FanPost

The "Hit" Tool

This is inspired by the scouting reports of Anthony Gose, all of which give him rave reviews in all categories in everything except for - you guessed it - the "hit" tool.


Naturally, this sounds worrisome, particularly for a guy with game-changing speed. I figured I'd look at comparable guys, i.e. guys who have the whole package, with the exception of the "hit" tool. I would make a graph, but I don't know how to make graphs on the computer, and I never was much for excel sheets, so this is pretty unscientific, and more to fuel discussion than to actually uncover groundbreaking statistical analysis.

Evan Longoria: Sort of...Longoria's been a plus hitter for most of his career, but in 2011, he put up just a .244 AVG, but managed a .355 OBP and a .850 OPS. It's optimistic to think that Gose would have this much power, or that he could match Longoria's 13.9 BB%

Ian Kinsler: I think this is probably Gose's ultimate ceiling as a batter. .255/.355/.477/.832. Gose would have to halve his K rate to reach this level.

Curtis Granderson: Ya, pre-2011 Curtis Granderson is probably more realistic. Something like his 2010 - .247/.324/.468/.792. Gose can easily eclipse those numbers, plays a better CF, and will steal more bases.

Unscientific Conclusion

The difference between Gose being a good player and an elite player is the BB/K rate. I was optimistic about Rajai Davis last year, and it turns out that his BB/K rate turned him from a leadoff hitter to a "baserunning replacement specialist". Gose's glove will presumably give him a longer leash with the bat, but he will have to learn to lay off the pitches he can't hit, particularly after pitchers start adjusting to him. There are many elite ballplayers who maintain averages below .260, so I also submit the conclusion that Gose can be an elite ballplayers without hitting .270-.280.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Bluebird Banter

You must be a member of Bluebird Banter to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bluebird Banter. You should read them.

Join Bluebird Banter

You must be a member of Bluebird Banter to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bluebird Banter. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker