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Bluebird Banter Top 50 Blue Jays Prospects: 31-35

We're working our way through our prospect list. We started back here 50-46, Hugo put up the 45-41 guys and Woodman posted the 36-40 yesterday. So it's my turn again.

35. Santiago Nessy: Santiago is yet another one of our international free agent signings, from Venezuela, this one from before Alex became GM (signed in 2009 for $750,000). A big guy, 6'2", 230, he hit .306/.347/.425 in his second time in the GCL. One of half a dozen catching prospects we have in the system, you'd think that, with his size, he might end up moving to first base. He just turned 19 in December and the Jays figure there is power to come. You'd like to see a bit more plate discipline too, he doesn't walk more and strikes out more than you would like, but he has time to learn.

34. Chino Vega: Jorge Vega-Rosado (apparently he prefers the shorter version) was our 28th round pick, out of Miami Dade Community College, in 2010. He didn't play like a 28th round pick. He hit .317/.380/.470, with 22 stolen bases in 26 tries for our GCL team. He made the GCL postseason All-Star team and the Jays organizational All-Star team. Vega played both second and short, but we are waist deep in shortstop prospects and he looks like he'd be better as a second baseman. He turned 20 in December. He isn't a big guy, 5'8", 175, but he showed good power for his size.

33. Mitchell Taylor: Mitchell is a LHP, our 7th round pick in 2010, out of high school in Texas. The Jays gave him a $360,000 signing bonus. Unlike many of our picks, he isn't a big guy, 6' and 155 pound, but he can still throw low 90's and has a good curveball. Mitchell pitched in Bluefield last year, with a 4.23 ERA in 55.1 innings, with 61 strikeouts and just 14 walks. You have to like a guy with a 4 to 1 K to BB. And he gets ground outs, 1.54/fly out. He turns 20 in May, you'd have to hope that he'll add some weight/muscle as he moves up the system.

32. Jeremy Gabryszwski: A second round pick in last year's draft, out of high school in Texas, he'll turn 19 in March. Jeremy is another big right-handed pitcher guy, 6'4", 195 lb (we really should have the best pickup basketball team in the minors) and he can throw up to 94 MPH, but he hasn't been consistent, some days he is in the mid-80's, but as he matures it should be more consistent. He also has a changeup and a breaking ball. He has had elbow troubles, so there is some risk, but hopefully that's behind him. He got his feet wet in pro-ball with 5.1 innings between the GCL and Bluefield.

31. Tom Robson: Robson was our 4th (number 139) round pick in last year's draft, the top Canadian selected. Tom turned was just 17 the day of the draft, he's 6'4", 200 lb, can he hit low 90's with the fastball and already has a good curve and a changeup. The Jays gave him a $325,000 signing bonus. Robson pitched on the Canada Junior National team. He hasn't pitched a pro inning yet.

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I think Robson could move fast through the system but he’ll end up a 4th or 5th guy at best… a innings eater but not much more

Kadri Fanboy since 2006

by WizardofNaz on Feb 16, 2012 11:50 AM EST reply actions  

17 on draft day?

How does that make him eligible for the draft? Seems odd.

by ayjackson on Feb 16, 2012 12:01 PM EST up reply actions  

I believe he actually turned 18 on draft day since he was born in ’93

by canucker on Feb 16, 2012 12:43 PM EST up reply actions  

The way it's written is off

He was 17 on draft day, not turned 17. He turned 18 on June 27, three weeks later. As long as a playerturns 18 by a certain date, they’re draft eligible (Francisco Lindor was even younger).

Or you can do the Bryce Harper, get your GED early, play a year of JUCO ball and then be automatically eligible

by MjwW on Feb 16, 2012 12:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Its before the end of the regular season I believe… therefore a player could be born sept 29th and be eligible. Its either that or sept 1st.

Kadri Fanboy since 2006

by WizardofNaz on Feb 16, 2012 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

it should have read he was just 17 on draft day

sorry, don’t know why I put turned there….

I blog, therefore I am.

by Tom Dakers on Feb 16, 2012 5:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Baseball Prospectus

I think that’s where the study was

by benk on Feb 16, 2012 1:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh ok

Thought you were referring to a scout or something. That was Rany Jazayerli of BP, yes.

That said, that study was based on historical data until about 2000, and it’s quite possible that in the last 10 years this has been weighted more appropriately

by MjwW on Feb 16, 2012 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

ahh, could be

I had thought the data was more recent

by benk on Feb 16, 2012 1:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, just reviewed

It was 1965-1996. Fascinating historical analysis of a potential market inefficiency, but I wonder what relevance it has going forward (in other words maybe Robson would have been a 6th rounder 20 years ago, and because it’s more efficent he went in the 4th, more in line with his talent). Really, there’s no way to know for sure.

by MjwW on Feb 16, 2012 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah

it’s tough because you really need several years’ worth of MLB data to run the tests. I wonder if he could run data until around 2000-2003 or so, the players have likely had enough time to do something if they’re going to do anything at all

by benk on Feb 16, 2012 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

That study was on batters, not pitchers.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Feb 16, 2012 1:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Here’s part 2 of the study.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Feb 16, 2012 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Taylor could be a darkhorse

You have to like a lefty that throws low 90s with a good curveball at his weight and as young as he is. If he fills out a little, the fastball could gain a few ticks, like Hutchison did. I also love that K/BB ratio.

I wonder if Vega might surprise a few people too. Little guys get overlooked but his bat was impressive last season.

Hic sunt fortuna dracones
There is only 1 "n" in Hutchison

by JaysfanDL on Feb 16, 2012 11:57 AM EST reply actions  

I agree about Taylor

Combine that with his 3.15 FIP, and there is some reason for optimism.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Feb 16, 2012 12:25 PM EST up reply actions  

He probably goes to Lansing next season

That could be a mean rotation there next year with him, Syndergaard, Nicolino and Sanchez.

Hic sunt fortuna dracones
There is only 1 "n" in Hutchison

by JaysfanDL on Feb 16, 2012 12:59 PM EST up reply actions  

So pretty

Kadri Fanboy since 2006

by WizardofNaz on Feb 16, 2012 2:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Exciting to follow these guys

As much as the big club will be intriguing, I can’t remember a year when I will have my eyes so heavily glued on our system from top to bottom. Right now, Robson is one of the more intriguing young hurlers.

You've just proven comment advertising works - Rent This Space

by kdlishus on Feb 16, 2012 1:10 PM EST reply actions  

True but much like the discussion in other threads

Neither are a certainty to make it to the bigs.

by T_Mizz on Feb 16, 2012 5:29 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Of course

But Wojo is a better bet to make it, and and a bigger favourite to make it sooner.

by MjwW on Feb 16, 2012 5:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh for sure

But I’d hold off on getting a Wojo jersey is all.

by T_Mizz on Feb 16, 2012 7:14 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

No worries about that

Last jersey I ever got was Shawn Green back in 1998. I was so disappointed when he left I’ve never got another player jersey since.

by MjwW on Feb 16, 2012 7:17 PM EST up reply actions  

I kinda know how you feel

I got a Snider jersey t shirt before last season because “this is the season he finally breaks out”

by T_Mizz on Feb 16, 2012 7:25 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

he was my favourite player

also the reason I wore #15. he also answered my tweet earlier in the year

by benk on Feb 16, 2012 7:46 PM EST up reply actions  

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