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Game #70 Preview: Ryu vs Harvey

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Blue Jays (34-35) vs Orioles (23-47)

MLB: Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

After an amazing come back win yesterday, the Blue Jays will try to take the series this afternoon against the Orioles. Gametime is at 1:05 ET.

Blue Jays’ Starter

Hyun Jin Ryu will bring his 5-4 with a 3.43 ERA into the game, hoping to improve on both. While those season numbers are still fairly good, he has been struggling lately. Over his last 3 starts, he has allowed 13 runs (12 earned) over 17.2 innings. Quite surprising in that timeframe is the fact that he has struck out just 7 while walking an absolutely un-Ryu-ing 8 batters. He has also given up 5 home runs as well, and is really causing concern on whether he is healthy. Hopefully today he can shut down those concerns.

Orioles’ Starter

Former good pitcher Matt Harvey will go for the Orioles, and he enters play with a 3-8 record and 7.76 ERA. He’s not quite pitching that poorly this year, as ERA estimators such as xERA (5.59) and FIP (4.86) are a bit more kind on his performance so far.

Through 58 innings over 14 starts, Harvey has some peculiarly round numbers. He has allowed 50 earned runs on 80 hits and 20 walks, surrendering 10 home runs. He has struck out 49 batters, and I’m a little disappointed in that one guy who hit a soft roller instead of striking out. You know who you are.

Blue Jays’ Lineup

Orioles’ Lineup

Yesterday’s Heroes

Ryan Mountcastle, with his 3 home runs and a single, driving in 4 runs, takes home the Monster Bat award. The Jays still beat the Orioles, so I’m happier with this award than I was before the 9th inning yesterday.

New Brewer Willy Adames is our WPA King, with a lead changing 2-run home run in the top of the 9th. The home run was worth .592 WPA, but Adames’ day also included 3 doubles, getting his WPA total up to .722. His Brewers were able to squeak out the win in Denver, taking down the Rockies 6-5.

Pablo López pitched an incredible game yesterday, notching the win in the Marlins’ 11-1 win over the Cubs. López threw 7 shutout wins, allowing just 1 hit and 1 bean ball while striking out 7 to take home the Pitcher of the Day award.

Find the Link

Find the link between Matt Harvey and Max Scherzer.

Stats retrieved from Fangraphs and Baseball Savant