Community Projections: R.A. Dickey

USA TODAY Sports

I think it is safe to say that R.A. Dickey didn't have the season we were hoping he'd give us. Part of it was the back and neck soreness, he fought through in the early part of the season. He may have been better off to take some time on the DL, but then most of the starting rotation was on the DL.

In the first half of the season Dickey's ERA was 4.69, in the season half 3.56. Of course his home/road splits were pretty big too, 4.80 at home, 3.57 on the road. A lot of that was the way the ball flew out of the park at Rogers. He gave up 23 home runs at home, 12 on the road. We took a close look at his 2013 numbers here.

His last 4 seasons:

Year Age Tm W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+
2010 35 NYM 11 9 2.84 27 26 2 1 174.1 165 55 13 42 104 138
2011 36 NYM 8 13 3.28 33 32 1 0 208.2 202 76 18 54 134 112
2012 37 NYM 20 6 2.73 34 33 5 3 233.2 192 71 24 54 230 139
2013 38 TOR 14 13 4.21 34 34 3 1 224.2 207 105 35 71 177 97
11 Yrs 75 69 4.02 272 173 12 6 1284.0 1285 574 159 398 916 103
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/16/2014.

Easy to pick the which one doesn't belong here.

I'm thinking that he bounces back some. Maybe not to the 2.73 ERA of 2012 but more in the mid 3's.

Bill James has him putting up a 3.70 ERA, a 12-12 record, in 32 starts, 219 innings. I'm hoping for a better record.

I'm going to say 3.60 ERA, 32 starts, 210 innings, a record around 15-10, which, course depend on us scoring runs for him. I'd like to think we will. I'd also like to think he figures out how to pitch at Rogers without so many home runs.

The good news is that we won't be using the WBC as an excuse this year.

Your turn.

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