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Make Your Predictions: Melky Cabrera

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Give us your guess on Melky Cabrera's 2013 season.

Melky Cabrera
Melky Cabrera
Jeff Hanisch-US PRESSWIRE

Melky Cabrera. It's pretty tough to know what's going to happen here. He had WARs of 0.2,1.6, -1.1, then suddenly broke through with a 4.2 and then a 4.6 last year.

Was it all because of the PEDs? I doubt it. He was a pretty good prospect. He came up to the majors young, he played 130 games for the Yankees at age 21. Melky was pretty lousy until 2011, but then he was just getting into his prime. It isn't all that unusual for a player to start putting things together around that age.

I wonder if there is a mental part to taking PEDs? You take them and believe they are going to make you better (I mean as well as a physical aspect). It can't hurt your game to think that something is giving you an advantage. If you think you are going to be great, it can't hurt your game. I don't know what it would do to the psyche to take that away.

I'd imagine he'll work hard to prove his recent improvement didn't come out of a bottle.

Year Age Tm G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
2009 24 NYY 154 485 66 133 28 1 13 68 10 2 43 59 .274 .336 .416 .752
2010 25 ATL 147 458 50 117 27 3 4 42 7 1 42 64 .255 .317 .354 .671
2011 26 KCR 155 658 102 201 44 5 18 87 20 10 35 94 .305 .339 .470 .809
2012 27 SFG 113 459 84 159 25 10 11 60 13 5 36 63 .346 .390 .516 .906
8 Yrs 984 3498 486 995 186 30 69 417 84 30 284 467 .284 .338 .414 .752
Generated 1/8/2013.
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Bill James has Melky hitting .295/.348/.432 with 13 home runs, 88 RBI in 148 games. I don't know if James change in hitting environmental in his prediction.

I'm pretty much in agreement with Bill. Let's go with 150 games, 290/.350/.440, with 15 home runs and 75 RBI. If he's batting second, he'll have Reyes in scoring position 90 times or so.

What say you?