Make Your Predictions: Josh Johnson

Josh Johnson - Steve Mitchell-US PRESSWIRE

Give us your guess on Josh Johnson's 2013 stats.

Listening to Alex, it seems like Josh was the starting point of the big trade with the Marlins, the guy Alex wanted from the start and then it grew from there.

He looks great, a guy that has had a better than league average ERA in each of his major league seasons, at least in the seasons that he pitched a reasonable number of innings. He's averaged 8.2 K/9 innings. Has a mid-90's fastball, a slider that looks like this:

Johnsonslider_medium

via www.yankeeanalysts.com

And a curve and a change. I think we'll like him.

Year Age Tm W L ERA G GS CG IP H ER HR BB SO HBP WP ERA+ WHIP HR/9 BB/9 SO/9
2009 25 FLA 15 5 3.23 33 33 2 209.0 184 75 14 58 191 6 10 133 1.158 0.6 2.5 8.2
2010 26 FLA 11 6 2.30 28 28 1 183.2 155 47 7 48 186 5 4 180 1.105 0.3 2.4 9.1
2011 27 FLA 3 1 1.64 9 9 0 60.1 39 11 2 20 56 1 2 239 0.978 0.3 3.0 8.4
2012 28 MIA 8 14 3.81 31 31 0 191.1 180 81 14 65 165 4 5 104 1.280 0.7 3.1 7.8
162 Game Avg. 13 8 3.15 35 33 1 209 188 73 13 70 190 5 7 133 1.233 0.6 3.0 8.2
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/6/2013.

The question is will he find it harder to have success in the AL East. And can he stay healthy.

Bill James figures him to go 13-9, with a 3.21 ERA, 31 starts, 196 innings, 166 strikeouts. I'd take that, but I'd figure we'd win him more games with an ERA like that.

I'm thinking more like a 3.60 ERA, 30 starts, 190 innings, 170 K and 14-7.

Your turn.

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