Brandon Morrow had a pretty up and down 2011, he struck out 10.19/9 and only gave up 3.46 walks/9 but still had an ERA of of 4.72, but his FIP, at 3.64 and xFIP, at 3.53, were much better than his ERA. He did a lot of things right, brought down his walk rate and gave up fewer hits/9. Unfortunately he also gave up more home runs. Perhaps he was throwing too many pitches right down the middle of the plate.
We took a close look at his 2011 season back here.
|TOR (2 yrs)||21||18||4.62||56||56||1||1||325.2||298||179||167||32||135||1||381||21||20||8.2||0.9||3.7||10.5||2.82|
Bill James figures him to go 11-10, with a 3.68, 191.0 innings in 30 starts, 79 BB and 209 strikeouts.
I'd like to see him get to 200 innings, let's guess an ERA of 4.00 with 32 starts, 3.60 BB/9 and 10.0/k. Your turn.