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Game #71 Preview: Thornton vs Peacock

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Blue Jays (25-45) vs Astros (48-23)

MLB: Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

Happy Father’s Day to everyone out there, an especially important day for the Blue Jays given their lineages. The Jays will wrap up their series against the Astros, trying once again to avoid a sweep. Game 3 gets underway at 2:10 ET.

Blue Jays’ Starter

Trent Thornton will make his 15th start as a Blue Jay. His first 14 have gone fairly well all things considered, and he currently sits with a 1-5 record and a 4.78 ERA. The 25 year old rookie, who showed a tremendous ability to avoid walks in the Minor Leagues, is still struggling with walks at the Major League level. Having never walked more than 2.24 per 9 innings at any stop in the Minors (and routinely very much below that), his walk rate is nearly double that at the Major League level, currently sitting at 4.39 per 9 innings. If he ever closes the gap, and is able to hold his good strikeout rate and reasonable home run rate somewhat close to where they’re at, he could be a pretty solid mid-rotation starter for a long time for the Jays.

Astros’ Starter

The Astros’ will counter with veteran right hander Brad Peacock. The 31 year old Peacock will be making his 13th start and 15th appearance overall, and is having a nice renaissance in the rotation after being squeezed out of it last year and put into the bullpen. So far this year through 71 innings, Peacock is 6-3 with a 3.42 ERA, right in line with his 3.54 FIP. He has done well in all three aspects of FIP, as he is striking out a batter per inning, limiting walks to 2.66 per 9 innings, and has done well keeping the ball in the ballpark at a 0.89 per 9 inning rate. His season isn’t going quite as well as his 2017 career year, but that’s the only season that would be considered better than this one.

Blue Jays’ Lineup

Astros’ Lineup

Yesterdays’ Heroes

J.D. Davis went 4-5 with a home run, double and a pair of singles, scoring 3 times en route to his Monster Bat award. Miraculously, the Mets were able to hold on to the 8-7 win over the Cardinals.

Anthony Rizzo hit a 2 run home run in the top of the 9th inning, turning a 1-0 deficit in to a 2-1 lead and pretty soon after a win. The home run gave him .589 WPA, saving Rizzo from an otherwise bad day as his WPA King total was just .476 including the huge hit. But thankfully for Rizzo and the rest of the Cubs, the play happened and they beat the Dodgers 2-1.

Rizzo also soured the excellent start of Walker Buehler, who tossed 7 shutout innings, allowing just a pair of hits and nothing else. Buehler out-dueled Yu Darvish both in the game and for the Pitcher of the Day award, but I am sure that is of little comfort since his bullpen blew it.

Find the Link

Find the link between Peacock and Ken Clay.

Stats are courtesy of Fangraphs