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Game #53 Preview: Erlin vs Stroman

Padres (28-24) vs Blue Jays (20-32)

San Diego Padres v Toronto Blue Jays Photo by Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images

The Blue Jays will fondly bid farewell to the Padres this afternoon, but first they need to try to avoid the 3 game sweep. Today’s finale gets underway at 1:07 ET.

Blue Jays’ Starter

The Blue Jays will turn to Marcus Stroman to try and stop the bleeding. Stroman brings his 2-6 record with a 2.81 ERA into this his 12th start on the season. While his ERA dropped in his last start thanks to allowing just 1 run in 6 innings, his FIP climbed from 3.00 to 3.36 thanks to some pretty ugly peripherals against the Red Sox. The lone home run he allowed came on a solo home run, while he struck out just 4 and walked a career high matching 6. He also walked 6 Athletics back in July of 2017, a game in which John Gibbons got ejected for arguing with umpire Will Little, blaming him for Stroman’s walks saying “he’s never walked this many in his life” (for the happy memories from that game, this was the first of Steve Pearce’s walkoff grand slams).

This is also happening today for the pitching hungry Jays, although I’m sure Tom will have a post about it too.

Padres’ Starter

I had a nice little piece about Chris Paddack written up here, but now I hear he’s not starting today:

I was looking forward to seeing Paddack, but really, he would have destroyed us. So we get to see lefty Robbie Erlin instead. This is Erlin’s first start of the season, although he has thrown multiple innings several times this season. Through 22.1 innings, Erlin has a 3.63 ERA and a 3.05 FIP. He has struck out 26 against just 4 walks, a pretty amazing ratio. I’m not sure how deep he’ll go this afternoon, likely not more than 3 innings, but the Padres have a rested bullpen in behind him anyway.

Blue Jays’ Lineup

Posting without the lineup, but it’ll be up soon.

Padres’ Lineup

Yesterday’s Heroes

Wilson Ramos went 3-4 with a pair of home runs and also chipped in a walk, enough for him to earn the Monster Bat award. His offensive output was enough for his Mets to take down the Tigers in 13 innings by a final score of 5-4.

Kole Calhoun had a big game tying double in the bottom of the 9th, a hit that was worth .495 WPA, as it also set him up to score the eventual winning run as the Angels beat the Rangers 3-2. But that wasn’t the only way our WPA King helped his team win, as he drove in the first run of the game with a home run in the bottom of the 4th, and in total went 3-3 with a walk, giving him a .679 WPA on the day.

Patrick Corbin threw the 10th complete game shutout of the month, which is a huge jump from April’s combined 2 across the Majors. Corbin did so while allowing just 4 hits and a walk, striking out 5 and earning the Pitcher of the Day honours as his Nationals beat the Marlins 5-0.

Find the Link

Find the link between Robbie Erlin and Zach Eflin.

Stats are courtesy of Fangraphs