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Game #57 Preview: Garcia vs Matz

Astros (32-26) vs Blue Jays (30-26)

MLB: Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

The Blue Jays and Astros wrap up their 3 game series with the rubber match this afternoon. Gametime is set for 1:07 ET.

Blue Jays’ Starter

Steven Matz is making his team leading 12th start of the year. He will look to bounce back from a rough 6th inning in his last start, an inning that ruined an otherwise great start. Through his first 5 innings, Matz was in control, allowing just a single which was quickly removed via a double play. But then the 6th inning came, and he opened it with an error, double and a pair of singles and his day was done. Overall, that game brought his numbers to a 6-2 record with a 4.22 ERA.

Matz made a start against Houston back on May 8, and he made it out alright. He picked up the win while throwing 5 innings, allowing 3 runs on 8 hits, striking out 4 and walking none. He surrendered a 2-run home run to Yordan Alvarez in the 4th inning.

Astros’ Starter

Luis Garcia will go for the Astros, looking to continue the success that he has seen so far this year. Through 11 appearances and 53 innings, Garcia is 4-3 with a 2.89 ERA. He has 60 strikeouts against 17 walks and 8 home runs, all pretty good rates. But FIP calculates that to be a 3.97 FIP, over a full run higher than he has allowed so far. So there’s a bit of luck at play in his excellent numbers, as he has a very low batting average on balls in play against him, and he’s also stranding an exceptional number of batters. Both of those rates aren’t likely to hold up for him.

Blue Jays’ Lineup

Astros’ Lineup

Yesterday’s Heroes

Cedric Mullins II went 5-5 yesterday, hitting a pair of home runs and 3 singles to pick up the Monster Bat award. Of course, playing on the Orioles doesn’t lead to good things otherwise, as they lost to Cleveland 10-4.

By virtue of an error, Michael Perez is our WPA King. He came in as a pinch hitter in the 8th inning, and a pair of runs scored thanks to the error. Perez was awarded .517 WPA for the play, and that set up an 8-7 extra inning win for his Pirates over the Marlins.

Jacob deGrom pitched last night, so it’s pretty much expected that he’ll be the Pitcher of the Day. He went 7 shutout innings, allowing just 3 hits and a walk while striking out 11. And the Mets even scored some runs while he was in the game and also held on to that lead after he left, which means that deGrom picked up his 5th win of the season already, as the Mets beat the Padres 4-0.

Find the Link

Find the link between Taylor Jones and Ryan Castellani.

Stats retrieved from Fangraphs and Baseball Savant