his walk rate and gave up fewer hits/9. Unfortunately he also gave up more home runs. Perhaps he was throwing too many pitches right down the middle of the plate.

We took a close look at his 2011 season back here.

Year Age Tm W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP WP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2010 25 TOR 10 7 4.49 26 26 1 1 146.1 136 76 73 11 66 0 178 9 8 8.4 0.7 4.1 10.9 2.70
2011 26 TOR 11 11 4.72 30 30 0 0 179.1 162 103 94 21 69 1 203 12 12 8.1 1.1 3.5 10.2 2.94
TOR (2 yrs) 21 18 4.62 56 56 1 1 325.2 298 179 167 32 135 1 381 21 20 8.2 0.9 3.7 10.5 2.82
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/23/2012.

Bill James figures him to go 11-10, with a 3.68, 191.0 innings in 30 starts, 79 BB and 209 strikeouts.

I'd like to see him get to 200 innings, let's guess an ERA of 4.00 with 32 starts, 3.60 BB/9 and 10.0/k. Your turn.

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