BBB Community Overall Prospect #19 - Kevin Comer vs. Moises Sierra

by MjwW on Feb 21, 2012 1:33 PM EST

With hometowner Marcus Knecht now on the big board, Kevin Comer faces off against Moises Sierra, most recetnly of the 2011 Eastern League champion New Hamshire. As usual, use Rec's to vote. Our poll for the next pitcher ended up tied, so we'll runoff Musgrove and Osuna for the #12 pitcher spot (I forgot to vote, and if we needed another pitcher for the next poll, I would have counted my vote for Musgrove, but I think it's better to run them off especially since in my mind it's hard to really separate them), so please also vote on the poll at the bottom. We'll keep this open through sometime on Thursday when #20 will go up.

RESULTS:

Marcus Knecht - 60.9%

Kevin Comer - 39.1%

CANDIDATES:

Moises Sierra - OF (age 23 on 4/1/2012); 6'1", 185 lbs; Bats/Throws: Right/Right

Acquired: Non-Drafted International Free Agent, 12/20/2005

Pre-2011 Rankings: Sickels (others of note)

Pre-2012 Rankings: Sickels: #22 (C+)

Kevin Comer- SP (age 19 on 4/1/2012); 6'3", 205 lbs; Bats/Throws: Right/Right

Acquired: 2011 Draft (1s-57)

Pre-2012 Rankings: BP #10 (3 stars), Sickels (others of note)

COMMUNITY LIST:

1. Travis d'Arnaud - 90.6%

2. Anthony Gose - 65.9%

3. Drew Hutchison - 56.7%

4. Jake Marisnick - 97%

5. Noah Syndergaard - 74.4%

** Nestor Molina - 75.8%

6. Deck McGuire - 65.7%

7. Justin Nicolino - 55.0%

8. Adeiny Hechavarria - 75%

9. Daniel Norris - 87.9%

10. AJ Jimenez - 55.3%

11. Aaron Sanchez - 79.3%

12. Carlos Perez - 60.7%

13. Adonys Cardona - 65.8%

14. Joel Carreno - 51.2%

15. Chad Jenkins - 56.7%

16. David Cooper - 53.8%

17. Asher Wojciechowski - 64.3%

18. Marcus Knecht - 60.9%

NEXT UP:

Pitcher: TBD (Joe Musgrove or Roberto Osuna)

Position Player: Michael Crouse

Poll

Pitching Prospect #12 RUNOFF

Joe Musgrove

14 votes

Roberto Osuna

17 votes

31 votes | Poll has closed

Tweet Comment 8 comments | 0 recs |

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Comments

In defence of Sierra

Sierra is very much a profile right-fielder, with a great arm, and a fair bit of power in his bat. While he needs to show more power to be a useful Major League player, he progressed substantially in that department in New Hampshire (not an easy power park/league). His K% is fairly low at 17% for a power prospect, and he draws a respectable number of walks.

All in all, I feel that the odds that Sierra adds a little power and continues to make the adjustments necessary to move up from AA are a little better than those Comer faces. Comer’s also on the older side for high-school players, and so I’m a little more sceptical than I would otherwise be on him.

by gabrielsyme on Feb 21, 2012 4:25 PM EST reply actions

I'm surprised by the runaway nature as well

However, if you grade only on the ability to be an above average major leaguer, I can understand it…Neither have a very good chance in my mind, but you can dream on Comer. I favour Sierra on the better chance to contribute some value. Comer could be much higher one year out, but let’s see

by MjwW on Feb 21, 2012 5:09 PM EST up reply actions

Grading on the ability to be an above-average ML player

Even there, I think it’s closer than one supposes. Partly it’s that I’m not as hot on Comer (as a supplemental-round HS pitcher, he doesn’t have the best likelihood to start off from, even if you’re as high on the Jays scouting department as I am); but more so, I just don’t see the adjustments that Sierra needs to make as being all that unlikely. Comer’s ceiling is definitely higher than Sierra’s; but I think a .270/.330/.450 career with average defence in RF is eminently possible for Sierra. Sierra doesn’t have the red flags that lots of other prospects carry in terms of an elevated K-rate or a pronounced inability to take a walk. I’ll put it this way: as a hitter, look at the numbers, and ask whether you’d prefer Will Middlebrooks? Middlebrooks has the edge in terms of defensive/positional value, and better scouting reports, so he’s the better prospect, but Sierra’s offensive potential is being underrated I think.

by gabrielsyme on Feb 22, 2012 5:58 AM EST up reply actions

I can’t see a .270/.330/.450 career slash line for Sierra…maybe that’s a peak type season, but if that was the median career projection, he’s easily a B- and maybe a straight B prospect…that’s basically a league average regular.

by MjwW on Feb 22, 2012 11:25 AM EST up reply actions