Brandon Morrow had a pretty up and down 2011, he struck out 10.19/9 and only gave up 3.46 walks/9 but still had an ERA of of 4.72, but his FIP, at 3.64 and xFIP, at 3.53, were much better than his ERA. He did a lot of things right, brought down his walk rate and gave up fewer hits/9. Unfortunately he also gave up more home runs. Perhaps he was throwing too many pitches right down the middle of the plate.
We took a close look at his 2011 season back here.
| Year | Age | Tm | W | L | G | GS | CG | SHO | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | IBB | SO | HBP | WP | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 25 | TOR | 10 | 7 | 4.49 | 26 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 146.1 | 136 | 76 | 73 | 11 | 66 | 0 | 178 | 9 | 8 | 8.4 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 10.9 | 2.70 |
| 2011 | 26 | TOR | 11 | 11 | 4.72 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 179.1 | 162 | 103 | 94 | 21 | 69 | 1 | 203 | 12 | 12 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 10.2 | 2.94 |
| TOR (2 yrs) | 21 | 18 | 4.62 | 56 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 325.2 | 298 | 179 | 167 | 32 | 135 | 1 | 381 | 21 | 20 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 10.5 | 2.82 | ||
Bill James figures him to go 11-10, with a 3.68, 191.0 innings in 30 starts, 79 BB and 209 strikeouts.
I'd like to see him get to 200 innings, let's guess an ERA of 4.00 with 32 starts, 3.60 BB/9 and 10.0/k. Your turn.