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The Season That Was: Tim Mayza

Wild Card Series - Toronto Blue Jays v Minnesota Twins - Game One Photo by David Berding/Getty Images

Tim Mayza has been in the Blue Jays organization since we picked him in the 12th round of the 2013 draft. The 11 picks before him seem, for the most part, like former pitchers of the future for the Jays: Phil Bickford, Clinton Hollon, Patrick Murphy, Evan Smith, Dan Lietz, Matt Boyd, Conner Greene, Kendall Graveman, Chad Girodo and Garrett Custons. The last name there is the one I don’t remember. Custons was a catcher drafted out of the Air Force. He played 17 games in Bluefield, and that was his professional baseball career.

Anyway, Mayza, coming into the 2023 season, had pitched out of the Jays pen for five seasons, missing the 2020 season after Tommy John. He’s been a workhorse out of the pen for four seasons, pitching over sixty games in each of those years. He’d been the number one lefty out of the pen the last two seasons.

This year? He took a big step, becoming one of the best lefty relievers in the game:

Standard Pitching
Age W L ERA G GS GF SV IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP BK WP BF ERA+ FIP
31 3 1 1.52 69 0 8 1 53.1 50 10 9 2 15 3 53 0 0 1 215 281 2.60
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/4/2024.

Baseball Reference has him at a 1.4 WAR, and FanGraphs at 1.3, giving him a value of $10.4 to the team.

He had a 2.60 FIP and 2.98 xFIP.

Tim’s line drive rate was 22.6% (up from 21.8 last year). Ground ball 58.2% (up from 57.9 last year). Fly ball rate is 19.2% (down from 20.3 last year). And 4.7% of his fly balls left the part (last year, it was 5.2).

His strikeout rate was 24.7% (up from 22.8), and his walk rate was 7.0% (up from last year’s 6.2).

Mayza’s soft contact rate was 19.7% (up from 17.6), and hard contact was 29.9% (down from 33.8).

He was better vs. left-handed batters (.246/.270/.291) than right-handed batters (.258/.340/.405).

Tim was slightly better on the road (1.24 ERA, batters hit .252/.304/.327) than at home (1.85, .250/.300/.359).

He was better in the first half (1.17, .244/.275/.296) as in the second half (1.99, .262/.337/.405).

Mayza by month:

  • April: 1-0, 1 save, 3 holds, 1.23 ERA in 11 games. Batters hit .300/.300/.333 with 0 home runs, 0 walks and 8 strikeouts in 7.1 innings.
  • May: 0-1, 1 hold, 2.19 ERA in 15 games. Batters hit .217/.280/.304 with 0 home runs, 4 walks, and 11 strikeouts in 12.1 innings.
  • June: 0-0, 5 holds, 0.00 ERA in 12 games. Batters hit .241/.267/.276 with 0 home runs, 1 walk, and 7 strikeouts in 8.1 innings.
  • July: 1-0, 6 holds, 1 blown save/win, 1.00 ERA in 11 games. Batters hit .188/.257/.281 with 1 home run, 3 walks and 11 strikeouts in 9 innings.
  • August 1-0, 6 holds, 1 blown save, 2.16 ERA in 11 games. Batters hit .323/.405/.419 with 0 home runs, 5 walks and 5 strikeouts in 8.1 innings.
  • September: 0-0, 1 hold, 2.25 ERA in 9 games. Batters hit .258/.303/.452 with 1 home run, 2 walks and 11 strikeouts in 8.0 innings.

He never allowed more than 3 earned runs in a month.

Tim had:

  • 2 games with 2 earned.
  • 5 games with 1 earned.
  • 62 games with no earned runs.

The Jays were 37-32 in games Tim appeared.

Days of Rest:

  • 0: 16 games, 3.09 ERA.
  • 1: 20 games, 0.52 ERA.
  • 2: 16 games, 1.38 ERA.
  • 3: 6 games, 0.00 ERA.
  • 4: 5 games, 1.93 ERA.
  • 5: 3 games, 0.00 ERA.
  • 6+: 3 games, 6.75 ERA.

Batters hit .246/.315/.339 against him with RISP.

Leverage:

High: Batters hit .219/.311/.281.

Medium: Batters hit .342/.419/.447.

Low: Batters hit .237/.245/.340.


Tim had 22 holds, bringing him up to 79 in his career, which, by my figuring, would put him third in team history. If he gets 8 holds in 2024, he’ll be number one in team history.

And he is 11th in games pitched. His 14th this season will put him in the top ten. 63 would put him into the top five if he stays with the team and continues to get into 60+ games.

He’s not a free agent until 2026, so he’s likely to move up the lists.

Tim turns 32 in a couple of weeks, but lefties tend to be able to pitch into their late 30s, so we may be watching him for years to come.

John Schnieder seems to be using Mayza mostly as a strict one-inning pitcher. Mayza went 1.2 innings twice and 1.1 innings 7 times. Gibbons would use him for 2 or more innings on occasion. Tim pitched less than a full inning 36 times.

Before the season we asked:

  • If the over/under on Mayza’s games played is 57, I’d take the. 71% of us were right picking the over.
  • If the over/under on Mayza’s holds is 17 I’d take the. 61% of us were right taking the over.
  • If the over/under on Mayza’s home runs allowed it 6 I’d take the. Only 29% of us were right, he allowed just 2 home runs.

I forgot to do a poll (oh well, it is the last one of these):

Poll

For his 2023 season I’d grade Tim Mayza an

This poll is closed

  • 70%
    A
    (105 votes)
  • 24%
    B+
    (36 votes)
  • 4%
    B
    (7 votes)
  • 0%
    B-
    (1 vote)
  • 0%
    C+
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    C
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    C-
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    D+
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    D
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    D-
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    F
    (0 votes)
149 votes total Vote Now