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Playoff implications this afternoon from the Blue Jays point of view

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A man that is certainly not interested in figuring these scenarios out.
A man that is certainly not interested in figuring these scenarios out.
Jeff Griffith-USA TODAY Sports

Luckily for the Blue Jays, the team locked up their division crown a few days ago meaning they will avoid too much drama today. Despite that fact, there's still some important things to keep an eye on as all of the games begin at 3:00 this afternoon. Quite simply, if the Blue Jays do not secure home field advantage then they will face the AL West winner, while the Wild Card winner will be their opponent if they manage to get first place overall in the league. Beyond that, there's a chance that the team could face any of the Angels, Astros, Yankees, or Rangers in the ALDS on Thursday.

Let's try to make this as easy as possible:

Result: Blue Jays secure home field advantage

For this result to occur the Blue Jays have to win today and have the Royals lose against the Twins in Minnesota. If this were to occur then Toronto would clinch HFA and start every series in Toronto through the World Series. This result means the team would face the wildcard winner which is very much up in the air, beyond just the actual wild card game.

  • If Texas wins, Houston wins, and New York wins then the Yankees will host the Astros in the WC game and the Blue Jays will face the winner.
  • If Texas wins, Houston loses, and New York loses then the Yankees will host the Astros in the WC game and the Blue Jays will face the winner.
  • If Texas loses, Houston wins, and New York wins then the two AL West teams play for the division title on Monday with the loser playing at the Yankees in the WC game and the Blue Jays will face the winner.
  • If Texas loses, Houston wins, and New York loses then the two AL West teams play for the division title on Monday with the loser hosting the Yankees in the WC game and the Blue Jays will face the winner.
  • If Houston loses and the Angels win then the Astros and Angels play for the second wild card spot on Monday with the winner going to New York to play for the WC crown and a series against the Blue Jays.
So that means the Blue Jays have the chance to face four different teams in the ALDS if they secure home field advantage. The key game this afternoon is Texas facing the Angels as a LAA win opens up the game #163 scenario.

Result: Blue Jays do not secure home field advantage

This result would occur with any combination of a Blue Jays loss or Royals win. This gives Toronto the second seed in the league and a matchup with the third seed, which will be the winner of the AL West. Similar to above:

  • If Texas wins, the Blue Jays face the Rangers in the ALDS.
  • If Texas loses and Houston wins, the two teams face off in a tiebreaker game to decide who wins the division and faces the Jays in the ALDS.
  • If Texas loses and Houston loses, the Blue Jays face the Rangers in the ALDS.

  • Although it looks confusing, it's fairly easy to get a hold of. If the Astros win, then the Angels are eliminated straightaway. If the Yankees win or the Astros lose, then New York gets a home wild card game. If the Astros win and Yankees lose, then the AL West team will host the Yankees in the WC affair regardless of what the Rangers do.

    Happy watching!