You know the story, in Ricky Romero's first three seasons he won 13, 14 and 15 games, with ERA's of 4.30, 3.73 and 2.92.
Then came last season.
It was terrible. Well, the first half of his season was terrible, the second half was worse. By month he had ERA's of 3.18, 4.82, 7.33, 8.04, 4.73 and 8.05.
I don't know what the problem was, other than he seemed to be afraid to throw strikes. But then, when he did throw strikes they were hit hard, so maybe he had good reason to be afraid. He never seemed to get ahead of batters. Maybe he was thinking too much. Maybe he wasn't thinking as much as he should.
I have no idea what will happen with Ricky this year, could be anything. He could win the Cy Young, he could get shipped to the minors. I'd like to think he'll be better than last year, but it would be hard for him to be worse.
Bill James has him going 8-12 in 32 starts, with 4.43 ERA in 181 innings and 140 strikeouts.
I'd take that, but if he has an ERA like that, I'd think he'd have a better won loss record. I'll guess 10-10, 4.50 ERA, 30 starts, 180 innings, 140 k.
What do you think?