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Make Your Predictions: Mark Buehrle

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Give us your guess on Mark Buehrle stats for 2013.

Mark Buehrle
Mark Buehrle
Brad Barr-US PRESSWIRE

I wonder what's the record for most consecutive seasons pitched with 200+ inning? I guess we'd need a modern record, since, not that many years ago, 200 inning was nothing for a starting pitcher. I'd have to believe that Mark Buehrle has the longest active streak. 12 years in a row he's pitched beyond 200 innings.

Update: After checking it looks like the AL record for consecutive 200 inning seasons is 13, shared by Hall of Fame pitcher Eddie Plank (1901 to 1913) (who had 4 consecutive 300 inning seasons) and Red Ruffing (1928-1940).

After last year, a pitcher that can do that is worth his weight in gold, though he might find harder to achieve in the AL East. He's been consistent in a lot of ways, he's made 30 to 35 starts each, ERA's running from 3.12 to 4.99. His walk rate has ranged from 1.5 to 2.5 per 9 innings and he keeps his home run rate around 1 per 9 innings. Add in he's won 13 games in each of the last 4 seasons. And he's won 4 Gold Gloves in the last 4 years.

Year Age Tm W L W-L% ERA G GS CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP ERA+ WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2009 30 CHW 13 10 .565 3.84 33 33 1 1 213.1 222 97 91 27 45 3 105 5 122 1.252 9.4 1.1 1.9 4.4 2.33
2010 31 CHW 13 13 .500 4.28 33 33 3 0 210.1 246 105 100 17 49 1 99 1 100 1.403 10.5 0.7 2.1 4.2 2.02
2011 32 CHW 13 9 .591 3.59 31 31 0 0 205.1 221 93 82 21 45 3 109 2 121 1.295 9.7 0.9 2.0 4.8 2.42
2012 33 MIA 13 13 .500 3.74 31 31 1 0 202.1 197 88 84 26 40 3 125 4 106 1.171 8.8 1.2 1.8 5.6 3.13
13 Yrs 174 132 .569 3.82 421 396 28 8 2679.0 2807 1259 1137 300 604 42 1521 59 119 1.273 9.4 1.0 2.0 5.1 2.52
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/30/2013.

So what will he do here? Bill James has him going 11-12, with a 3.78 ERA in 205 innings. I'd like to think that, if he can keep an ERA under 4, he'd win more than 11 game with our offense, but I have my doubts he'll keep the ERA under 4.

I'll guess 4.45 ERA, 15-9, in 201 innings to keep the streak alive. I also think that we'll love him or at least like him.

Your turn.