Community Projections: Edwin Encarnacion

Thearon W. Henderson

Give us your best guess on Edwin Encarnacion's 2014 season.

Each winter we predict how our players do in the coming season. I'm hoping, before we are finished this, that we'll have a couple of new players to consider.

Let's start with Edwin Encarnacion.

For the second year in a row, Edwin was one of the few bright spots for the Blue Jays. He finished 5th in the AL in Slugging and also 5th in OPS. He was also 3rd in home runs, 6th in RBI and 4th in walks.


Year Age Tm G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+
2010 27 TOR 96 332 47 81 16 0 21 51 1 0 29 60 .244 .305 .482 .787 109
2011 28 TOR 134 481 70 131 36 0 17 55 8 2 43 77 .272 .334 .453 .787 111
2012 29 TOR 151 542 93 152 24 0 42 110 13 3 84 94 .280 .384 .557 .941 153
2013 30 TOR 142 530 90 144 29 1 36 104 7 1 82 62 .272 .370 .534 .904 145
9 Yrs 1079 3803 561 1007 219 6 195 606 49 11 436 686 .265 .348 .479 .827 117
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/13/2014.

You do have to like the strikeout rate dropping.

On the glove side, he played 79 games at first base, 55 at DH and surprisingly 10 at third base. Playing 142 games makes him an iron man in Blue Jay terms. He did end the season with a sore wrist, which isn't the best marker for next season, but I'd imagine he'll be healthy and 'in the best shape ever' by spring training.

He had a pretty low BABIP, at ,247, his career number is .275.  The second half of his 2013 season (.286/.401/.538) was a little better than his first half (.264/.353/.532). We took a closer look at Edwin's 2013 numbers back here.

Edwin just turned 31 last week and we have him signed through 2015, with a team option for 2016.

Bill James figures Edwin to play 150 games, hit 34 homers, 98 RBI with a .274/.366/.520. That looks pretty good, but I'm going to be a little more optimistic, hoping the BABIP comes up some. .290/.380/.540 in 150 games, 35 home runs, 105 RBI (hoping that we have a few more guys on base for Edwin). I'm also hoping we don't feel any need to play him at third base this year.

So give us your guess. Give us games played, homers, RBI and slash line and I'll put it into a spread sheet and come out with a community average.

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